Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

EXCLUSIVE: Jasmine Crockett Holds Healthy Lead In Hypothetical 2026 Senate Race, Shock Poll Shows
Daily Caller ^ | 07/09/2025 | Adam Pack

Posted on 07/10/2025 7:30:10 AM PDT by DFG

Democratic Texas Rep. Jasmine Crockett is the preferred candidate among Texas Democratic voters to run for Senate in 2026, according to recent polling.

Crockett leads a hypothetical primary field with 35% of likely Democratic voters, followed by former Democratic Texas Rep. Colin Allred at 20%, former Presidential candidate Beto O’Rourke and Rep. Joaquin Castro tied at 13%. Just 18% of voters said they were undecided about their preferred nominee to challenge Republican Texas Sen. John Cornyn, who is seeking his fifth Senate term.

The poll was conducted by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, Senate Republicans’ campaign arm. The NRSC is supporting Cornyn’s campaign against Republican Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton.

The multimodal survey of 566 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted between July 4 and 7. Though Crockett is leading the field well outside the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 3.03%, the liberal firebrand has not signaled that she is considering a run for the upper chamber.

Crockett has emerged as one of the leading voices in the party as Democrats fight over the best approach back to power. She frequently draws controversy through her inflammatory remarks and has referred to Trump supporters as mentally ill.

Allred, who previously blew through tens of millions of dollars in a failed run against Republican Texas Sen. Ted Cruz last November, is the only well-known candidate in the race thus far. He trails Crockett by fifteen percentage points in a hypothetical matchup.

Spokespersons for Crockett and Allred did not immediately respond to the DCNF’s request for comment.

Castro and perennial candidate O’Rourke, who came up short in previous runs for Senate in 2018 and the governorship 2022, are both reportedly mulling runs. The deadline to enter the primary contest is the first week of December.

The polling is part of a broader survey the Republican group conducted in five battleground states — Texas, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina and Maine — that are likely to determine whether Senate Republicans can defend and expand their 53-seat majority during the midterms.

The group did not survey a hypothetical Democratic primary contest in Georgia, which Republicans view as a top pick-up opportunity due to the state’s red leanings and voters rejecting former Vice President Kamala Harris last November by more than 100,000 votes. The incumbent, Democratic Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff, has no well-known Democratic challengers and is likely to cruise to the general election contest.

Though most of the primary field in the five states is not settled, the most far-left or vocally anti-Trump candidate is leading or within striking distance of supplanting the frontrunner in the majority of the states surveyed, according to the NRSC polling memo.

Early support for left-wing candidates in key states comes as the left appears to be emboldened with socialist candidate Zohran Mamdani’s shock win in New York City’s Democratic mayoral primary in June. The Democratic party’s base is also urging lawmakers to aggressively resist the Trump administration with some reportedly calling on Democrats to be “willing to get shot” to thwart the president’s agenda and defy the rule of law.

Nearly a quarter of likely Democratic primary voters in the five states believe the Constitution should be “replaced or fundamentally changed,” according to the survey.

Far-left Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, who has voiced support for Mamdani, is trailing Democratic Michigan Rep. Haley Stevens within the poll’s margin of error. The crowded primary field is laying the groundwork to be a bitter intraparty fight for the nomination and could bruise the candidate that advances to the general election.

Democratic Michigan state legislator Mallory McMorrow notches just 11% of Democratic primary voters, but the liberal candidate has never run statewide before nor spent significant resources on paid media.

The most left-wing candidate in Minnesota’s contested Democratic Senate primary also maintains a comfortable lead outside the poll’s margin of error. Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan, who has embraced far-left positions on transgender issues and abortion, leads Democratic Minnesota Rep. Angie Craig 30% to 24%. Nearly half of likely Democratic primary voters are undecided.

A significant number of Democratic primary voters are also undecided about their preferred candidates in Senate races in Maine and North Carolina. The seats in both states are currently held by Republicans and are viewed by Democrats as potential flip opportunities.

Though Democratic Maine Governor Janet Mills tops former congressional staffer Jordan Wood by 14 percentage points, 51% of likely Democratic primary voters are undecided. Mills has not closed the door on a run and is likely to come under scrutiny for her views on transgender athletes in women’s sports and alleged former cocaine use if she jumps into the race.

Republican Maine Sen. Susan Collins decisively won reelection in 2020 despite Trump losing the state by nine percentage points.

In North Carolina, former Democratic Governor Roy Cooper is the preferred candidate for 39% of likely Democratic voters — the most support for any individual candidate measured across the five states. However, a greater number of Democratic voters in the state are undecided.

Cooper is reportedly leaning toward jumping into the Democratic primary. He is likely to face criticism for vetoing a state ban on child sex-change procedures in 2023 if he makes a bid for the open seat vacated by Republican North Carolina Sen. Thom Tillis.

The NRSC poll also found that the top concern of Democratic voters in the five states were government entitlement programs, with 44% of those saying it was their most-important issue. The economy was second, with 23% of voters pointing to it as their main concern.


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: bobblehead; domesticterrorist
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-36 next last

1 posted on 07/10/2025 7:30:10 AM PDT by DFG
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: DFG

Shocked?

No.................


2 posted on 07/10/2025 7:33:29 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DFG

Cornyn isn’t going to be the GOP nominee if Ken Paxton runs an even mediocre primary campaign.


3 posted on 07/10/2025 7:35:02 AM PDT by MTBobcat (The “rank-and-file” are as corrupted as their leadership.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DFG

The DemonRAT Party of Death is a lot more worse off than we think. When you’ve got the “My Little Pony” teenybopper running for President, you can bet you’re in a heap of trouble.


4 posted on 07/10/2025 7:35:38 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (DemonRAT politicians say tha pt their voters are all murderers who want American blood for illegals.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DFG

They all suck.


5 posted on 07/10/2025 7:35:54 AM PDT by Williams (Thank God for the election of President Trump!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Red Badger

This is actually good news. Colin Allred is a snake-in-the-grass with a chance of actually winning.


6 posted on 07/10/2025 7:36:04 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (The politicized state destroys aspects of civil society, human kindness and private charity.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Red Badger

She’s annoying. But voters of all stripes like a fighter.


7 posted on 07/10/2025 7:36:17 AM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: FlingWingFlyer

8 posted on 07/10/2025 7:36:58 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

>>>Crockett has emerged as one of the leading voices in the party as Democrats fight over the best approach back to power. <<<

Yes, a a loudmouthed black female ghetto trash-talking imbecile represents the best of the Democrat party. I heartily endorse her for Senate...............


9 posted on 07/10/2025 7:41:43 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Red Badger

Luckily we have no say in the matter. The democrats will own her.


10 posted on 07/10/2025 7:43:06 AM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: All
Paxton vs. Crockett?

My money is riding on Paxton.
11 posted on 07/10/2025 7:44:56 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: DFG

It tells you the state of the Democratic voters - stupid.


12 posted on 07/10/2025 7:45:06 AM PDT by Wuli (uire)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

Can you imagine both her and AOC in the Senate? It will make the Taiwan Legislature look like a Ice Cream Social................


13 posted on 07/10/2025 7:45:36 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Red Badger

Shutter the thought. AOC probably has a chance. Crockett won’t win Texas yet. In a decade maybe.


14 posted on 07/10/2025 7:46:46 AM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: DFG

her fake accent plays in her district

does it play statewide?


15 posted on 07/10/2025 7:47:04 AM PDT by joshua c
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DFG

And Hillary won in 2016...Polls..


16 posted on 07/10/2025 7:50:20 AM PDT by JayGalt (For America!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DFG

Hypothetical ? LOL


17 posted on 07/10/2025 7:53:19 AM PDT by butlerweave
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator
But voters of all stripes like a fighter.

Thanks for being objective enough to acknowledge that. Not to be underestimated indeed.

18 posted on 07/10/2025 7:57:05 AM PDT by CondoleezzaProtege
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: DFG

Good. Ken Paxton is going to crush her.


19 posted on 07/10/2025 7:57:50 AM PDT by Antoninus (Republicans are all honorable men.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DFG

Well, the left has lost it. Nothing remains of them but the freaks, weirdos, and those with their hand out. Are we to be ruled by this?


20 posted on 07/10/2025 8:01:54 AM PDT by bk1000 (Banned from Breitbart)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-36 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson