Posted on 10/29/2004 8:40:40 PM PDT by Perdogg
Bush 55.1 %
Kerry 45.1 %
Just be prepared for the threads like "BUSH UP 3 ON TRADESPORTS 'WHO WILL WIN THE FLORIDA RECOUNT' MARKET!!!!!"
The Fat Belt? I love it.
Thank goodness Halloween in Sunday, buying triple my usual amount just in case we need a months supply of snickers bars.
Personally, I find that "reading" flamingo droppings is much more precise. Have to go to the zoo for my official readings, though, as keeping flamingos in my backyard is just too complicated.
Just keep telling yourself - it will be over on tuesday...
Once upon a time, I had the 10% rule. It worked like clockwork. If the Pubbie won Indiana by more than 10%, then the Pubbie would carry the popular vote. It worked election after election, like clockwork, until the cultural issue thingie raised its ugly head. Now it is worthless. Sure, if Bush really surges in Kentucky and Indiana, it might mean something, but probably not much, unless the numbers are really big, which they won't be. We will just have to wait, and see how Ohio trickles in, which is a better indicator of how the Fat Belt will go, pending the Fat Belt itself coming in. Of course, if Bush seems in general to be piling up numbers that suggest at least a 3% lead in the popular vote, than the election is over.
Is it just me, or is OBL's tape sort of ho hum? I just cannot get alarmed for some reason. My take on it was that Osama wants out of the war, there was a whiff of "lets all work this out". Anybody note that?
we hope it will be all over, remember last time.
His delivery was a bit less exciting than a news anchor.
I read some of the partial transcripts but just watching him didn't scare me, maybe it was the color of his robe, would you call it saffron or salmon? If I were threatening to blow up people who had nuclear weapons, I think I would wear black with a little red trim on the sleeves.
Drudge will be leaking exit polls - but the exit polls turned out to be extremely unreliable in 00 and 02.
One sign to look for is turnout in minority areas. That was the story of 2000... unprecedented black turnout...
Things are supposedly getting close in MI, and Weather.com is forecasting thundershowers for Detroit on election day...
A flood in Detroit on election day would be swell.
No, the ARG polls show Bush down. But then they tend to skew left. IEM has him up.
2003 ACT Composite Scores
Wisconsin: 22.2
Minnesota: 22.0
Iowa: 22.0
> Nation: 20.8
Your derision is evident. Next time call voters in Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Iowa as the Smart Belt, being so much more apt as it is.
Saturday Morning 9:00AM EDT 10/30
Tradesport Bush 54.7 Kerry 46
IEM Bush 56.1 Kerry 44.3
Did you giys know that the astrologers in Bhopal, India, were telling young couples that one day in particular would be the best possible day to get married that year, and it turned out to be the day of the Union Carbide plant accident? Casualties were increased because relatives from nearby were staying overnight after the weddings and were suffocated by the gas.
Kerry looked like he'd had the air let out of him when he came out to respond to the tape. And as scummy as he is, I think he had to wonder if this tape thing means that Osama finds him as troubling as a rainy day. If I were a Presidential hopeful and I found out Osama was thinking, "Let's get Silverback in there, that'lll be helpful," I would feel like the biggest failure in history.
My take is he sees that Kerry is a tlaker, a guy who talks about summits and bringing France in and blah, blah, blah, so maybe he's sending the "We can be dealt with" message so we all think it's safe to vote for Kerry. A big misunderestimation of the electorate, in my opinion.
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