Posted on 09/21/2004 4:35:59 AM PDT by Chairman_December_19th_Society
We will not tire, we will not falter, and we will not fail!
Good morning!!
Do not let the victims of the attacks on New York and Washington, nor the brave members of our Nations' miltary who have given their lives to protect our freedom, die in vain!!
CAT I HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY #31
DISCUSSION
...JEANNE--A THREAT, NOT A THREAT, A THREAT...LOW CONFIDENCE IN FORECASTS ON THIS SYSTEM...NOW A HURRICANE...ANOTHER CHANGE TO THE INTEREST WATCH AREA...
JEANNE has undergone explosive deepening of its central pressure, but the eye is still cloud covered and open to the south, indicating the presence of significant shear.
Yesterday, models came into good agreement. Today, models came into good disagreement.
The consensus--if it can really be called that--is what is being shown in the graphic. JEANNE will make a slow anticyclonic loop and then proceed westward. This is a very low confidence forecast, in the words of the NHC. But there's nothing better.
As stated earlier, JEANNE is in a relatively high shear environment. Several things could happen over the next several days. JEANNE could upwell significant amounts of cold water from staying in roughly the same spot for awhile, cutting off its "fuel," it could get sheared off by the SW flow over top of the cyclone, it could ingest the cold air from the shortwave to its north. Again, models are all over the place. NHC has prepared a forecast on the premise that none of these events will come to pass--the "safe" solution. It, like the path forecast, is of very low confidence.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
[There are no watches or warnings associated with JEANNE at this time.]
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 5 AM ET (0900Z)
Location: 27.6N by 70.0W, or 445 miles E of Great Abaco Island.
Vector: ENE at 6 MPH. Steering currents are falling apart, and JEANNE is expected to slowly turn to the E or SE later today.
Winds: 90 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some strengthening is likely over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 972 MB or 28.70"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 100 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 240 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: N/A
Anticipated Landfall Location: N/A
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
[None at this time.]
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No part of JEANNE is within 124 nautical miles of any CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD site.]
SLOSH DATA
[None at this time.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
Interests along the United States Atlantic littoral from Florida to Virginia should monitor the progress of JEANNE.
Top Bush advisors are said to be pushing for the removal of the moderator from the debate to be held at Arizona State University. The moderator is from CBS. The President has not made any indication he supports this notion.
USA Today is running a story that CBS arranged for a confidential source to talk to Joe Lockhart, an aide to John Kerry, after the network received the "unauthenticated" (forged, actually) documents.
The Criminal Party admits the documents are false, but Terry McAwful is pressing on: "Now that we know what's not true, let's focus on the facts..." [Yeah, right.]
Meanwhile, the GOP issued the following statement:
We accept CBS's apology for a breach of the journalistic standards that provide the American people confidence in news organizations, but some disturbing questions remain unanswered.
CBS has now answered questions about the authenticity of the documents but questions remain surrounding who created the documents, who provided them to CBS and if Senator Kerry's supporters, Party committee, or campaign played any role.
Did Bill Burkett, Democrat activist and Kerry campaign supporter, who passed information to the DNC, work with Kerry campaign surrogate Max Cleland? Did Bill Burkett's talks with ‘senior’ Kerry campaign officials include discussions of the now discredited documents? Was the launch of the Democrat National Committee's Operation Fortunate Son designed with knowledge of the faked forged memos? Terry McAuliffe said yesterday that no one at the DNC or Kerry campaign, ‘had anything to do with the preparations of the documents,’ but what about the distribution or dissemination?
In an effort to regain the trust of the American people CBS should not only investigate the process that led to the use of these documents but they should identify immediately those engaged in possible criminal activity who attempted to use a news organization to affect the outcome of a Presidential election in its closing days.
For AMERICA - The Right Way, I remain yours in the Cause, the Chairman.
Checking in.
Arrived home, after a morning of meetings, to the tail end of Kerry's press conference. Missed Bush's UN speech but from your comments and from what I heard Rush say he did a great job.
Shep Smith is reporting another beheading.
I'm somewhat groggy and wonder if I'm over medicated. I hope so. That would mean it's time for me to start reducing the dosage. I had given up hope that I would ever get to lower them. It's been 3 yrs since my surgery and I was beginning to thing I would be taking this stuff to handle the nerve damage related pain the rest of my life.
I'm going to take a nap and sleep it off.
Ihope you can reduce too.!!!!
Just got home from WallmartWorld...had to buy cold med stuff...the crud is going around in full force inthe household...ManChild had it and now Mom has it. Thought I was getting it yesterday but blackberry brandy can do wonders!!!
Today was THE LAST BUYING day of the FY. I am glad, I am exhausted and everyone should be happy they spent $$ on unprogrammed and needless things. FEH!!!!!!!!!!
New tagline courtesy of the Unknown Freeper...
But i prefer them
Down.
Good afternnon Neets, Dogs, All from the Mississippi Gulf Coast, USA.
Whew, tired I am, moving, bush hogging, spreading dirt, cutting limbs (from the storm), planting some collard greens, busy as a bee.
Just wanted all to know I am still around, tired but around. Toby
Ciao!! Good to see you!!!
Yes. Perhaps this is a coincidence. But I am convinced the RATS will stop at nothing to regain control. I mean nothing including stuffing the ballot box, voting more than once and anything, anything legal or not.
Hi, Toby. I was wondering how y'all fared. We had so little effects of the storm that I'm tempted to say "no damage" but perhaps I've forgotten something.
Our yard is looking better and better all the time. I cleared, with JT, a bunch of brush from under a magnolia tree in the front. It makes a world of difference! Everybody's first thought, including my first thought, was,"now I can climb it again!" It is the best climbing tree I've ever seen.
We had a family picture taken this afternoon. I hope to post it soon. I'm having a little trouble with the transfer from camera to computer. There's always something. But this time, I'm even happy with it.
I'm having trouble with my weight again. I'm sticking to my diet, honest injun, but I'm gaining weight. I'm stepping up my exercise program so we'll see.
Hi, everybody.
Mr. Peach has noticed that FNC has been doing a better job reporting the dirty dealings and double talk coming out of the DNC.
Jemian...you may wish to have your thyroid checked. I was always underweight and found out I had a thyroid problem. It's easy to fix and very common. It can cause you to be overweight or under.
Is it an invasive procedure?
No, no sweetie. It's a drug called synthroid. It's a tiny pill and VERY few (if any) people have side effects.
Unlike most medications, it's been around for years and years and truly, I've never heard of anyone having side effects from it.
I should have said, a simple blood test will determine if you have a thyroid problem.
Freepmail me if you would like any information on this. Everyone in my family takes this medication and I have a book on thyroid stuff I could mail you if you find it's something you have.
Last stats I read said something like 30-40% of the population has thyroid problems; it's not serious. Honest. But it could account for dieting, exercising and not losing weight.
I'll do it. This isn't the first time I've heard this message, but I've wondered if it isn't just an easy excuse for not exercising. I'll check it. I'm so frustrated I've considered those diet pills, like Cortislim.
I'd hate to see you take diet pills, Jemian. They are dangerous and unregulated. Too many people have developed heart arythmia (sp?) and other health problems.
Thyroid problems can cause weight gain and weight loss and it is the weight loss that was a problem in our family. Now that I'm getting older that's far less of a problem, darn it, and I had to learn that I can't eat like I used to.
Most reputable doctors won't give a presciption for synthroid to an overweight person just for a weight problem. The blood test has to be outside the medically recommended levels before the medicine will be prescribed.
You have pointed out the exact reason why I haven't resorted to that. Even when diet pills have been regulated, far too often it is discovered LATER that serious problems are associated with it.
I'm just frustrated. I have picked up my exercise program but so far no success.
Hey Jem.. are you having more sodium (salt) since stateside? Now that you are not in school maybe more nibbling? I hope you can avoid meds..
BTW - I love west virginia.. it is a gorgeous state.
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