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The Algorithm That Rigged the Census: How One Bureaucrat Stole the House and Billions in Funding
Substack ^ | 10/10/2025 | amuse

Posted on 10/13/2025 3:03:47 PM PDT by sopo

The 2020 census was marketed as an “actual enumeration,” a neutral count of people for apportionment and funding. It was not. The same official who helped block a basic citizenship question in 2018, John M. Abowd, then the Census Bureau’s Chief Scientist, pushed through a new, opaque methodology in 2020 called differential privacy. The new system deliberately injected mathematical noise into every block count in America, turning the census from a headcount into a model with knobs. The knob that mattered most was a single parameter, epsilon, a secrecy shroud known only to a small inner circle. Abowd argued that a single added question about citizenship posed an intolerable risk to data quality because there was, he said, not enough time to test it. Then he rushed an untested algorithm that altered every count in every neighborhood. The irony is so sharp it cuts: the man who warned that one question might distort the census approved a method that guaranteed distortion.

(Excerpt) Read more at amuseonx.substack.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2020; census; censusbureau; johnabowd; johnmabowd; manipulation

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May be a bigger crime than Arctic Frost; i wonder what the epsilon was at BLS under "Biden science."
1 posted on 10/13/2025 3:03:47 PM PDT by sopo
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To: sopo

Stolen seats and EVs to support their stolen elections.


2 posted on 10/13/2025 3:18:53 PM PDT by MileHi ((Liberalism is an ideology of parasites, hypocrites, grievance mongers, victims, and control freaks.)
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To: sopo

“Biden Science” - BS for short


3 posted on 10/13/2025 3:18:54 PM PDT by coloradan (They're not the mainstream media, they're the gaslight media. It's what they do. )
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To: sopo

Most secure election ever.


4 posted on 10/13/2025 3:19:18 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Democrats seek power through cheating and assassination. They are sociopaths. They just want power.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Does anyone remember why/how Trump failed to identify and fire this guy when he sued the administration over census question in 2018, right in the midst of Trump I?


5 posted on 10/13/2025 3:23:37 PM PDT by sopo
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To: sopo

I have developed an axiom: “If Fed.gov keeps any statistic that has any political significance whatsoever, the statistic will be fraudulent.”

The corollary is: “The greater the long-term political significance of that statistic, the more opaque, and the greater the level of fraud, one will find with it.”

It hasn’t been proven faulty yet....


6 posted on 10/13/2025 3:25:26 PM PDT by PGR88
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To: sopo

The US Census has a long history of mixed accuracy.
Starting at the most granular level, some census takers are skilled and conscientious. A few are both skilled, conscientious and know the area, the people, they are working.

Other Census takers are either not skilled, not conscientious, unfamiliar with the people they are assigned to count.

My dad was both a mail carrier and pastor. From both occupations he knew the area, which crossed several census tracts. Some valued his knowledge. Some did not.

Then, at each level above the most granular level, “data scientists” who do not know the people or area are assigned to adjust the numbers. Some of them are more skilled than others.

Thus, the census (in my lifetime) has never been a perfect count. The count has always been uneven for several reasons. Some of those are human laziness or incompetence. Some of the reasons are political. In the old ethnic neighborhoods of Chicago the grand parents still lived there. But the Adult children had moved to the suburbs. They were registered to vote in both places. They only voted in the suburbs. The vote harvester/precinct captain voted on their behalf in the old neighborhood.

Some would like to think that Trump is perfect. But his failure to have a better count in 2020 is one area that could have been better, more accurate. That is true regardless of the non-citizen issue.


7 posted on 10/13/2025 3:27:51 PM PDT by spintreebob
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To: sopo

The US Census has a long history of mixed accuracy.
Starting at the most granular level, some census takers are skilled and conscientious. A few are both skilled, conscientious and know the area, the people, they are working.

Other Census takers are either not skilled, not conscientious, unfamiliar with the people they are assigned to count.

My dad was both a mail carrier and pastor. From both occupations he knew the area, which crossed several census tracts. Some valued his knowledge. Some did not.

Then, at each level above the most granular level, “data scientists” who do not know the people or area are assigned to adjust the numbers. Some of them are more skilled than others.

Thus, the census (in my lifetime) has never been a perfect count. The count has always been uneven for several reasons. Some of those are human laziness or incompetence. Some of the reasons are political. In the old ethnic neighborhoods of Chicago the grand parents still lived there. But the Adult children had moved to the suburbs. They were registered to vote in both places. They only voted in the suburbs. The vote harvester/precinct captain voted on their behalf in the old neighborhood.

Some would like to think that Trump is perfect. But his failure to have a better count in 2020 is one area that could have been better, more accurate. That is true regardless of the non-citizen issue.


8 posted on 10/13/2025 3:27:53 PM PDT by spintreebob
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To: sopo

It really is shocking how “un-democratic” democrats are.


9 posted on 10/13/2025 3:34:26 PM PDT by MeanWestTexan (Sometimes There Is No Lesser Of Two Evils)
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To: spintreebob

8- states for Republicans, 6 + states for Democrats; as the best line in the essay, there’s fog and then there’s the direction the wind is blowing


10 posted on 10/13/2025 3:39:46 PM PDT by sopo
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To: spintreebob

8- states for Republicans, 6 + states for Democrats; as the best line in the essay, there’s fog and then there’s the direction the wind is blowing


11 posted on 10/13/2025 3:39:46 PM PDT by sopo
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To: sopo

I’m almost certain that they injected bad data in to the 2020 census to extend it till Trump was out of office.


12 posted on 10/13/2025 3:50:26 PM PDT by kiryandil (No one in AZ that voted for Trump voted for Gallego )
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To: MeanWestTexan

“...It really is shocking how “un-democratic” democrats are....”

When one finally comes to the realization that they’re not “democrats” in the original classic sense, but instead, they’re full-blown, rabid, domestic, godless communists hellbent on totally destroying the USA as we know it, a lot of what they do, say and support makes sense.


13 posted on 10/13/2025 3:51:45 PM PDT by lgjhn23 ("On the 8th day, Satan created the progressive liberal to destroy all the good that God created...")
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To: kiryandil

Media always allows dems 12 men on the field and 5 downs; Republicans just say “hey!” Wouldn’t matter anyway as courts ( the refs0 have the home team bias, and the R’s have “no standing.’


14 posted on 10/13/2025 4:03:33 PM PDT by sopo
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To: sopo

It needs to be corrected now. No waiting until 2031. And if possible then some people need to be arrested for this.


15 posted on 10/13/2025 6:03:51 PM PDT by Revel
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To: Revel

I think some of the red states that were ripped off of funds are suing. I’ll look into it when I have a little more time and let you know


16 posted on 10/13/2025 6:39:17 PM PDT by sopo
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; cardinal4; ...

17 posted on 10/13/2025 6:56:40 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (NeverTrumpin' -- it's not just for DNC shills anymore -- oh, wait, yeah it is.)
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To: Revel

https://thefederalist.com/2025/10/06/jim-banks-demands-census-bureau-fix-errors-that-gave-dems-6-extra-seats/

Turns out FR search was most efficient for me, but Sunken Civ just rode in to the rescue.

Unfortunately, so far, a strongly worded letter is all we’ve got , looks like


18 posted on 10/13/2025 7:17:14 PM PDT by sopo
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To: sopo
For Later: No hits on John M. Abowd except he's had no hits - happily at Cornell.

No bad press. Wiki: John_M._Abowd

Pretty much just this article. This guy should be in jail.

Search terms: Abowd Census Epsilon Algorithm

19 posted on 10/13/2025 7:32:22 PM PDT by Tunehead54 (Nothing funny here ;-)
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To: ClearCase_guy
Most secure election ever.
For the Democrats, it was.
20 posted on 10/13/2025 8:26:29 PM PDT by citizen (A transgender male competing against women may be male, but he's no man.)
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