I don’t believe a word of this or any poll...if the GOP buys any of this then they are setting themselves up for a massive let down...
They make it sound like she’ll win in a Reagan landslide
Oh, I absolutely agree.
Doomer Troll identified
Info:
Michigan has about 8.3 million registered voters.
Registration is NOT by party. A turnout model of party affiliation will not be derived from state data because none exists.
Their unweighted phone call responses had 64% male responses and 36% female. This was forced to 52/48 female in the turnout model, which is not unusual, but this means the sample size of females is very small and its effect amplified by mathematics, not by actual response totals.
40% of their unweighted responses were high income. They forced this lower in their turnout model, and maybe properly, but the response totals are still going to be there.
There are too few samples. About 5% MOE. I have come to mostly ignore LVs vs RVs because every pollster has a different definition of LV and there is no telling which definition is correct.
Come on. You mean you aren’t joining the nutz who swore we’d win 30-40 house seats in 2022? This time they know these polls are accurate. Trust us.