Too much airplane glue. (for some reason I see him in a boy's sixties era bedroom, gluing together airplane models)
He's a Ferris Bueller, or worse, a David Brock. You all remember how we got suckered into believing that little toad was conservative when he wrote for the American Spectator.
Probably the "Crystal Ball" technique, except he just stares at Carville's head until the answer comes to him.
I say Bush by 4.6, FWIW.