Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.

Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Nov 29, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)

War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos

Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).

(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)

••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named War in Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... )

-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/

———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: Russian Artillery Advantage Diminishing <——
For a variety of reasons, the ratio of Russian artillery volleys compared to Ukrainian ones is decreasing, a Pentagon official said.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-russian-artillery-advantage-diminishing

—

-—> Turkish Laser-Guided Artillery Rockets Could Be Giving Ukraine New Capability <——
There are reports that Turkey delivered TRLG-230 artillery rockets along with launchers mounted on Russian-made trucks to Ukrainian forces.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/turkish-laser-guided-artillery-rockets-could-be-giving-ukraine-new-capability

Excerpts:
Ukraine’s military is reportedly now employing versions of the Multi-Barrel Rocket Launcher system, or MBRL, from Turkish manufacturer Rokestan, against invading Russian forces. Those same reports indicate that the launchers are ironically mounted on Russian-made trucks and that they came along with precision-guided 230mm TRLG-230 artillery rockets.

TRLG-230 is in many ways analogous to the 227mm M30/M31 Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) rockets that the Ukrainian armed forces have received so far from the United States and others for use with M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System, or HIMARS, and variants and derivatives of the M270 Multiple Launch Rocket System. However, the TRLG-230s have a laser seeker that allows them to engage dynamic targets, a capability that the M30/M31s do not offer.

—
-—> Sending Patriot Missiles To Ukraine Being Actively Considered By U.S., NATO <——
Discussions about sending Patriots to Ukraine are ongoing amid Russian strikes and fears Iranian ballistic missiles could enter the equation.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/sending-patriots-to-ukraine-being-actively-considered-by-u-s-nato

Excerpts:
Transferring Patriot surface-to-air missile systems, which have a relatively robust defensive capability against shorter-range ballistic missiles, to the Ukrainian armed forces is under consideration, according to the Pentagon and NATO.

Authorities in Ukraine have been seeking Patriots since before Russia’s all-out invasion, but there has been reinvigorated interest in these systems more recently as the country has been subjected to major missile strikes on its power grid.

There are also fears that Russian forces could soon begin employing Iranian short-range ballistic missiles as part of this campaign, which threatens to leave many Ukrainians literally in the dark and cold in the middle of winter.

“All [air defense] capabilities are on the table,” a senior U.S. defense official told The War Zone and other outlets at a press briefing today. “Patriot is one of the air defense capabilities that is being considered.”

“We have no plans to provide Patriot batteries to Ukraine,” U.S. Air Force Brig. Gen. Patrick Ryder, the Pentagon’s top spokesperson, clarified at a subsequent press briefing. “But again, we’ll continue to have those discussions, and when and if there’s something to announce on that front, we will.”

“When it comes to certain capabilities, like Patriot missiles ... you’re talking about a pretty significant maintenance and sustainment tail, as well as a training tail on those things. So then none of these systems are ‘plug and play.’ You can’t just show up on the battlefield and start using them,” Ryder added.

The ability of the Ukrainians to identify Russian artillery systems and Russian radars has been pretty effective and they’ve been combining the use of not just their tube artillery, but as you know, HIMARS and the employment of GMLRS to get after the Russian artillery effectiveness.”

All told, the U.S. alone has provided more than one million rounds of howitzer ammunition, including up to 903,000 standard 155mm howitzer rounds as well as 3,000 M982 Excalibur guided rounds, 7,000 Remote Anti-Armor Mine System (RAAMS) projectiles, and 180,000 105mm howitzer shells.

But Ukraine has more 152mm tubes than 155mm tubes, with less ammunition for them, something it is attempting to address with newly launched domestic production of an undisclosed number of 152mm rounds.

Ukroboronprom, the Ukrainian state defense production agency, previously said it established the production of 122mm and 152mm artillery shells, as well as 120mm mines.

“They noted that these shells have been successfully tested and are manufactured using NATO technology,”

———————————————————————————————————————
Summary:
Situation south of Bahmut becomes very negative for Ukrainian forces.

Key areas:
- North Lugansk: no changes

- North Donbass:
Russian troops captured Kurdyumivka.

- Central Donbass (Donetsk West): no changes.
- Zaporizhya: no changes.

———————————————————————————————————————
••Russia Economy:
There are news coming out of Russia that 50% of the shopping malls there are to go bankrupt in 2023, and already 200 shopping malls are on the market, up for sale. This is clearly showing that the Russian consumer is completely destroyed and non-existent.

••Russian Energy Supply And China:
There were some statistics that came out which were mentioned by the head of th Russian oil monopoly, Rosneft. In Russia, the government created two monopolies; there are smaller players, but they are tiny, relative to those two, and its more monopolized in natural gas production and export by Gazprom, and for oil its Rosneft; the head of Rosneft visited China and gave a speech, saying Russia is currently supplying about 0.9 million barrels per day of Russian crude to China.

Chinese consumption is about 12.8 million barrels per day, that’s a slightly more than the entire Russia production; Russia producing around 11 million barrels per day, at the same time China is partially self-sufficient - I think the internal production is about 6-7 million, but half of it is imported; internally produced oil constitutes 7% of the Chinese oil supply and Russia still maintains the number one position in China.

Russia is supplying 53 million tons of coal, heating coal to China over 10 months period, cumulatively, since the beginning of the year which is 23% of Chinese coal imports, and also the export of electricity from Russia to China grew by 33% over again the same 10 months, since the beginning of this year.

The integration of two countries is growing stronger; the largest impediment is lack of infrastructure - railroad infrastructure as I mentioned, Russia wanted to export more coal, but there is not enough throughput capacity on the two railroads that connect Russia and China; and then for natural gas there’s also not enough pipeline capacity.

Its also extremely limited and crude is its all Seaboard, so that’s much easier that’s much the crude is extremely liquid commodity, which you can always convert into cash extremely easily on the on the global market.

••India:
Another buyer of Russian crude is India, and it was reported that India purchased 40% of all Russian crude in November of this year, there’s simply no shortages of buyers of Russian crude, and its still at relatively elevated prices, and that’s one of the reasons why all of these ideas about the price ceiling for Russian crude is pretty much futile attempts to reduce flow of foreign currency into Russian.

That’s good this is road to nowhere, while with natural gas, its easier because natural gas is not as liquid a commodity, and its much harder to transport - as opposed to crude, so there could be something, but it does look like there is a big disagreement, and so the whole idea was non-starter from the very beginning & very unlikely to materialize any meaningful way.

••Germany:
Germany has a energy importer of natural gas from Russia called Juniper, which is bankrupt, but the German government bailed it out, and because there’s a shortage of natural gas, it brings online power generator that’s uses heating oil, diesel fuel, which is super environment environmentally unfriendly. There is no difference, even close to burning coal, probably coal is slightly worse, but still those are one of the worst options.

That’s a result of all of the misguided policies the German government has pursued with a suicidal and fanatical will. As a result, instead of creating less pollution, it creates much more pollution, and much worse situation for the German economy and German citizens. Nevertheless, they continue trying.

The energy situation in the UK: where were sensible ideas, ‘let’s build nuclear power station which is the solution,’ the only problem is the securing supply of uranium, which is heavily controlled by Russia, and then Kazakhstan, but Kazakhstan is heavily influenced by Russia - so its difficult.

••Africa:
I mentioned about the supply from Africa from south of the southern part of Sahara where there are deposits of uranium, but Wagner mercenaries are operating there; they forced the withdrawal of French troops and even German troops, and the reason for that is they want to gain control over the supply of uranium, monopolize the market, and create problems for the West, but this is definitely step in the right direction - the only problem is there is no research into improving technology for nuclear fission, and that’s part of the problem.

There’s a sense initially that there were no recent advances, since probably the 50s or 60s in that area. UK is pursuing construction of a nuclear power plant, called Sizewell C, and it was being built by the Chinese contractor, called CGN, but UK government decided to kick out the Chinese contractor company and replaced it with a French one EDF, which is more expensive, but for security reasons and all of these ties between the West and all UK, US & Canada, more English-speaking countries is being severed with China, which in turn leads to higher inflation in the West, in general.

••Inflation in The US:
Speaking about the inflation, it looks like there might be a strike of railroad workers, which US government trying to prevent from happening; this is going to be hugely inflationary and will put pressure on the Federal Reserve to continue increasing interest rates, and the reason this strike is happening is because the cost of living is rising, and people are not earning enough money to support themselves.

Expenses are exceeding revenue, and then you don’t have incentive to work; some people go strike, some people just don’t work, and I have no idea what they can do, but the end result is they are not working, and so you have the shortages of labor, because all of the shortages of labor are happening at the worker level, people who produce something.

It’s not happening at a white-collar level - there’s extreme oversupply of white-collar workers or employees that don’t produce much in terms of value added. I would even be more critical, saying most of them are just pushing paper around, without really doing anything useful, and this is what the economy is going through, and why there is another strong push for inflation is still going on, and probably will continue.

••Restructuring Western economies:
Restructuring is going on in the Western economies, as a result of the disruption of the supply of cheap commodities, mainly from Russia, and that restructuring is about increasing wages for blue-collar workers, who work and produce something, and reducing the number of white-collar workers, who don’t really produce much, but whose salaries are overpaid.

Its positive trend for the West in general, at societal level, because there is a huge gap between blue-collar workers and white-collar workers, and it was growing tremendously, especially in the US, and starting to create division in the society and problems in the society.

Now this gap is going to be compressing, where the blue-collar workers will probably get paid more, and there will be very few layoffs, but there will be significant layoffs for white-collar workers, who don’t produce much, and are extremely overpaid.

That’s why I’m saying restructuring in the Western economy is going to be happening, and remains to be seen if there will be a flow back into blue-collar workers from the white-collar workers, and how that’s going to play out, because I would suspect that laid off white-collar workers probably will not be willing to go into blue-collar professions.

I think with the Federal Reserve’s continuous raising rates, there will be quite a bit of layoffs in a white-collar space. This is how I think the whole recession is going to be very different from what everybody has seen over past 30 years; this is going to be more like a white-collar job recession, as opposed to blue-collar job recession, but blue-collar workers are mostly not getting paid enough, so they will they will be demanding more and more wage increases, which will put pressure on the companies, and squeeze their margins, in general.

This whole situation is not anywhere close to under control and requires much more than just increasing interest rates, but that’s what’s only available to Federal Reserves - so it will pursue this I would say very sadistic policy, but if they don’t do it, and the governments doesn’t do what they need to do, to increase supply, then that’s the only option available to prevent societal collapse.

••Ukraine:
There was news from the mayor of this town Uman’ which was about 80,000 people before the war - now who knows so many people, but the mayor of the town said that its in a critical situation: they not getting enough electricity to sustain critical infrastructure in the town.

This means there is no heat, no water, no sewage is working - its a trap before town & cities are total death traps, especially in the time of war. It’s the second town that’s announced this same emergency situation in Ukraine the other one not far away. The situation is a cascading effect & spreading - I would not be surprised to see more towns announcing this emergency situation; the problem is there is nobody to help them.

You need to survive on your own, but that’s just reality of life there. The Ukrainian government simply is not there - its completely incompetent, completely corrupt, and not capable of doing anything - its a stone on the neck of Ukrainian society.

••Electricity:
Related this whole developing situation with electricity: the charging stations for electric vehicles - the majority of them are not working; the official number is 70% of them are not working. If you are an owner of a EV, you now have no car, just so you understand why gasoline & diesel are much more reliable sources of energy.

That this whole power grid, Ukrainian power grid is going through agony, dying from the wounds that were inflicted - last time it was on November 23rd - the trend which was officially reported by Ukrainian authorities is a negative trend; the system is disintegrating and the throughput is going down through the system. If it will die on its own over the next 10-20 days or the Russia will do a final attack to completely finish it off, honestly at this point, it doesn’t matter. It’s two roads that lead to the same outcome.

••Ukrainian Agriculture:
There was an announcement that 47% of corn remains unharvested in the fields - that’s equivalent of 11-12 million tons of corn was not harvested by the farmers, and the reason for that is that there is no incentive the same the incentives are being killed in Ukraine, specifically - apparently, its cheaper for the farmers to let it rot, than to spend money on fuel to harvest it.

This also bodes extremely bad for next year: many farmers will not be willing to invest their resources, invest their capital, because they realized, if they do that, they probably will have a negative result and lose everything, and part of the reason for that is because the prices, the purchasing prices for them by the wholesalers, who then export are too low and logistical costs are extremely high in Ukraine right now because of all of the damage to the power grid & because at least 50% of railroad traffic is done by electric locomotives - they are grounded right now - the costs are extremely high, and if they eat margins, you have no incentive to produce.

The situation in Russia probably is somewhat similar, and is probably a little bit better because the logistical system is still functioning, but its also bottlenecked because it cannot use the international financial system, specifically Swift to export - so there are problems, but it looks like finally there is decision in the West to allow Russia’s Rossel’hozbank to be connected to Swift.

Its not even to Swift: its connected to one of the Western banks - I don’t remember which one - and then that bank operates on behalf of Rossel’hozbank and receives the payments and then sends the net amount to Rossel’hozbank; it looks like this system will be unblocked - the situation in Russian agriculture is not as terrible as it is in Ukrainian.

••Military Situation:
••The North:
There’s a little more like higher intensity of the artillery fire along the Ukraine State border, mainly from the Ukrainian side - its still on the lower end.

••North Luhansk’:
Things here are somewhat similar: some Ukrainian attacks attempted to get to the river which lead to nowhere; then Russian counter attacks also lead to nowhere - an exchange of the blows that lead to nowhere on both sides.

••North Donbas:
This is the where this is the area where situation for Ukrainian side is getting extremely bad, and first of all there are some attacks in the Northern section of this Northern Donbas front line, but here the situation is much more stable. Russian troops don’t advance, they don’t get anywhere; the situation is really bad straight north of Bakhmut.

There is a salient here created probably a couple months ago, but the biggest problem is that Russian troops and Wagner mercenaries are continuing their advance. They captured this village called Karduivka and they created a really big salient over past two days.

Ukrainian defense collapsed there under the severe stress; in the future they will need to straighten out the front line - its not coherent any more, its turning into pockets of resistance, and they need to retreat to create more straight line, but the problem is the tactics of the Wagner Group that Ukrainian side has no answer.

Let’s say Ukrainian choose will retreat to new front line, the same thing will happen there as well. This will be probably a situation where it will require some change and extreme change on Ukrainian side in order to deal with the situation.

The other option is to really do a large offensive in the southern portion of North Luhansk’ and move then turn south across the Seversky Donets River and create the threat of encirclement to all of the Wagner Group, forcing a panicked withdrawal down in the southern and southeastern direction.

That’s really only other option, without changing really Ukrainian army or organizational it was that’s what I mean the first the most important part; the thing that the Ukrainian side has those resources, but there is enough Russian soldiers on the ground to prevent that from happening; the moment has been lost long time ago, and so all of this situation is going into a painful situation for Ukrainian side.

One thing I just want to mention here: there is a channel (running diagonally northwest to southeast) that supplies water from Dnipro River to Donbas, and is this might be the new defensive line for Ukrainian side - they will retreat to the western bank of this channel, which also can mean that the whole area will be lost.

Then Bakhmut becomes more and more outflanked, eventually probably lost. This is where its going - the way it goes right now, and is accelerating in a negative trend for Ukrainian side.

Over the past two days Russian troops managed to create quite a big salient; this is a difficult situation for Ukrainian troops, and this may lead to some small size dramatic situation for Ukrainian troops in this area.

••Central Donbas:
Things here are much more stable, Russian troops are trying to attack out of their typical areas: this north of Advivka and Pisky salient and again the same idea outflanking and the idea is to squeeze out Ukrainian troops out of Advivka.

However progress is extremely minimal; there is a progress. but at that pace Russian troops probably will take another year to create a really dangerous situation for Advivka, which means forever.

••Zaporizhya:
Things here are sleepy and quiet as they’ve been since end of April, but we’ll see; there’s high chance that this is going to be very active front line, especially if Ukrainian command decides to address this Northern Donbas front line.

Another option is to attack here and push to the Azov Sea, splitting Russian troops into one large pocket that includes Crimea, and the northern Tavria region.

That will definitely stop and prevent all of these attacks (around Bakhmut region) and makes it futile, but whether Ukrainian side is capable of doing that is is another question. I would say the chances are also very low.

The other option that’s possible is technical superiority of Ukrainian troops, but there is nothing that’s something that’s coming that can create superiority, without learning, without improving qualitatively Ukrainian troops, because right now Ukrainian - I haven’t mentioned recently about all of these new weapons or more weapons coming to Ukraine.

Ukraine clearly has an advantage over the Russian side in precision weapons and specifically, I’m talking about artillery rockets and all of that, so if they were used cleverly it would literally make it possible to disrupt all of the Russian offensive, specifically North Donbas, and even make possible to do an offensive on its own.

However, there are no skills, there is no organizational capability to use those weapons to the fullest extent, and instead of growing qualitatively, Ukrainian side is choosing to grow quantitatively, and that’s where there is a problem, because there is not a large enough supply of the Western weapons and ammunition to allow for that, and and Ukraine was not getting anytime soon modern Western tanks, or aircraft, or attack helicopters

That probably could change the situation in Ukraine in favor, but its not coming anytime soon, so given that it is largely going to be limbo for a while with increasing opportunity for Russian side to do some offensive, probably in January - the probability of that is rising, as as time passes.

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.