10/6 Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 232 Bush 285
Well, Get off you computer and go do something about it.
Patience. There won't be more people willing to pull the lever for Kerry on November 2, than there will for Bush.
RCP is a good site, but they use poll averages. The bad polls from a few days ago are just having their effect. The good poll news the last couple days will show up in the next few days.
If it is so disconcerting then why post it?
Doesn't seem that bad to me. Michigan appears closer than it has in a while and Kerry leads in only a couple of states and those are well within the margin of error.
Relax - Check out electoral-vote.com which is run by a democrat. He is trying to be as non-partisan as possible and i think he is doing a good job. He has BUSH at 350 EV and sKerry with 178. The polls don't change that fast after a VP debate.
The race is not over, but our path to victory still looks better than the RATs.
Oh good. Another round of handwringing from the pajama wetters.
What you see reflects a slight gain in just a few states that Bush had very slight leads in before. Plenty of time for the pendulum to swing back to Bush.
ARG had Kerry +1 before, now they have him +2
So I say no change for that poll
Whats so bad? W is leading in almost every one including some that Snore won in 2000. The only ones hes not winning are those that are stretches at best (WA, NJ, etc)
Battles still appear to be in Gore/Kerry/Blue territory, not Red area. Means we have chance of stealing some. Kerry has much smaller chance. Heck, even if he carries Gore states, he loses by more.
Still, Bush needs his PA self in St. Louis
Why the gloom and doom... Bush is in much better position right now than he was in the 2000 election
Florida: Bush is up by 2.4%, won in 2000 by less than 0.1% = 2.3% GAIN
Ohio: Bush is up by 2.2%, won by 3.5% = 1.3% LOSS
PA: Bush is down by 1.2%, lost by 4.2% = 3.0% GAIN
Mich: Bush is down by 0.5%, lost by 5.2% = 4.7% GAIN
Mizzo: Bush is up by 5.5%, won by 3.3% = 2.2% GAIN
Wisc: Bush is up by 9.2%, lost by 0.2% = 9.4% GAIN
Minn: Bush is tied, lost by 2.4% = 2.4% GAIN
Iowa: Bush is up by 2.2%, lost by 0.2% = 2.4% GAIN
NH: Bush is up by 0.2%, won by 1.3% = 1.1% LOSS
NV: Bush is up by 3.2%, won by 6.3% = 3.1% LOSS
WV: Bush is up by 6.3%, won by 3.2% = 3.1% GAIN
NM: Bush is down by 1.3%, lost by 0.1% = 1.2% LOSS
OR: Bush is up by 2.7%, lost by 0.5% = 3.2% GAIN
CO: Bush is up by 6.0%, won by 8.4% = 2.4% GAIN
Maine: Bush is down by 1.0%, lost by 5.1% = 4.1% GAIN
Wash: Bush is down by 10.3%, lost by 5.6% = 4.7% LOSS
NJ: Bush is down by 5.4%, lost by 15.9% = 10.5% GAIN
He's only lost ground in 5 of the 17 battlegrounds...
There has never been any real enthusiasm for Kerry. So he had one nice evening, 90 minutes of botoxed, hair-dyed, slicked-up glib-talk B.S. offense in a debate. NOW they all love him, are going to rush out and vote for him? I don't think so. They will forget that brief performance, and he is still the same boring, dull Kerry who does not connect with anyone. On the other side, we KNOW Pres. Bush. And his one "bad evening" does not doom him or make us forget his leadership or his excellent qualities...and spontaneous responses and debate were never really on that list. He can do well in the next 2 debates just being G.W.Bush, with a little rest and his usual inner fire of convictions and decisiveness.
I'm finding this to be the longest four weeks of my life ...
Vanities are such a waste of bandwidth.
sounding a bit like the DU a couple weeks ago ...relax it still looks good ...lets keep the momentum going and not get gloom and doom. thats the job of the dems.