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Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
538 ^ | October 20, 2024 | Staff

Posted on 10/21/2024 10:37:22 AM PDT by Red Badger

538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.

Trump wins 53 times out of 100

in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.

Harris wins 47 times out of 100.

There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner.

(Excerpt) Read more at projects.fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Computers/Internet; Government; History; Politics
KEYWORDS: 538

1 posted on 10/21/2024 10:37:22 AM PDT by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

That is a very small percentage difference.


2 posted on 10/21/2024 10:44:18 AM PDT by Fido969
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To: Red Badger

Harris winning 20 out of 100 times would still be terrifying. 47 out of 100 times is NOT comforting.


3 posted on 10/21/2024 10:45:01 AM PDT by oldplayer
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To: Red Badger

R+24 in Florida early voting.


4 posted on 10/21/2024 10:45:35 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: Fido969

Still Id rather be Trump than her at this point


5 posted on 10/21/2024 10:48:37 AM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: oldplayer

It’s a computer SIMULATION. GIGO, Garbage In - Garbage Out...........


6 posted on 10/21/2024 10:51:57 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Fido969

That it is, but it’s just a simulation...............


7 posted on 10/21/2024 10:53:23 AM PDT by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: oldplayer

538 is like the Bible to the left. This must be very uncomfortable for them as well.


8 posted on 10/21/2024 11:47:58 AM PDT by MNDude
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To: Red Badger
We all know under normal circumstances this has the potential to be a complete Trump blow out. But none of us can celebrate early or relax a little because we all know the USA has fraudulent elections now. Will Trump beat the "margin of fraud"? I say yes handily.
9 posted on 10/21/2024 11:51:34 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: Red Badger

“Who will win the election” is an entirely different question from “Who will be inaugurated 47th President of the United States.”


10 posted on 10/21/2024 4:49:50 PM PDT by Paal Gulli
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