Might wanna check that paragraph--"it's not going to make $300 Million" and "rake in a few hundred million" seem to be contradictory.
I don't think it will take in a few hundred million when all the numbers are in, even with foreign and video. I'm guessing your domestic box number is correct, but I wouldn't count on a few hundred million from overseas and video. Dramas don't translate well, and a gay drama, no matter how popular, isn't going to do those numbers.
Who will be emcee at the Oscars? Ellen DeGeneres, Nathan Lane, or Rosie O'Donnell?
In Europe?
This movie is going to be, if anything, a bigger hit in Europe. Especially once conservatives are through attacking it.
As for the DVD, I imagine it will serve as a sort of totem for "progressives" - a thing to own to show how politically correct they are.
And don't underestimate the number of women who will go to see it simply to see Heath Ledger/Jake Gyllenhaal without their shirts on.
It's sad. But it's a good example of the degeneracy of our culture.
I'm sure it'll do well in the Middle East! Not!
If Brokeback Mountain tops $30 million before a slew of Academy Award nominations, I'd keel over in shock.