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Out Of Time? US Credit Default Swap 1Y Breaches 100 As US Treasury Curve Remains Inverted And M2 Money Growth Crashes
Confounded Interest ^ | 04/19/2023 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 04/19/2023 2:58:23 AM PDT by Kaiser8408a

The US is beginning to be out of time for agreeing on a debt limit increase. But you don’t need a fortune teller to tell you that Biden and McCarthy will eventually agree to increase the US debt limit because everyone in Washington DC love to borrow and spend money. Regardless, we are seeing the 1-year US Credit Default Swap (SR, EUR) rise above 100, higher than during the 2008/2009 financial crisis.

This is occuring as the US Treasury 10Y-2Y yield curve remains inverted and M2 Money growth has crashed.

But never fear! The Evil Hobbitt (aka, Janet Yellen) is still US Treasury Secretary. You know, the one who left interest rates too low for too long (TLFTL) as Federal Reserve Chair, then tightened as soon as Donald Trump was elected President.

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.net ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Food; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: biden; economy; money; yellen
Seriously, Yellen only started to tighten when Trump was elected. So much for The Fed being apolitical. They are highly political.
1 posted on 04/19/2023 2:58:23 AM PDT by Kaiser8408a
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To: Kaiser8408a

The world quite buying US 30 year bonds about 3 or 4 years ago. T=


2 posted on 04/19/2023 3:05:33 AM PDT by Jonty30 (Black widow spiders aren't the only species that eats their mate after finishing with them. )
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To: Kaiser8408a

“The lowest historical mortgage rates in history for 30-year FRMs were more recent than you might think. December 2020 saw mortgage rates hit 2.68%, according to Freddie Mac, due largely to the effects of COVID-19. The same goes for the lowest average, with an annual rate of 3.11% for 2020.”

https://www.rocketmortgage.com/learn/historical-mortgage-rates-30-year-fixed

Trump had no reason to hate the Federal Reserve in 2020.


3 posted on 04/19/2023 5:11:20 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Kaiser8408a

I suggested small (<$20 billion) bills with a debt limit increase tied to the five-year like value of a spending cut or other reform.

We need to cap new money student loans:
$3000/first year
$6000/second-fourth years
$20000/undergraduate outstanding
$10000/year general graduate
$20000/year law school
$40000/year medical school

End new Parent Plus student loans

End limit exceptions on undergraduate loans

Top colleges have massive endowments. There’s no need to lend huge sums of money to students so they can attend a top notch college.


4 posted on 04/19/2023 5:19:32 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Kaiser8408a

There are people with housing vouchers paying less than $200/month for apartments having a market value of around $1800/month.

Increase the tenant contribution required by 10% of the total rental amount. The tenant contribution required would go from say $200/month to $380/month.


5 posted on 04/19/2023 5:26:36 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Kaiser8408a

The maximum PPACA premium subsidy is 98%, so on a $500/month policy some people have to pay $10/month to get health insurance.

Limit the maximum PPACA subsidy to 90%, so they would have to pay $50/month rather than $10/month.


6 posted on 04/19/2023 5:30:06 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Kaiser8408a

There’s lots of money floating around.

Walmart shelves are often quite empty in the food section. Most other sections are now stocked.


7 posted on 04/19/2023 5:32:18 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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