Posted on 10/25/2022 7:34:04 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
So,
Just happened to look at some historical polling today for the GA Governors race, and I decided to just pull polling groups that have done repeated polling over time.. assuming each of their polls were using consistent methodology across all their polls... And pretty much shows an entire cycle where nothing has moved much.. yes some show some mild trending over the last 4 months but for the most part, this race appears to be about as close to static as one could expect...
I wonder how many 10s if not 100s of millions have been spent in GA to try to influence this race, and looks like little if any of it made any sort of dent.
While comparing the polls against each other shows they have differing results of how close the race is.. but deviation between these polls by the same group shows little movement at all
Source Date Sample Abrams. Kemp* Other
Trafalgar Group 10/25/2022 1,076 LV ±2.9% 45% 52% 3%
Trafalgar Group 10/11/2022 1,084 LV ±2.9% 44% 53% 3%
Trafalgar Group 8/31/2022 1,079 LV ±2.9% 44% 51% 5%
InsiderAdvantage 10/17/2022 550 LV ±4.2% 43% 50% 7%
InsiderAdvantage 10/05/2022 550 LV ±4.2% 45% 50% 5%
InsiderAdvantage 7/29/2022 750 LV ±3.6% 44% 49% 7%
Quinnipiac 10/12/2022 1,157 LV ±2.9% 49% 50% 1%
Quinnipiac 9/14/2022 1,278 LV ±2.7% 48% 50% 2%
Quinnipiac 6/29/2022 1,497 RV ±2.5% 48% 48% 4%
They’re all destined to be squeakers this, ‘Silly Season,’ but I’ll bet our side wins more than we’re even hoping for this time around! :)
Early voting starts in Wisconsin, tomorrow. Ugh!
Jim crow 2.055 according to donna bra-zeeel. 😵💫
Even if the polls are 100% accurate, they don’t reflect the crooked voting apparatus and process that really hasn’t changed much since the last stolen election here.
Does anyone know the margin of cheat in Georgia?
I suspect at least 8-10%.
Does anyone know the margin of cheat in Georgia?
I suspect at least 8-10%.
I love research like this. So, while you are in the mood how about running these three groups predictions vs. actual vote count for a few past elections. These are, I believe, National pollsters so you wouldn’t have to limit your research to just Georgia.
In your spare time of course.
I once saw a very detailed study that shows Democrat turnout is relatively constant. No matter what they do, they have the same relative percentage each election.
So the difference in EVERY RACE was Republican turnout. If we show up, we win.
It’s as simple as that.
2020 was an outlier because we DID show up, we trounced the democrats, they stole 15% and gave it to Biden, and -because that was not enough- they STILL had to manufacture 4 million votes in the middle of the night.
I firmly believe that the guy who could not scare up a dozen people at his rallies never got more than 60M votes. And Trump got over 90M.
They want use to believe that Biden got 84 million to Trumps 81 million? That would mean a 160million turnout. Which would me an increase in turnout of a huge percentage.
Considering there are 330M people in the USA, subtract 1/3 for people too young to vote, and lets say another 10% for people too old, feeble, criminal, or whatever - unable to vote. That means 200 million eligible voters.
And they say we got a turnout of 80%????? That would be EPIC.
Remember Joe Biden called the Georgia law, not just Jim Crow, but Jim Eagle?
He never quite explained what Jim Eagle meant. I had never heard that term before, or since.
Well, joementia so.......
Worse than Jim Eagle, according to Brandon!
I have a lefty FB frenemy. Trump has him so balled up that he voted tor Kemp and Raffsenburger because they stood up to Trump.
I have a lefty FB frenemy. Trump has him so balled up that he voted tor Kemp and Raffsenburger because they stood up to Trump.
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