I'm not sure if you're trying to say it would be a lock the Cards would or would not do that. But, I'm certainly a Sox fan and we are realists. We don't believe in Aura and Mystique (who are now just the names of strippers in NY clubs) and aren't hopeless homers like the Yanks. We went 1/3 in St Louis in June, the Cards can still hit, and their pitching is a lot better than ours. Your closer, too. We hit better than the Cards overall, but that's our only clear edge.
I'm not sure if you're trying to say it would be a lock the Cards would or would not do that.
I was just saying that your assesment was pretty good. At 10-1 it can't be considered a lock either way, just that there is a 10% chance that it could happen.
As I have said many times, the best team doesn't always win the WS. There are too many variables, and most bets are made primarily on emotion.
As an example, a lady who I bowl with in the winter was enthralled with her Illini Basketball team last year. At one point she was spouting about them taking it all, so I proposed that she put her money up. She took me up for a straight bet of $25 that the Illini would win the NCAA Tourney. This was a month before it even started. Needless to say, I got her $25. She let her emotions rule her bet.