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Posted on 05/17/2026 7:05:27 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
Gallrein 49 to Massie 42
(Excerpt) Read more at socaldata.substack.com ...
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https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/house/republican-primary/2026/kentucky/district-4
A fourth recent poll might be mentioned, by Neighborhood Research, but it apparently doesn't meet RealClearPolitics' standards.
https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2055455266661892442
If I were to average all four of these polls, I'd say Gallrein is slightly ahead (by something like 3 points). The big uncertainty, in my mind, is turnout.
Massie being a well-established incumbent should have an advantage in turnout relative to a challenger largely funded by outside interests. But, the challenger is supported by President Trump and his supporters are famous for showing up and voting.
This could be the second major scalp taken by Trump, the first having been U.S. Senator Cassidy of Louisiana. And, to think, a month before the primary, Massie looked to be in a good position, whereas Cassidy was always behind.
Conventional wisdom in political campaigns is that if the incumbent is not over 51% they are in serious trouble.
AFAIAC, retire him now!
How soon is this likely to be decided, one way or another?
Signed: Too Early To Gloat!
If William Paul sees that poll, he may have to be put on suicide watch.
The primary is on this coming Tuesday.
Nobody likes Graham either. The Liberty score is obviously flawed since Massie voted for the largest tax increase in American history. Any idiotic outfit that would give that Dem an A is as bad as he is.
Ok. Thanks.
MAGA!
Which vote was this?
Massie’s radio ads here are all about how he and Trump are best pals and how he supported Trump’s agenda. He is just a lying scum.
Massie turned his back on Republicans and needs to be ousted.
Not really - most “undecideds” *usually* break for the challenger. But even if that occurs, if, say, the incumbent is ahead substantially and is above 47%, the incumbent will probably prevail, as they are close enough to 50% to where even having the overwhelming majority of undecideds against them would still put them at 50%.
But not when you are *down* 49-42 and are the incumbent. If this is accurate, Massie is in trouble. He would have to get 99% of the remaining undecided vote to eek out a victory if these numbers are accurate. Given this is now the second poll showing these same numbers, it looks more likely the other poll was not an outlier.
Voting against Ol Tom Massie is a vote for the scum sucking leeches that control over 90% of congress.
AIPAC.
And, even former actblue people are supporting Massies opponent.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/4369035/posts
Flashback: Thomas Massie receives and accepts Quincy Award from Iran lobbyist
Rep Thomas Massie receiving the Quincy award from Trita Parsi, an actual Iranian lobbyist, alongside progressive Democrat Ro Khanna.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trita_Parsi
Trita Parsi (Persian: تریتا پارسی) is an Iranian-born Swedish writer and political analyst who is the co-founder and executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft. He is also the founder and former president of the National Iranian American Council, which lobbies for stances on behalf of, and aligned with, Islamic Republic of Iran.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4367036/posts Thomas Massie calls Trump presidency the ‘Epstein administration’
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4367527/posts (Massie) admitted in a recent interview that he once offered Republican leaders his vote IN EXCHANGE for a public expression of gratitude for his role in forcing the disclosure of the federal government’s Jeffrey Epstein files.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4367330/posts Massie’s vote was contingent on whether or not Speaker Mike Johnson would publicly praise him for releasing the Epstein files. “This is a literal quote from Thomas Massie’s interview with Politico. “Praise me publicly and I’ll vote the way you want.”
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/4363806/posts
Politics Strange Bedfellows: Meet the PAC Working to Reelect Thomas Massie—And Partnering With the DSA to Fight ICE The embattled Kentucky congressman traveled to Pennsylvania to meet with IPAC around the time its founder wrote his campaign a check. Thomas Massie poses with IPAC chairman Rafed Aljoboury
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4363639/posts
Kentucky’s Massie joins Dems in refusing to vote to fund ICE as US House passes 4 spending bills
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4315688/posts
Lone Republican becomes only lawmaker to vote against crackdown on human organ trafficking (Massie)
A bill aimed at cracking down on the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and its practice of forced organ harvesting passed with overwhelming support on Wednesday – though one House lawmaker voted against it.
Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., was the lone Republican to oppose the Stop Forced Organ Harvesting Act, which passed 406-1.
“It’s just another example of us trying to stick our nose in another country’s business and write their laws,” Massie told Fox News Digital after the vote. “And at the end of the day, they’re gonna do what they’re gonna do, and it’s just sort of a virtue signal over here.”
...
But his pushback is also notable now given his status as an open critic of Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., and at times, of President Donald Trump.
The bill was introduced by Rep. Chris Smith, R-N.J., and would authorize the Secretary of State to deny U.S. passports and visitor visas to people involved in organ trafficking circles.
It would also call for sanctions on entities and individuals found to have participated in the gruesome illicit industry.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4324812/posts
‘Mofo...in the White House’: Jasmine Crockett attacks Trump, praises Massie in anti-Iran strike rant
‘There’s only one Republican that I know I can count on for sure doing the right thing,’ Rep Crockett says in a new video
Rep. Jasmine Crockett, D-Texas, launched another tirade against President Donald Trump over the weekend, while offering rare praise for one of her House GOP colleagues who is currently at odds with the commander in chief.
The Democratic firebrand took to Instagram Live late Saturday to criticize Trump’s strikes on Iran, while giving a “shout out” to Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., over his bipartisan resolution to rein in the president’s ability to conduct such operations.
“So long story short, for those of you that are unaware, the mofo that resides in the White House has unilaterally, in my estimation, declared war,” Crockett said in the video.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/4325539/posts
Massie bucks GOP leadership again on Adam Schiff censure vote, draws conservative ire
Conservatives are conveying anger with northern Kentucky Rep. Thomas Massie over his vote to oppose a resolution censuring California Rep. Adam Schiff, a favorite boogeyman of Republicans. Massie joined 19 other House Republicans in defecting from party leadership from condemning Schiff for championing the investigatory onslaught against former President Donald Trump. Combined with unanimous Democratic opposition, the measure failed, surprising even Schiff. The libertarian-leaning Massie claimed the resolution was unconstitutional for a clause that instructed Schiff should be fined $16 million if the House Ethics Committee found he “lied, made representations and abused sensitive information.” “Allowing a majority of Congress to take $16 million (92 years of pay) from any member of Congress is shortsighted,” Massie tweeted again of the Wednesday evening vote. “Can we not imagine a time when this precedent would be used against conservatives? Fortunately it failed.” Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, a Florida freshman, said Massie was “making misrepresentations about the bill” she authored. A band of pro-Trump political figures went even further, casting doubts about Massie’s reasoning and calling for his defeat. Massie has endorsed Trump rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. “Not only is he being duplicitous, partisan and moronic about his choice – he’s straight up lying about the Constitution to achieve his political end goals. Sick,” wrote Raheem Kassam, a British political activist and editor in chief of The National Pulse.
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/4368882/posts
Thomas Massie seems to suggest action against Iran was to distract from Epstein
One of the least reliable Republican votes:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/house-mavericks-defied-own-parties-more-than-anyone-else-2025
“He has voted against a majority of Republicans on 73 occasions or 22.3% of the time in the 119th Congress and was just one of two Republicans to oppose the final passage of Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act.”
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=Massie+voted+with+party+77%25+of+the+time+2025&t=h_&ia=web
Search Assist
In 2025, Representative Thomas Massie voted with the majority of his party 77% of the time, indicating he often aligned with Republican positions but also broke ranks on several occasions. This voting pattern reflects his independent conservative stance within the party.
Wikipedia Fox News
Thomas Massie’s Voting Record in 2025
Overview
In 2025, Representative Thomas Massie, a Republican from Kentucky, demonstrated a notable voting pattern in the U.S. House of Representatives. He voted with his party approximately 77% of the time.
Dissenting Votes
Despite his overall alignment with the Republican Party, Massie was among a small group of lawmakers who frequently broke ranks. His dissent rate was significant
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/4378587/posts Massie on Tucker promoted another lie based on Pallywood [fake screenshot, messy m-falsehood]
Hope not. he’s a turd and a coward.
I *think* the largest “the largest tax increase” vote is the AIPAC and Trump crowd pretending his very principled no vote last summer on the porky budget busting BBB was Massie voting “for” a tax increase.
That’s how the swine are characterizing the BBB.
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