The infamous red/blue map shows that the battleground states - except Ohio, are all red states. Minnesota is currently tied and I have read differing polls for Wisconsin.
Polls seem to be tending toward the President IMO
Posted on 10/18/2004 2:48:10 PM PDT by shoedog
There is a bit of concern in both Gallup and Rassmussen. The Gallup actually makes little sense. It shows that while Bush has opened an 8 point lead, Kerry is up 5 points in "thier" Battleground States. Rassmussen, also mentions that Kerry has picked up the pace in those states in his daily report today. Finally, ABC rolling average seems to indicat slight trend in some states. We need to be hammering hard in the battleground states since Dem Voter Fraud could add 1-2 points.
My thoughts? Ignore all the polls and watch what the candidates say and where they go. For example. Pres Bush was in NJ today. Ask "Why?" (Answer: because regardless of the polls the Bush team thinks NJ is in play.)
Bush by 5%. It would be more but there are a lot of dead people voting again this cycle..
I dont see it....
Most of the states slid a bit in the past 2 weeks, but that trend is slowly reversing itself....
It is nonsense. Kerry is sliding and nothing can stop it.
which states? where are these poll numbers?
Wish I could help you but this is a Poll Thread. I am ignoring all Poll Threads. Sorry.
You beat me to the response. I agree with you completely. The state polls will probably reflect the national trend by next Wednesday or so. It will be nice to see those numbers coming in as we head down the final stretch. No WAY does Bush soundly win the PV and lose the EC. It just will not happen.
Can anyone explain to me why CA has 54 votes? Is this based on a combination of legals AND illegal aliens? Is there any fraud at all connected with this total supposed population in CA?
Yes it takes about a week for the state polls to catch up to the national polls....And remember sunday is topically bad for republicans to be polled.
You can't look at those battleground polls yet. They are lagging indicators. The battleground Poll actually has Bush up 3%. up 2 since last poll. Job approval @ 53% Here is the link:
http://www.tarrance.com/files/Week%205%20charts.pdf
Bush is trending upward
Most polls are conducted during business hours. Most republicans work. We don't get called as often since we don't sit home watching TV.
But since I'm ignoring all Poll Threads I can not comment.
Wow the anti anti-poll people must have infected your computer, opening "poll threads" and forcing you to read them. You better be careful before someone tries to force you to have phone sex. ;)
I am ignoring all replies mentioning phone sex too.
Which of course, would be... ridiculous.
Nah, in a week or 10 days, the talk will be about the battleground states of New York, Illinois, and California. Just wait. They will come into play. The map is shrinking for Kerry.
I still think Bush is ahead in ohio and florida. My big concern is this ridiculous 'early vote' scheme that the Dems. cooked up in all the battleground states. It seems like a scheme for dems. to be able to gauge how many extra votes they need to get over a long term, then towards the end of the election to gin up extra votes by any 'means necessary.'
That chart is the final results of the 2000 election. That means nothing right now.
I doubt, by the way, that Bush is trailing in the battleground states. Rasmussen has a 47-47 tie in MN today, with Bush at 49-48 counting leaners. And MN was a state that was supposed to have shifted in Kerry's favor a couple weeks ago. If MN is leaning Bush, then he probably has the lead in WI, is tied in IA. The internals from yesterday showed Bush with an 8-pt edge in OH, but I haven't actually seen those. Bush is leading in FL according to the latest polls.
NM is probably is a dead heat and might be favoring Bush. On election day 2000, NM was hit with hard weather (snow) and many people feel that a lot of voters from the suburbs (Republicans) didn't make it to the polls that day, while the city dwellers (dems) did make it. Keep in ming that Gore only won by 366 votes.
Keep the faith, pray for W's victory, and GOTV.
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