Posted on 02/17/2023 7:16:59 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
Dance and sing, your Neocon dream died in the Donbass !
Good morning or should I say evening
6 months trying to take Donbas well maybe they will then comes the 25mm and Russia will have plenty of bmp-1s from the formally 2nd largest military
It is a shame because Putin in his bunker only has one way to go
“In #Zaporizhzhia Oblast, an abanoned Russian T-80BV tank was destroyed by a very precise drone-dropped munition, deposited straight into the Commander’s hatch.”
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1626600071310774275
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Feb 16, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
-—> The True State of Russian Army <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
-—> Clandestine U.K. Program Developed 3D-Printed ‘Suicide’ Drone For Ukraine <——
The delta-wing drone was just one result of a rapid U.K. development program intended to prove systems for potential use by Ukraine.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/clandestine-u-k-program-developed-3d-printed-suicide-drone-for-ukraine
Excerpt:
Ben Hodges, a retired Army lieutenant general who commanded U.S. Army Europe, told The War Zone on Thursday [about] taking pressure off Donbas and liberating Crimea. “Crimea is the key,” he said. “it is the decisive terrain.”
Ukraine should “focus on Crimea now as the main effort while using ‘economy of force’ in the east to slow/stop Russian ground attacks.”
With its Black Sea Fleet and several other Russian military installations on Crimea, “Ukraine knows they’ll never be safe or secure so long as Russia occupies” the peninsula.
“Any ‘peace settlement’ which results in Russia holding on to Crimea only means that Russia will wait two or three years until we, the West, will lose interest and in the meanwhile they’ll rebuild their military, address their mistakes, and restart their war against Ukraine. That’s been the pattern since 2008.”
In addition, “Kyiv also knows that they’ll never be able to rebuild their economy so long as Russia occupies Crimea. No access to the Azov Sea means that Mariupol and Berdans’k can never function again as seaports, even after they’re liberated.
The Black Sea Fleet would continue to disrupt/interdict commerce in and out of Odesa. And Russian claims to territorial waters, if not challenged, would deprive Ukraine access to potential gas deposits under the Black Sea. So Ukraine has to liberate Crimea. It is the key. Do that first, this year. Donbas will come later. It’s important but not decisive.”
The peninsula, he added, “is about the size of Massachusetts. There’s no place to hide. All Russian facility locations are well known and obvious - and vulnerable.”
“Precision strikes on Sevastopol will force the Black Sea Fleet to reposition to Novorossisk which is far less capable as a base, and further away from Ukrainian cities. The airbase Saki, on the west coast of Crimea, should become completely unusable. And the logistics hub at Dzankoy in the north of Crimea should become a huge bonfire.”
The Ukrainian “Angry Birds” drone unit attacks Russian troops. Simple off the shelf parts - anyone can make it. Suicide drones that use a commercial Radiomaster RC M-II TA16S (Mode 2) controller and goggles to fly into the target.
———————————————————————————————————————
••Day 358.
Today a lot of news is coming from the south.
Here, the Ukrainians launched a series of precision strikes that successfully exploited the movement of Russian forces away from the close proximity to the front.
The Ukrainians took out several Russian air defense systems and then hit three Russian bases in this unprotected area, and also a huge column with dozens of pieces of equipment and soldiers.
Last time we talked about this region, I told you that the Ukrainians had concentrated their fire on the bases that are closer to the front line.
In this first phase of heavy fire, the Ukrainians destroyed Russian equipment and concentrations of manpower in the vicinity of Kahovka, Nova Kahovka, Oleshky, Radensk, and Skadovsk.
I also told you that as a result of this fire, the Russians started moving and relocating their forces closer to Crimea and Melitopol and that this would be the next logical target for the Ukrainians. And this is exactly what happened today.
The first target of the Ukrainian precision strike became Kalanchak.
Here the Ukrainians have reportedly struck a number of Russian air defense systems - either S-300 or S-400.
The successful destruction of Russian air defense systems gave more flexibility in the sky, which is when the Ukrainians launched the second wave of rocket attacks.
The second target became a Russian base in Skadovsk. Here the Russians have the main headquarters for launching Iranian drones in southern Ukraine.
Ukrainian Intelligence reported that these facilities are used both for training as well as participating in the massive missile and drone strikes on Ukraine. Today’s strike indicates that these facilities have been damaged.
The third target became a Russian base in Chaplynka. Chaplynka has a famous airfield that the Russians used to conduct rapid airstrikes on Ukrainian attack units during the Battle for Kherson.
Over the last several months, this airfield was used for conducting airstrikes on the Ukrainian positions along the river, in particular, hitting Zolota Balka and Dudchany.
So far, there are no details as to what exactly was targeted on this airfield, but judging by the previous reports and satellite footage, the Russians kept there a few helicopters.
The next strike targeted a Russian base in Armiansk, which is already Crimea. Armiansk is the town that basically connects Kherson and Crimea, so it is an important logistical hub where the Russians had a pretty big base, especially with ammunition.
At first, the occupation authorities reported that the explosions were caused by air defense, but when photos emerged of a huge cloud of smoke, Russian sources corrected themselves and said that Russian soldiers were undergoing training in that region. Ukrainian sources reported that it was a successful hit on an ammunition depot.
The last strike happened in the Zaporizhzhia region. Here the Ukrainians caught a huge Russian column that was moving from Vasylivka toward Melitopol.
Some sources speculate that the final destination of this column was Vuhledar because the Russians incurred extensive losses in that region over the last several weeks and were in dire need of reinforcement.
Unfortunately for the Russians, their old practices of using columns continue costing them manpower and equipment, as this column never reached its destination.
Overall, the Ukrainian Air Force had a very productive day and, according to the yet unconfirmed reports, destroyed drone facilities in Skadovsk, air defense systems in Kalanchak, helicopters in Chaplynka, an ammunition depot in Armiansk, and a column near Vasylivka, which resulted in losses of armor as well as manpower.
==
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZPpYQuLW8T0
Denys says:
Bakhmut: Southern pincer unable to move because of all he problems in the Wagner PMC; the northern pincer moved a little bit. No change in center. Bakhmut will hold as long as Chasiv Yar is controlled by UA.
Wagner PMC complains today that they have no artillery shells in Bakhmut. Are sourcing ammoa and weapons form other private armies like the Chechens, but supplies “nothing like what they got from the Red Army”. And their situation continues to deteriorate.
UK talking about sending ~100 Eurofighter Typhoons with the Challenger 2 tanks. Spain, Italy, Germany and France also have these planes.
Zaporizhzhia Region: Many miles long convoy coming from Rostov-on-Don to Mariupol, then to Berdans’k. Road is terrible - gravel and mud. Trucks bumper to bumper. From Berdans’k on to Melitopol.
Russian dedicated de-mining vehicles and tanks with mine plows destroyed by artillery. Huge loss.
International Institute of War Researchers said that Russia has lost 50% of its modern tanks like: T-72b3, T-72b3m, T-90M. Russia had around 1,800 of them - now are 900 lost.
Please go back to your editor and rephrase your comment. It’s reads like nonsense. Thank you and have a wonderful evening.
Zaporizhzhia Region: Many miles long convoy coming from Rostov-on-Don to Mariupol, then to Berdans’k. Road is terrible - gravel and mud. Trucks bumper to bumper. From Berdans’k on to Melitopol.
He gets 10,000 rubles each time he predicts “It’s over”
Any special celebrations planned for 365th day of “its over” coming up?
Once again, a very interesting video.
Drone directed, indirect tank fire.
Explosions are less than artillery but more than mortars.
The 3 shots in the video were on-target.
The big unknown is how many sighter shots were required to get on target.
Also unknown is RU's ability to counter-battery fire on the tanks.
My guess is the tanks shoot and scoot to avoid counter-battery fire.
UKR will probably continue to reinforce Bakhmut as long as RU is unable to defeat the drones.
@Bakhmut_Killing_Field
Video:
Putin’s feet during his meeting with Lukashenko.
Is this Morse code?
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1626628669476114432
I don’t know but this is very crucial getting right me being invested in energy. I don’t want to be caught with my pants down once the war ends.
Things will have to worse for Russia on the battlefield, and at the kitchen table level of the economy, for Russian society to really sour on the war, and the Putin regime.
That seems to be what is on track to happen. They are on track for for some serious Military losses when the Ukrainians launch their Spring/Summer counter-attack, with all the new Western gear.
Economically, the Russian Government had a big surge in revenue from the oil and gas price surges last year, to help paper over the effects of sanctions, so people felt less of a contraction than occurred. This year however, the situation is sharply reversed, with oil and gas prices back down to normal, and Europe having successfully replaced Russian for gas and oil supplies. This January’s rate of deficits would wipe out the Russian Government’s once huge (in percentage terms) financial and gold reserves completely by Christmas, if it continues. They will of course drag that out by taxing more and spending less outside of the Military, but the people will see and feel the economic costs significantly more this year than last.
Putin’s energy weapon backfired catastrophically on Russia.
From OilPrice.com today (https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/European-Natural-Gas-Prices-Sink-To-18-Month-Low.html ):
“Europe’s benchmark natural gas price fell on Friday to the lowest level in 18 months as concerns about a gas crisis this winter continue to recede amid mild weather and above-average inventories across the continent.
On Friday morning in Amsterdam, the front-month futures at the TTF hub were down by 6% and fell below the threshold of 50 euros ($53) per megawatt-hour (MWh) for the first time since August 2021.
Prices are now more than 85% down from the record high of 300 euros ($318) per MWh from August 2022, and down by around 35% so far this year alone.
“EU gas trades below €50/MWh for the first time in 17 months, and equally important, the winter 23/24 and 24/25 continues to soften as well, both trading below €60,” Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank, said on Friday”
Morse Code for “I’m nervous” or “I have a medical condition”.
It was an interesting read.
Thanks for posting.
You’re welcome.
“American M2A2 Bradleys arrived at the American Coleman-2 site in Mannheim, Germany. Here they are being prepared for their final route to Ukraine.”
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1626618269997178880
Your right doing on phone doesn’t make much sense, esp when I am the editor
Is this Morse code?
—
Tight shoes, sweaty feet, very uncomfortable. Maybe some numbness in toes, and is trying to restore circulation?
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