Posted on 04/11/2023 7:21:59 AM PDT by Kazan
The difficulty of training and massing the necessary troops, as well as a serious shortage of ammunition and military equipment, will probably keep the Kiev regime from attaining the goals for their much-hyped ‘spring offensive’.
This harsh assessment, apparently based on human and signals intelligence, was released as part of the ongoing massive leak of US classified documents that has sparked investigations of the Pentagon and DOJ.
The Washington Post reports:
“Labeled ‘top secret,’ the bleak assessment from early February warns of significant ‘force generation and sustainment shortfalls,’ and the likelihood that such an operation will result in only ‘modest territorial gains.’ It’s a marked departure from the Biden administration’s public statements about the vitality of Ukraine’s military and is likely to embolden critics who feel the United States and NATO should do more to push for a negotiated settlement to the conflict.
[…] It has revealed, for instance, where American officials have detected critical weaknesses in Ukraine’s air defenses and access to ammunition while exposing considerable deficiencies within the Russian military, too. Many of the assessments date to February and March.
The document forecasting only modest success in Ukraine’s forthcoming counteroffensive indicates that Kyiv’s strategy revolves around reclaiming contested areas in the east while pushing south in a bid to sever Russia’s land bridge to Crimea.”
By attacking, Ukrainian forces will have to expose themselves to a much greater degree, while the Russians will have deeply entrenched defenses to fight back from with their overwhelming artillery firepower.
The leaked document states that “enduring Ukrainian deficiencies in training and munitions supplies probably will strain progress and exacerbate casualties during the offensive.”
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Head of the Chechen Republic, Ramzan Kadyrov took to Telegram to suggest that the over-hyped Ukrainian spring counteroffensive would benefit Russia, ‘as Moscow’s troops would have an opportunity to fight in more favorable conditions’ to use fewer resources.
“Personally, I’m all for it. A successful counteroffensive needs considerable resources; losses among the attackers are inevitable. At the same time, we have taken up favorable and fortified positions.”
As the US and the west sink untold billions into an unwinnable war, they fear that a lackluster performance in the counteroffensive will lead to the weakening for the support for the Ukrainian defense, and to a push for negotiations with Moscow that will mean heavy territorial concessions by Kyiv.
Their reality is dictated by the Clowns in the State dept and the Pentagram. With Macron throwing an anvil into the gears of NATO, perhaps that day will come soon.
I understand that one cannot create additional Ukrainian soldiers out of thin air to deploy. But if the Biden regime keeps insisting we will give Ukraine whatever it needs for war until the end of time, why aren’t we manufacturing arms for them on a war footing, mass mobilisation of OUR industry to make all the artillery shells, howitzers, HIMAARS, javelins, drones etc to supply them? Or are Biden’s handlers lying about that part? The argumant that we are almost out of the stuff they need and it will take years to manufacture more of it is
a lie unless we never intend to crash mobilise our industry to make more stuff fast fast fast. Which is it?
Maybe the leaks were real
Maybe they are fake
Maybe the pentagon did it themselves ? Maybe it was the Russians
Who knows
Why the Dems and RINO’s so desperate to keep Russia out of Ukraine? Hiding something(s)? Illegal biowar labs, etc?
Before the war the same people making that assessment would have advised the Ukrainians to protect the Kyiv airport long enough for Zelenskyy to escape and set up a government in exile. I think the Ukrainians themselves have been better informed about their capabilities and prospects.
Cute how “the bleak assessment from early February” is characterized as predicting “modest gains”. This has become a “war of attrition” which at this point works in the Russian’s favor. All indications are that this is more failed Biden foreign policy which will eventually be as spectacularly embarrassing as the Afghanistan fiasco.
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