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If This Is True, Trump Will Win and We’ll Know Relatively Early
PJ Media ^ | November 05, 2024 | Matt Margolis

Posted on 11/05/2024 12:05:43 PM PST by Red Badger

I don't have to tell you not to get cocky and to make sure every Trump-loving friend, family member, neighbor, and random acquaintance of yours gets out there and votes. But despite the narrative being pushed that this is a close election, there may be a chance that public pollsters who have been insistent that this race is going to be a nail-biter have been missing something big.

On Monday, veteran GOP strategist Alex Castellanos suggested that pollsters might be missing a key indicator in their analyses.

Pollsters have been getting it “wrong” in the final days of the 2024 presidential race by overlooking a “massive shift” in voter registration since the last election — which could tip the scales in favor of former President Donald Trump on Tuesday, a veteran GOP strategist says.

Alex Castellanos, who has worked on campaigns for Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney, told Fox News’ “Special Report” that the polls — which show a razor-thin margin between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris — are disregarding a “wavelet out there of Republican enthusiasm.”

"What I think they’re missing is a massive shift in voter registration underneath all of this. Thirty-one states have voter registration by party. Thirty of them in the past four years have seen movement toward Republicans,” the longtime strategist said late Sunday.

“I think there’s, I’m not going to call it a wave, but I think there’s a wavelet out there of Republican enthusiasm and registration. If I register to vote Republican, whether I’m switching or new, what am I going to do?”

(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...


TOPICS: Computers/Internet; Government; History; Politics
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1 posted on 11/05/2024 12:05:43 PM PST by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

Wasnt this story out the other day elsewhere? I thought I’d seen it somewhere.


2 posted on 11/05/2024 12:07:02 PM PST by Nifty
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To: Red Badger

I just cannot see independent voters going for Kamala, it makes no sense, especially with Rogan and RFK Jr.


3 posted on 11/05/2024 12:07:04 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Red Badger

Doesn’t matter the registrations, they have to GOTV.


4 posted on 11/05/2024 12:12:48 PM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man, a subject.")
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To: Red Badger
I will tell you, that going door-to-door for our Republican House candidate, that many of the people I spoke with were registered Democrats that are voting TRUMP.

That's just anecdotal, but sort of shocking in a deep blue state.

Across the country, there could be millions of Dems who are fed up.

5 posted on 11/05/2024 12:16:08 PM PST by Psalm 73 ("You'll never hear surf music again" - J. Hendrix)
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To: Red Badger

FACT: I went to bed at midnight Alaska time in 2020, highly confident and called “4 more years” for Trump.
FACT: The bastards stole it and when I woke up the next morning I saw the lies and BS and the feckless RINO pukes that united with the Dims to seal the steal.


6 posted on 11/05/2024 12:17:55 PM PST by vpintheak (Sometimes you’re the windshield, sometimes you’re the bug. )
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To: Red Badger

I don’t wanna know any uplifting news until we exhaust our voting ability. Take nothing for granted nothing! We’ve been down this road before get your asses out to vote and take as many people as you can. The rats are so evil it can flipping on a coin. Please take people with you to vote..text them offer rides whatever it takes we must win or our country is done. I don’t wanna hear positive stuff right now it’s too early we need to fight fight fight like our lives depend on it.


7 posted on 11/05/2024 12:21:46 PM PST by RoseofTexas
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To: dfwgator

And Tulsi.


8 posted on 11/05/2024 12:22:26 PM PST by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: Psalm 73

Most interesting comment I got while canvassing:

“I don’t like Trump. But I can’t afford Kamala. I’m voting for Vance.”

“I’m good with that, he’s a smart guy, we’ll get good policy.”


9 posted on 11/05/2024 12:24:50 PM PST by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: Red Badger
I'm not counting my chickens

It must be an initial overwhelming win for Donald
Otherwise, there's too much time and opportunity left to cheat.

10 posted on 11/05/2024 12:28:36 PM PST by llevrok (Say NO to a fourth Obama term!)
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To: FreedomPoster
“I don’t like Trump. But I can’t afford Kamala. I’m voting for Vance.”

(smiles)

11 posted on 11/05/2024 12:28:54 PM PST by Psalm 73 ("You'll never hear surf music again" - J. Hendrix)
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To: Nifty; All

Yes, it’s been out for a few days.

There is another indicator I just noticed. The Russell 2000 is having its best day in a while. I’m already in it, but a Trump victory is good for small business so I take today’s action as a positive indicator.


12 posted on 11/05/2024 12:29:38 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (.You will suffer from one: The pain of discipline or the pain of regret. )
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To: Red Badger

here’s what I think is the largest factor nobody has mentioned.

in 2020, there were 65 million mail in ballots. These were VERY easy to do fraud with. 70% of those went to Biden.

In 2024, there are only 10 million mail in ballots.

This comes to a 35 to 40 million deficit that Harris would have to make up some how.

Biden took 3 swing states with around 40,000 votes total in 2020.


13 posted on 11/05/2024 12:30:16 PM PST by MNDude
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To: Red Badger

I think the pollsters and pundits know full well what is coming and have for days. Their last duty to the left is to turn to suppression strategies to try to deny Trump a popular vote majority and try to save face for the future.


14 posted on 11/05/2024 12:31:44 PM PST by bigbob
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To: llevrok

There will be cheating regardless of time...................


15 posted on 11/05/2024 12:32:40 PM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Red Badger

The peasants are revolting.


16 posted on 11/05/2024 12:33:11 PM PST by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA, AND HE WILL HAVE NO OTHER GODS BEFORE HIM!)
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To: ripnbang

GOTV. That’s what it’s all about. We have indicators with early voter affiliation tallies, but that’s incomplete information. Sounds positive at this early stage, but the 2020 midnight fiasco still lurks in the recesses of what’s left of my mind ... and the resulting impact of this election on our Republic will be far, far greater than any I’ve been through ... beginning in 1964. Yikes!!


17 posted on 11/05/2024 12:34:08 PM PST by glennaro (2024: The Year of The Reckoning, lest our Republic succumb to the "progressive" disease of the Left)
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To: Red Badger
If This Is True, Trump Will Win and We’ll Know Relatively Early

In 2020, most people went to bed assured that Trump would win, but it was about that time the dems brought out the suitcases of fraudulent ballots. So we never "know" till we KNOW!

18 posted on 11/05/2024 12:36:11 PM PST by The Sons of Liberty (PRAY for AMERICA! and VOTE MAGA!)
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To: cowboyusa

Yeah, they stink on ice!................


19 posted on 11/05/2024 12:38:34 PM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: SaxxonWoods

Yesterday Jim Cramer said the market was already pricing in a Harris win. I immediately went out and put all my money on Trump in the Polymarket.


20 posted on 11/05/2024 12:39:36 PM PST by Obadiah
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