I'm not sure if you're trying to say it would be a lock the Cards would or would not do that.
I was just saying that your assesment was pretty good. At 10-1 it can't be considered a lock either way, just that there is a 10% chance that it could happen.
As I have said many times, the best team doesn't always win the WS. There are too many variables, and most bets are made primarily on emotion.
As an example, a lady who I bowl with in the winter was enthralled with her Illini Basketball team last year. At one point she was spouting about them taking it all, so I proposed that she put her money up. She took me up for a straight bet of $25 that the Illini would win the NCAA Tourney. This was a month before it even started. Needless to say, I got her $25. She let her emotions rule her bet.