Posted on 10/14/2022 9:41:46 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
So, trying to see what's going on with various races, and the last poll I see in the news out of Kansas was taken nearly a month ago, and showed the incumbent ahead something like 44 to 43... But why nothing since?
It has now been over 4 weeks since that poll, and there are only 4.5 weeks or so to the election itself. I know Kansas isn't a highly populace state, but find the gap in polling odd, especially since common "wisdom" is the sitting governor is considered highly vulnerable.
This logically is a fair assessment Kansas is a red state, she got in when voters punished R's for screwing the pooch... but will the continue to keep a D in the executive or return to their historical norm?
She does appear to have a reasonably good approval rating, given the nature of politics today, somewhere in the mid 50s. However there is a VERY unpopular president sitting in the white house that is part of her party... and there will no doubt be a lot of enthusiasm by R voters to vent their frustration, and 40 year high inflation and other things don't bode well generally as I's will take their frustration out against the Demntia Puppets party as well.. but will they cross vote governor?
Polls as we know have been broken for a long time, but she did win by 5 last time while polls showed the R slightly ahead going into election day.
There is no doubt that She got in based on the fall out of Brownbeck's failed economic policies etc... but will the punishment vote that got her in, keep her in? I would think we would be seeing at least some other polling that 1 a month in this race.. just seems odd to me.
As is often the case the good people are held hostage by the densely populated rats nests.
Laura Kelly and the Democrats are trying to make this election into a third Sam Brownback term. He is unpopular in the state. His social conservatism caused the Democrats to hate him. The economic Republicans could tolerate his social conservatism if his economic plans worked. They didn't and that combined with his social conservatism made them hate Brownback, too. The association of Kris Kobach to Sam Brownback sunk Kobach's gubernatorial campaign in 2018.
I haven't seen a poll for almost a month. The polls to date have shown a close race with both having the lead in some but none that I recall had either beyond the MOE. Same with Kobach-Mann race for AD. I'm not confident about either of these races given how many Economic Republicans hate social conservatives (like Schmidt and Kobach) more than they hate the Democrats and have a history of stabbing social conservatives in the back come election time. It also hurts Schmidt to have Dennis Pyle running as an independent. He could draw off some hard-core social conservative support that Schmidt probably needs in order to win.
You are correct and it is only continuing to get worse in Manhattan.
KSU noticeably swung hard left and woke with President Meyers at the helm. He and that damn Yankee carpetbagging Provost ran it into the ground during Covid. Hopefully, the new President will turn things around? Too soon to say but he is definitely showing signs of being a strong supporter of Agriculture and the philosophies of the Land Grant University.
I am probably one of the very few that I see in town who has a “Lets go Brandon” sticker on his pickup back window.
He didn't do this without the Congress. I don't see how he got the full blame.
To me, a place is exciting if there is/are:
Open road (lots of it)
GOP state govt
Parks and waterways
Nice wh1te people
Again, I hated KS when I lived there. I was a child Leftwad. But especially since I started riding motorcycles, KANSAS IS GREAT.
The Democrat is the incumbent and was leading in that poll.
https://www.kwch.com/2022/09/21/poll-gov-kelly-narrowly-leads-ag-schmidt-kansas-gubernatorial-race/
I’ve given up on Kansas, JoCo especially. We’re turning bluer day by day. I’m in Prairie Village and it’s now a liberal wasteland.
I love Kansas, except for the damn taxes.
You gotta have a brand first.
I liked Leftoverture.
Because it was his idea.. was the one who created abs pushed for it and advocated for it and continued to defend it long after it was evident it didn’t work.
Congress may have passed it but that doesn’t make it his mess.. it was his plan, and he paid the price for it.
One of the republican govenors we had, attempted to cut back on education funding and social benefits for the needy. It upset the entire state so when it was time to vote again, they went with a demoncrat.
This state hasn’t benefitted much by Republican leadership as it should have. The aviation industry still languishes, businesses are still closed with decrepid buildings making the city look like detroit. And there is a major drought so folks aren’t watering their lawns. Grass all over is brown, dry and crispy. Red flag warnings exist for a good part of the state. In the meantime utility bills are through the roof. Nobody can afford to water which intensifys drought. Theres nothing to hold water to the ground and nothing to evaporate to make rain.
Such conditions ebb and flow, but the politicians in charge do nothing to prepare. It doesn’t matter which party is dominant.
Yes, thank you.
Nevertheless, The Kansas legislature had to initiate the bill, so they are just as culpable.
Regardless, I will NEVER fault a conservative for trying to lower taxes. Perhaps I would for not lowering expenses at the same time.
Polls are useless. I’ve not been polled in 30 years
I’ve never been polled I don’t think they poll anybody they just make the s*** up...
Sorry, but if you refuse to see the mess that Brownback’s economic policies created then you are simply in denial or ignorant.
Like it or not, efficiently or not, governments do things, and when you cut the revenues because you believe in an economic theory that if you cut taxes you will increase revenues by equivalent or more, that in reality did not pan out and cause those services to fail because the state out of money you pay a pretty high price. Brownback was viewed so poorly by the electorate that he didn’t even finish his second term..
The legislature voted to remove his signature tax cuts.. He stupidly vetoed them and the legislature overrode his veto... A republican controlled legislature by the way.
He had a 2/3 disapproval rating in the state, when he ran away to become an ambassador in the Trump administration.
You can cling to your pure ideological belief, but reality was, cutting taxes did NOT raise revenues, and the effect of this disaster was so bad, his own party rescinded his signature law, and overrode his veto of it when he refuse to accept its failing.
The question is not the validity of the polls, the observation is, why so few of them. Don’t confuse the two
You know, I’ll take a conservative governor who made some bad fiscal mistakes over a Democrat any time. Look at what they have now.
Like it or not Kansas is in far better fiscal shape now than it was at the end of Brownback’s tenure...
At this point you are arguing “orthodoxy”... even a bad republican is better than any democrat... and that’s ludicrous.
If someones bad, they are bad, period, doesn’t matter if they have an R or a D beside their name... Brownback was BAD... so bad, that even the remaining R’s said enough is enough with this failed nonsense.
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