DISCUSSION
...LISA STILL DISORGANIZED AND IS WEAKENING...NHC BELIEVES THE NORTH HALF OF THE SYSTEM IS CLEAR OF PRECIPITATION...
LISA is being adversely affected by the disturbance following it. It will continue to have problems organizing for the next couple of days, and may be absorbed by the following system.
If it does not, then the disturbance, coupled with a LP trough forecast to dig southward north of LISA at VT forecast plus five days, will turn the storm toward the NW and away from land areas. If this scenario comes to pass, then LISA will also likely be a hurricane at VT forecast plus five days.
It is cautioned this package does not have a high confidence behind it as many things have to occur in a certain way, and there are significant possibilities that might not be so.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
[None at this time.]
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 11 AM ET/AT (1500Z)
Location: 13.9N by 41.3W, or 1165 miles W of the Cape Verde Islands.
Vector: WSW at 6 MPH. A motion to the WSW or SW is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.
Winds: 50 MPH 1-minute sustained. Little change in strength is likely during the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 1000 MB or 29.53"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: N/A.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 90 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: N/A
Anticipated Landfall Location: N/A
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
[None at this time.]
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No portion of LISA is within 124 nautical miles of CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD stations.]
SLOSH DATA
[None at this time.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
LISA is a threat only to shipping.