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Life span of a Russian mobilized: losses data analysis of the first month of Russian mobilization
https://informnapalm.org/en ^ | 10/24/2022 | Anton Pavlushko

Posted on 10/24/2022 10:30:24 PM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com

On September 21, 2022, Putin changed the life of an entire generation of Russian civilians to “before” and “after” mobilization. On the very first day, excited Russian draft officers began delivering the first “good-luck letters” to the newly minted Russian military men. Russian military districts raced to fulfill the mobilization targets in order to compensate for the losses in regular units at the expense of “mobiks”. The war from TV and patriotic Telegram channels suddenly entered the actual life of hundreds of thousands of civilian Russians. We did not see any mass protests against it. The protests culminated in a few videos from the Russian outback. A typical mobilized Russian is OK with making war on Ukraine, he just used to think that the regular army would take care of it for him.

The Russian press published tons of texts on how to legally delay mobilization, but subsequently switched to hints on how to properly prepare a mobilized man for the front – from advice on how to make a makeshift tourniquet from improvised materials, to checklists with what you need take from home to the front. Russian society goes to war against Ukraine en masse without any qualms.

From a legal point of view, a mobilized Russian is infinitely worse-off than a contract soldier. Now, every Russian can sign a short-term contract with the army for a minimum of 3 months. Thus, such a “contract soldier” can call it quits after a quarter in the ranks.

A mobilized Russian remains in the army until the end of the war, but no one knows when it will end. This probably does not dawn on the majority of the mobilized Russians, and therefore they resignedly sign against the receipt of the draft notice. Then they just as resignedly come to the draft station, “just to clarify their data”, from where they are promptly taken to the front.

A whole series of obituaries about the fate of the mobilized Russians has already appeared in the Russian press. In some ways, this is reminiscent of the first weeks of March, when the Russians actively wrote about the first losses in the war. Subsequently, this topic got tired and turned into an everyday reality. However, the stories of “mobiks” can still be found in the Russian press, because this is a relatively new phenomenon. Even Russian journalists want to hype on the topic.

The Russian mobilized suffered their first losses from heart attacks at mobilization stations, some showed extraordinary alcoholic prowess in training camps or died due to hazing before reaching the army. A separate case is the execution of a group of mobilized men by the ethnic Tajiks at the training camp near Belgorod – the exact losses in this story are unclear. Also several videos circulated the press of the relatives searching for missing mobilized men who have not been in contact for a long time after mobilization.

On September 22, Russian military draft offices began to deliver the first draft notices. Some were drafted into the army on the very first day and taken to training camps throughout Russia. For many, the way to the front took only a few days, and already in Ukraine, the Russian mobilized men began to die in truly massive numbers.

During the first month of mobilization, the names of at least 29 mobilized Russians killed at the front became known – information about them somehow made its way to the press or social media.

The Ukrainian OSINT expert “Necro Mancer” (Twitter account: @666_mancer) is gathering data of the Russian losses at the front. After analyzing the texts of obituaries, we supplemented the results of Necro Mancer with the dates of mobilization and the dates of arrival in Ukraine. So, what does a typical mobilized Russian killed in action look like? Mobik vulgaris

The average age of a killed “mobik” is only 33 years. Most of them are privates or corporals. So far, only one killed officer in the rank of major has been recorded. Many of them do not need initial military training because they have recently discharged from the army or worked in law enforcement agencies.

Some were paratroopers, military intelligence officers, special forces soldiers or marines. Some of them fought in Chechnya, served as a contract soldiers in the “counter-terror ops” in the Caucasus, worked for the police or the penitentiary system. That is, the killed Russian mobilized men are in a sense military men.

For example, a mobilized with the surname Khomichenko from Buryatia went to fight against Ukraine for the second time this year. Until June, he had already fought as part of the Russian regular army, and in September he landed for the second time in Ukraine, already as a mobilized soldier.

By the way, about Buryatia. The draft officers of some Russian regions sent their charges to Ukraine faster than others. The leaders in disposal of the mobilized were the Krasnoyarsk Krai and Sverdlovsk Oblast (7 pcs. each), closely followed by the Chelyabinsk Oblast (with 5 pcs.). Let us separately mark the capital regions – Moscow (3) and St. Petersburg (2). Every fifth Russian lives in the agglomerations of these two cities – mobilization could not have bypassed the metropolitan party-goers.

All the KIAs were called up in the first week of mobilization in September, but the first deaths surfaced only on the fourth of October. On the average, a mobilized man gets to Ukraine in just 7 days. However, there are also exceptions, when, within an express procedure, a “mobik” got to Ukraine on the third day after mobilization.

We could trace two main routes of getting into Ukraine through the obituaries. First – a training camp in Dzhankoy in the Crimea, followed by redeployment to the Kherson Oblast, or it could start with the Belgorod or Rostov Oblast, and from there – on to the Luhansk Oblast of Ukraine. It is interesting that some of those mobilized subsequently go again from the Luhansk to the Kherson Oblast.

It was possible to establish the place of death for 16 mobilized men. The majority die in the Kherson Oblast – 12 out of 16 in our data sample. And 4 pcs. were liquidated in the Luhansk Oblast. There is no information on the killed mobilized men in the Donbas yet.

We could partially establish the date of mobilization and arrival in Ukraine. From these data, the following conclusions can be drawn – a week after mobilization, a Russian “mobik” normally enters Ukraine. After 12 days upon mobilization, he dies in Ukraine. He manages to survive for about 4 days at the front.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine do not forgive the Russians for the desire to wage war on Ukraine. The “sad” statistics of the first KIA mobilized roughly shows how a typical Russian mobilized man will fare against the motivated Ukrainian army. On average – 4 days to live, and then – KIA, WIA or POW.


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To: canuck_conservative

“well done, thanks”

Thank you. I truly appreciate your kind words.

You’ve brought tears to my eyes. I try to post verifiable facts. As to their words, I try to view as attempts to discredit the messebger to discredit the information I share.

Again, thank you.


21 posted on 10/24/2022 11:10:23 PM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com (Pray for God's intervention to stop Putin's invasion, )
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To: canuck_conservative

You two should get a room.💋💋


22 posted on 10/24/2022 11:11:56 PM PDT by MotorCityBuck ( Keep the change, you filthy animal! )
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To: cranked

Praise the Lord.

Thank you for this comment which doesn’t how all the international support for Ukraine.

May God continue to strengthen Ukraine to persevere against this invasion. Let Putin stop his ‘Special Military Operation’ in Ukraine & let peace come.


23 posted on 10/24/2022 11:21:28 PM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com (Pray for God's intervention to stop Putin's invasion, )
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To: UMCRevMom@aol.com

Let the nuclear rhetoric keep ratcheting up and we ALL are going to needs prayers while we are ALL bending over kissing our collective arses goodbye....


24 posted on 10/24/2022 11:23:56 PM PDT by cranked
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To: cranked

Nobody likes Russia. And that’s a d***** broad range of countries.
They should ask themselves - “is it them, or is it me?”

And my suggestion stands = mandatory reading of “How to win friends and influence people”.


25 posted on 10/24/2022 11:55:55 PM PDT by buwaya (Strategic imperatives )
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To: cranked

You may want to mention that to your Russian friends. The nuke rhetoric began with Putin in February.


26 posted on 10/24/2022 11:57:17 PM PDT by buwaya (Strategic imperatives )
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To: UMCRevMom@aol.com

I appreciate your efforts. The pro-Putin posters are trying to intimidate you for posting articles. Just about any article from a commercial media source will seem (and probably be) pro-Ukrainian and anti-Putin.
Since this board is mostly a collection of these sources it is ridiculous for the pro-Putin people to abuse you for collecting this commercial media reality.
Showing non-commercial media is valuable too. Both pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian sources should be allowed. In these cases respectfully pointing out the bias of the source is valuable since casual viewers might not know these sources. But constantly harping on the bias of the mainstream British or American sources is tiresome and not news to anyone on this forum.


27 posted on 10/25/2022 12:01:50 AM PDT by conejo99
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To: buwaya

Don’t matter when it started, it matters now that it continues from all sides.

I don’t worry about yesterday or the week or month before, I worry about NOW.


28 posted on 10/25/2022 12:04:02 AM PDT by cranked
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To: buwaya

Regime change comes with lots of friends......


29 posted on 10/25/2022 12:04:41 AM PDT by cranked
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To: cranked

The Ukrainians are fighting for their country. The Russians are fighting for Putin.


30 posted on 10/25/2022 12:36:16 AM PDT by Mr Ramsbotham ("God is a spirit, and man His means of walking on the earth.")
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To: conejo99

“I appreciate your efforts. The pro-Putin posters are trying to intimidate you for posting articles.”

Thank you. I appreciate your comment.
I respect the freedom for other to hold their own viewpoint. However, I am not allowed to support Ukraine against the invasion of Putin’s Special Military Operation.

I typically, seek international sources to avoid being persecuted for using MSM. Thank you for your kind words.


31 posted on 10/25/2022 12:38:13 AM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com (Pray for God's intervention to stop Putin's invasion, )
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To: Mr Ramsbotham

“The Ukrainians are fighting for their country. The Russians are fighting for Putin.”

Truth. Thank you for your comment.

The Ukrainians fight for their country as we would.


32 posted on 10/25/2022 12:41:20 AM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com (Pray for God's intervention to stop Putin's invasion, )
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To: UMCRevMom@aol.com


“The Ukrainians are fighting for their country

The Ukrainians are fighting for biden

The bidens are fighting for their laundered money.


33 posted on 10/25/2022 1:08:39 AM PDT by 867V309 (Lock Her Up)
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To: UMCRevMom@aol.com



34 posted on 10/25/2022 1:18:21 AM PDT by 867V309 (Lock Her Up)
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To: 867V309

“The Ukrainians are fighting for biden”

The Ukrainians stood by their nation before Biden came into the picture.

Independent Ukraine
The population of Ukraine voted overwhelmingly for independence in the referendum of December 1, 1991.
(About 84 percent of eligible voters turned out for the referendum, and about 90 percent of them endorsed independence.)

When Ukrainians voted for independence from the Soviet Union in 1991, all of its 24 “oblasts,” or regions – including Donetsk, Luhansk and Crimea – supported Ukraine independence.

The minority of ethnic Russians were included as Ukrainian citizens in an independent state voted for independence. The ethnic Russians and Russian speakers in Ukraine’s east did not automatically support the separatists or want to be part of Russia.

To the point, the minority ethically Russian or Russian speakers other ethnic minorities in Crimea & Donbass region were living PEACEFULLY WITH UKRAINIANS For most of the first two decades after Ukraine independence.

In other words, being an ethnic Russian or a Russian speaker does not indicate that one sees its self as part of the Russian World. There has been an increase in sentiment of a strong, unified Ukrainian identity since 1991. Most Ukrainians see their future as a sovereign country that is part of Europe.

Of course, this directly contradicts Putin’s goals. Putin attempts to invoke the concept of the “Russian World” or “Russkiy Mir” – that Russian civilization extends to everywhere that ethnic Russians live no matter where Russians are in the world.


35 posted on 10/25/2022 2:34:54 AM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com (Pray for God's intervention to stop Putin's invasion, )
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To: cranked
Green Screen Zelensky is just as real as the Ghost of Kiev.


36 posted on 10/25/2022 4:06:55 AM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: canuck_conservative

Just the fact that he/she/it claimes that Ukraine has lost 6000 tanks is all I need to read lol


37 posted on 10/25/2022 5:38:52 AM PDT by blitz128
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To: HollyB

Zelensky sighed a decree refusing to negotiate with Russia as long as Putin is president. I suggest not giving him a single $, weapon, troop, etc till he talks. What a pompous ass he is.


If he did, the people would hang him in the next hour. He’s just the PR guy who can sign all sorts of things, but only those endorsed by Andri Yermak and the FSB/KGB have any meaning.


38 posted on 10/25/2022 5:53:56 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: cranked

You neglect your close Iranian allies. Who wouldn’t celebrate an alliance wit Iran. They are such wonderful people.


39 posted on 10/25/2022 6:01:06 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: UMCRevMom@aol.com

“ to checklists with what you need take from home to the front.”

1. Updated Last Will and Testament. Check
2. Warm clothing suitable for combat. Check
3. Large heavy duty garbage bag to be buried in. Check
4. A whole lot of luck. Damn.

When I enlisted in the USMC I was told to bring exactly nothing but the clothes on my back. Everything I needed would be provided.

L


40 posted on 10/25/2022 6:07:19 AM PDT by Lurker (Peaceful coexistence with the Left is not possible. Stop pretending that it is.)
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