Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Why Economists And Citizens Have Different Inflation Realities: Economists say inflation has gone down, yet ordinary citizens don't feel it
Real Investment Advice ^ | 06/26/2024 | Michael Lebowitz

Posted on 06/26/2024 10:47:24 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

click here to read article


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-31 next last

1 posted on 06/26/2024 10:47:24 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

because econometricians (aka “economists”) are full of it.


2 posted on 06/26/2024 10:49:07 AM PDT by xoxox
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

That’s because the economists are lying as they are paid to do.


3 posted on 06/26/2024 10:49:11 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

That’s because the economists are lying as they are paid to do.


4 posted on 06/26/2024 10:49:14 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jmaroneps37

“That’s because the economists are lying as they are paid to do.”

Exactly my first thought. No elaborate math necessary to understand what’s going on - just stop gaslighting.


5 posted on 06/26/2024 10:52:53 AM PDT by Magic Fingers (Political correctness mutates in order to remain virulent.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Because the economists don’t focus on what consumers actually buy. Cutting the price of caviar by half, because demand has collapsed, is not going to relevant to the consumer or Musk’s consumer trips to space being cut in half.

If you focus commonly buy, it’s a different story.


6 posted on 06/26/2024 10:52:56 AM PDT by Jonty30 (He hunted a mammoth for me, just because I said I was hungry. He is such a good friend. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

So, let this straight...

Economists are abstract, take the long-term view and are smart, while consumers are stupid, oblivious to making more money in wages and listen to old Grandpa stories?

Dudes, if you’re not making much, having to pay even a few cents more can really matter. Even the smaller increases in the price of food can bring up survival angst. Show some empathy.


7 posted on 06/26/2024 10:59:10 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (Repeal the Patriot Act; Abolish the DHS; reform FBI top to bottom!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Inflation has gone down a lot through disinflation. It’s gone from about 9.3% to about 3% annually. That’s a lot.

The problem is that people think “inflation going down” means prices should be going down below where they were before the latest round of inflation started. But all inflation is upward movement in prices, even tiny inflation. Inflation at 3% means prices are rising at an annual rate of 3%. This is historically normal.

People think they should get deflation, which they will only get if we have a deep recession or depression. The govt’s insistence on using the FED reserve to try to avoid recessions (which are normal and necessary) leads to deeper recessions so people will eventually get their wish but they won’t like that any better.

This isn’t going to change because the present setup allows politicians to overspend and rake off graft for themselves, families and donors and they aren’t giving that up. Citizens keep electing the same crooks so they will continue to get the same results until they learn to elect people in business. Govt is the biggest business in America, and businessmen and women should be running it.


8 posted on 06/26/2024 11:05:20 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Are you ready for Black Lives MAGA? It's coming.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

cuz the 3.3 is a made up number


9 posted on 06/26/2024 11:05:50 AM PDT by joshua c
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

They continue to change how the CPI is calculated, and miraculously, every change causes the CPI to b lower.

It reminds me of the old book “How to Lie with Statistics”.


10 posted on 06/26/2024 11:10:40 AM PDT by EastTexasTraveler
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Most economists are govt stooges. Economics, as it is taught, is plain nonsense. Want to wreck your business? Employ an economist.


11 posted on 06/26/2024 11:18:39 AM PDT by Seruzawa ("The Political left is the Garden of Eden of incompetence" - Marx the Smarter (Groucho))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Take a look at items tracked that were removed: food, gas, etc.


12 posted on 06/26/2024 11:37:37 AM PDT by bobbo666 (Baizuo, )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The problem is that economists can say the inflation rate is coming down (in certain measures).

However, that does not change, or represent, the CUMULATIVE AFFECT of inflation since Biden took office which is X% on top of X% on top of X% quarter by quarter. That cumulative affect, and it’s result in prices, is significantly more than the “this quarter” inflation rate at present.

Some economists are not necessarily wrong but the proper focus should be on cumulative inflation; that’s what people are feeling.


13 posted on 06/26/2024 11:38:50 AM PDT by Wuli
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: joshua c

No, it’s an estimate, which is all that can be expected. An estimate that’s closer than what people simply make up.


14 posted on 06/26/2024 11:45:41 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Are you ready for Black Lives MAGA? It's coming.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Define “ down”.

Down from whare? What baseline?

Idiots.


15 posted on 06/26/2024 11:47:33 AM PDT by Fledermaus (We Are Now In A Civil War!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I use how much I have to pay for sh*t as an indicator of inflation. Using a calculator is a real dumbass Nobel way of doing it.


16 posted on 06/26/2024 11:48:30 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (When did WE decide to make America a UN 5-Star Asylum Paradise for Socialist losers?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I don’t think “economists” include food and gasoline in their calculations.


17 posted on 06/26/2024 11:49:47 AM PDT by Daveinyork
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Because civilians just notice inflating, not really the rate. For our bank accounts things getting more expensive are just more expensive. Less more expensive than last year doesn’t really mean anything for us.


18 posted on 06/26/2024 11:50:22 AM PDT by discostu (like a dog being shown a card trick)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I just had a Whopper meal. $12
In CA probably quite more.

The biggest problem is that the food, fast food restaurants, hotels, gas and electricity went up the most.

Poor people do not buy gizmos and fancy stuff, which actually did not go up that much.

So Biden policies are hurting the poor people the most!

Pretty much due to his so called green policies and wasteful spending.


19 posted on 06/26/2024 12:16:03 PM PDT by AZJeep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
"Why Economists And Citizens Have Different Inflation Realities: Economists say inflation has gone down, yet ordinary citizens don't feel it"

good example of the different realities of nobel prize winning economists:


20 posted on 06/26/2024 12:23:08 PM PDT by catnipman ((A Vote For The Lesser Of Two Evils Still Counts As A Vote For Evil))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-31 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson