Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Pollster: ‘Red wave’ becoming a full-on ‘red tsunami’
https://www.worldtribune.com ^ | November 6, 2022 | Staff

Posted on 11/07/2022 6:00:11 AM PST by Red Badger

A pollster who correctly predicted Donald Trump’s victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016 is saying that Americans are prepping to unleash a “red tsunami” in Tuesday’s midterm elections.

Patrick Basham, the polling director at the Democracy Institute, predicted that Republicans will win control of the House and Senate.

The Democracy Institute’s poll of 1,500 “likely voters” predicts the GOP will gain a minimum of 33 to 38 seats in the House, with a “probable gain” of 39 to 51 seats.

At the lowest point, this outcome would give Republicans 245 seats with a majority of 55. At the top end, the GOP could have 265 seats with a majority of 95.

Democrats currently hold a majority with 220 to 212 seats and three vacancies.

The poll does not bode well for Democrats in the Senate either. Democrats have put up a veneer of optimism, hoping to maintain the current 50/50 status quo, giving Kamala Harris the tie-breaking vote.

The Democracy Institute poll suggests that likely voters favor Republicans by 49% to 46%.

This outcome would give Republicans up to 54 seats in the Senate, with Democrats dropping to 46.

In 2016, Basham’s Democracy Institute had said: “The new poll finds Trump establishing a clear lead over Clinton, 50 percent to 45 percent, among decided voters. The outcome nevertheless remains in doubt, as an unusually large number of undecided voters (10 percent) could yet swing the election Clinton’s way, although their eventual, disproportionate support for Trump is the more probable development.”


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: 2022; basham; elections; midterms
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-65 last
To: Red Badger

61 posted on 11/07/2022 8:13:00 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: StAnDeliver

Stacey has turned “election denial” into an art form....


62 posted on 11/07/2022 8:13:40 AM PST by cgbg (Claiming that laws and regs that limit “hate speech” stop freedom of speech is “hate speech”.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 59 | View Replies]

To: StAnDeliver

I think you might be right, but if he wins, it will be because the margin of win exceeds the margin of fraud.


63 posted on 11/07/2022 8:40:44 AM PST by Lazamataz (The firearms I own today, are the firearms I will die with. How I die will be up to them.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 59 | View Replies]

To: Lazamataz
"I think you might be right, but if he wins, it will be because the margin of win exceeds the margin of fraud."

Oh for sure. I think this is one time where a GA incumbent has successfully sent the message, 'hey, do you really want to come back in Jan and do this stuff again? Get me and Walker over the top on Tuesday.'

64 posted on 11/07/2022 9:03:41 AM PST by StAnDeliver (Tanned, rested, and ready.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 63 | View Replies]

To: Red Badger
...giving Kamala Harris the tie-breaking vote.

It's time to lift that burden from Horizontal. Give her something else to do. Say, isn't she in charge of the border?

65 posted on 11/07/2022 3:04:27 PM PST by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-65 last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson