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No Mystery To Me! US Banks on Bumpy Path as First Republic’s Troubles Persist (Senator Warren Calls For Investigation Into Banking)
Confounded Interest ^ | 03/20/2023 | Anthony B. Sanders

Posted on 03/20/2023 6:05:18 AM PDT by Kaiser8408a

Its no mystery to me that San Francisco’s First Republic Bank is hurting. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) is calling for hearings into the banking meltdown. Hey Liz, look at San Francisco’s First Republic Bank as a case study.

The infamous Covid surge in M2 Money supply (green line) produced a big surge in bank price stocks, thanks in part to the insane spending that Congress made following Covid (I’m looking at you, Liz!). But now The Fed is slowing M2 Money growth and banks like First Republic are paying the price.

As The Fed tightens, earnings per share for First Republic (red line) have crashed and burned. Along with its stock price.

So, its not mystery to me what happened. Bernanke and Yellen’s “too low for too long” monetary policies were suddenly taken away to fight inflation (partially caused by Biden and Congress’ spending spree).

Since The Fed has been removing the punch bowl to fight inflation, the S&P 500 index and the KBW bank index have gotten crush. Since February 2nd, the S&P 500 index is down -6.3% while the KBW Bank index is down -31.4%.

In short, banks take in short-term deposits and lend long, earning the spread. But when rates start to rise, watch out!!

(Excerpt) Read more at confoundedinterest.net ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Food; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: banks; biden; fed; inlation
No mystery. Stupid Joe declares war on fossil fuels and then Biden/Congress go on an epic spending spree to "combat global warming." End result? Banks are getting screwed.
1 posted on 03/20/2023 6:05:18 AM PDT by Kaiser8408a
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To: Kaiser8408a

Imagine if the government did not manipulate yields to create the inverted yield curve and all long term treasury securities were fully discounted in value.

There would be thousands of banks folding instead of hundreds.


2 posted on 03/20/2023 6:08:53 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings )
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To: Kaiser8408a

Everything controlled by the Left is a disaster


3 posted on 03/20/2023 6:09:00 AM PDT by butlerweave
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To: Kaiser8408a

Proof that all the rules in the world don’t mean sh!t.

And the “regulators” ignore the problems.


4 posted on 03/20/2023 6:09:02 AM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: Kaiser8408a

Psychojawea, blame runaway spending, inflation and the Fed.


5 posted on 03/20/2023 6:10:20 AM PDT by Huskrrrr (Alinsky, you magnificent Bastard, I read your book!)
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To: Kaiser8408a

Now the government mortgage associations debt, of which $12 trillion is due within 24 months must refinance at interest rates double the rates charged on the 30 year fixed rate 3% to 4% mortgages.

None of their debt that is government guaranteed is included in the national debt of $31.5 trillion. If included, it would double our national debt.


6 posted on 03/20/2023 6:13:15 AM PDT by tired&retired (Blessings )
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To: butlerweave

Liz Warren should be indicted for her lying on applications presenting herself as a minority American Indian to secure Federal monies for school and then a position of employment set aside for minorities and garnered her a $400,000 salary.
She is guilty by her own admission.


7 posted on 03/20/2023 6:15:14 AM PDT by chopperk ( )
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To: Kaiser8408a

A balanced budget amendment would send interest rates sharply lower, saving the banks.

I would prefer balanced fiscal year amendment wherein elected federal constitutional officers would become ineligible for government-based employment after their existing terms end.


8 posted on 03/20/2023 6:16:57 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: chopperk

The moral of the story. Cheating and lying pays handsomely.
And being elected to a federal jobs makes you invincible from arrest.


9 posted on 03/20/2023 6:22:55 AM PDT by Leep (Hillary will NEVER be president! 😁)
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To: tired&retired

“$12 trillion is due within 24 months”

Does anybody reading here have a link for that info?


10 posted on 03/20/2023 6:23:56 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Kaiser8408a

So the Stupid Injun Bitch wants an investigation. What makes her think she’s bright enough to understand a single thing said in testimony? Will she recognize that she is one of those directly responsible for the current state of the economy and the banking crisis? I highly doubt it. If she had an ounce of intelligence and even a bit of shame, she would resign along with everyone who voted for all the massive spending since the ChiCom Virus hit. There’s no chance of that happening.


11 posted on 03/20/2023 6:24:20 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA ("How did you go bankrupt?" Bill asked. "Two ways," Mike said. "Gradually and then suddenly." )
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To: tired&retired

I thought banks adjusted federal debt holdings to the terms of the CDs they issued.


12 posted on 03/20/2023 6:26:00 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: ConservativeInPA

Trump signed into law every Covid spending bill he was presented with.

Trump authorized paying people $600/week to sit on their couches.


13 posted on 03/20/2023 6:28:00 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Brian Griffin

And I have definite problems with that.


14 posted on 03/20/2023 6:39:03 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA ("How did you go bankrupt?" Bill asked. "Two ways," Mike said. "Gradually and then suddenly." )
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To: Kaiser8408a

Meanwhile...

https://www.citybeat.com/news/ohio-teachers-pension-system-wont-say-what-it-lost-on-failed-silicon-valley-bank-14940460


15 posted on 03/20/2023 6:45:30 AM PDT by mewzilla (We will never restore the republic if we don't first secure the ballot box.)
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To: Kaiser8408a

YoY! Now twice a day!


16 posted on 03/20/2023 6:56:03 AM PDT by webheart
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To: Kaiser8408a

When did the government get into the ‘investigation’ racket instead of ‘governing’????


17 posted on 03/20/2023 7:52:01 AM PDT by SMARTY (“Liberalism is totalitarianism with a human face.” Thomas Sowell)
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To: Brian Griffin; tired&retired
As far as I can see, Fannie's short-term debt is less than $12 billion. Freddie Mac's $2.2 bill

https://capitalmarkets.fanniemae.com/debt-securities/debt-reports/funding-summary

https://capitalmarkets.freddiemac.com/debt/lookup/totalDebtOutstanding

18 posted on 03/21/2023 11:11:08 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (TANSTAAFL)
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To: Brian Griffin
The longest-term CD I've seen is 5 years.

US Treasuries go up to 30 years.

19 posted on 03/21/2023 11:13:19 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (TANSTAAFL)
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