It's five months old.
Posted on 07/19/2022 8:13:07 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
A detailed list of the destroyed and captured vehicles and equipment of both sides can be seen below. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
A good aspect of open source int: The info is public for everyone to see. People from around the world can double check and point out wrong entries, duplicates, etc. The RuZZian trolls don’t understand this. They don’t know the definition of propaganda. They think anything “against them” is propaganda without understanding that propaganda is false or biased info. Valid info isn’t propaganda.
ORYX: The Russian list has been updated with dozens of corrections - new entries, eliminated duplicate entries, changed IDs, etc. Huge thanks to @naalsio26 and everyone else who sent me corrections!
ORYX: FYI: I am currently processing 18 pages of corrections on the Russian list - these include undocumented losses, discovered duplicate entries (which results in totals going up/down - mostly down) unclear vehicles being IDed (resulting in vehicle models changing numbers), etc.
Little Pukin seems to be hobbling a bit in this video. Almost tripped on that last step of stairs. And he has put on some weight.
“Putin lands in Tehran, Iran”
https://twitter.com/Natsecjeff/status/1549381824471879683
“The leg is taken away?”
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1549404223288348676
“Video from Ukraine’s National Guard reportedly showing a strike on a Russian T-80BV tank by a Nona-K 120mm towed mortar. “
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1549131064668569606
“UK Intelligence: Russia struggles to sustain effective offensive combat power, problem becoming increasingly acute. According to UK’s Defense Intelligence, Russia’s advance rate in the Donbas is likely to be very slow due to the lack of soldiers.”
https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1549294851728019456
“Yesterday the US House of Representatives voted 394-18 to admit Finland and Sweden into NATO”
https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/w2u6po/yesterday_the_us_house_of_representatives_voted/
It's five months old.
Nope.
Dumb Dumb Dirty RuZZian.
The only thing the Ukies have going for them at this point is Western propaganda. The reality is tat their situation is dire and not likely to hold up for much longer. They are unable to adequately replace lost troops or equipment. Within a few months only a NATO supported insurrection will be left to fight the Russians.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, July 18, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••denotes transcribed dialogue.
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
Ukraine Situation Report: Russia Appears To Shoot Down Its Own Su-34 Strike Fighter
Friendly fire likely claimed one of Russia’s most advanced Su-34 ‘Hellduck’ fighter-bombers during a mission over eastern Ukraine.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-russia-appears-to-shoot-down-its-own-su-34-strike-fighter
———————————————————————————————————————
••Ukraine Politics:
(Edit: See yesterday’s post for beginning of this story.)
••Bakanov:
He left quietly.
••Venediktova:
She’s good at self preservation legally. She will fight. She was asked to resign. She refused, saying her firing was illegal (is true). Zelenskyy is in a bind, as the only way to fire her is a hearing in Parliament. Any hearing in Parliament will disclose a lot of unpleasant and honest information about who is actually to blame for the situation. She’s blamed fro the huge number of people in the judicial system that switched sides and participate in the Russian Occupational Administration.
She’s not to blame as it was an inherited system from the Soviet Union. The entire Ukraine government from the beginning until now has been anti-Ukrainian. Most of the people who were selected into it and who get selected into it, usually have pro-Russian sentiments, are connected to Russia, or are outright Russian agents. The government is a Ukrainian version of a deep state that is actually a Russian deep state.
Venediktova said in the hearing she would report on and explaining everything. This threat made the whole attempt to fire her fall apart. Zelenskyy does not want her to disclose all of the dirty laundry which will point to him. People now say she needs to go on vacation so a fair investigation can be conducted. This many have started over the Spartz allegations (edit: see previous issues). That’s a plausible speculation.
••Ukrainian Economy:
Ukraine economy is in very bad shape, and the people who make economic policy are making things much, much worse. If not corrected, WiU believes this will lead to economic collapse in Oct-Nov time frame.
••Russian Economy:
State of the economy drives the ability to wage war and drives everything else, including politics.
Russia reports a June trade surplus of US$30B, due to export of crude oil. NG export has dwindled from a flood to a small stream. Sanctions don’t work in this regard, as it keeps the price of crude high, meaning they can reduce production and earn the same or more money. This misguided oil sanction policy helps Russia, but hurts the West.
Despite this windfall revenue, the Russian economy is definitely deteriorating. (Edit: see previous repots for more specifics.)
On the macroeconomic level, the Russian budget which is usually profitable (they don’t use deficits) to fund expenses which means that the budget is run properly, prudently, conservatively, and so on. Most countries don’t budget this way as deficit spending leads to problems later. But, this year the Russian State budget will be use deficit spending - spending more that they earn from the revenue they collect from the economy.
This then is a sign that the economy is getting out of balance and a dying real economy (cars, glass, steel etc).
Russia has created a huge monetary reserve account during the past 20 years of good times. This is called something like Fund of Future Generations. Many countries have these sorts of state funds like Saudi Arabia and Norway (whose fund is about US$1T).
Russia will now use about half of the money from this fund to cover its budget deficits.
A pole of business sentiment of Russian businesses reached the lowest level ever, since it began in 2009, also a bad year. 113,000 small Russian businesses closed since the beginning of the war.
A tale of two economies:
1) the large state run oil export businesses are doing OK, even great;
2) the small and medium businesses are suffering, dying in agony.
Both Russia and Ukraine are failing - which fails first is conjecture, but both are going through their own 1917 moments.
••China:
Mentioned they may support Russia financially and actually even militarily. Not surprisingly as they row the same boat. There are Chinese channels on the Ukraine frontline that report from the Russian perspective. Some propaganda clips from the war were translated into Chinese and are extremely popular on Chinese State-run TV.
••Europe:
Consumes ~200 Bcm of natural gas normally, but now is extremely low because Nordstream 1 is stopped, even though the Canadians have repaired the pump and delivered it, the Russian are saying them might not deliver NG.
Europe is trying to find 100 Bcm NG replacement for the upcoming winter. So far the have found 20 Bcm from Azerbaijan. Turkmenistan has large NG resources. Ukraine used to buy direct from Turkmenistan before Russian pipeline monopolized the trade as everything passed through its territory. Russia forced Turkmenistan to sell its NG to Russia who then resold it to Ukraine and to the West. Russia acted as the gatekeeper to prevent them from creating additional competition for the European market.
As a result, many European countries, and specifically, Germany are switching back to coal. The countries say this is a ‘temporary decision’, but it is a sensible one.
••HIMARS Update:
Attributed attack on dam near Nova Kahoka which is also a bridge that connects both sides of the Dnieper River. Not know if it was successful. There is a clear decline in usage and success rate, reasons are speculative.
••Area Unit update on Russian forces present:
List of forces present looks impressive, but Russian troops are more and more refusing to cross the border into Ukraine. So the actual units may well be significantly under strength in actual fighting power. They have been trimmed down into consolidated battle groups (not BTGs), or just consolidated units.
This translates, across the Ukraine front, as Russian Army (RGF) having no more than 130,000-150,000 troops (edit: plus the Wagner Group and LNR/DNR forced conscripts of the 1st AK and 2nd AK in the south).
This is one of the reasons why they are on hold with their new offensive; mainly the huge attrition of the past fighting with no replacements (edit: elite groups of professionals). Russia needs new manpower, but there is none and no desire in Russia for mobilization. Thus, their ability to fight has diminished.
The next reason they are on hold is their artillery’s ability to saturate an area. Not completely taken away, but has diminished greatly with the attacks on their ammo depots. Now they do not have enough troops on the ground and have lost the ability to shell at will in huge numbers. This had created a pause in how the Russian side is going to resolve this problem.
They can either go the full mobilization route or improve their ammo and fuel logistics - both require a significant investment. There is no easy way out here. Russian political is saying this special operation does not have a timeline so it will last as long as it takes.
Meanwhile, a representative of the Russian Occupation Administration said he expects Russian troops to capture the remainder of the Donbas by the end of the year, making the goals and timeline become either indefinite or sometime in the distant future. The Russian leadership needs to double down but does not want to do that quite yet.
••Rumors:
Pieces of Western equipment has been sold on the blackmarket is not only untrue, but very primitive Russia propaganda; there is not on single image of such a thing. These pieces are so well monitored that everybody would know, if such a thing happened.
••Front line between Kharkiv and Izyum:
Quiet because neither side has enough troops to commit or willing to commit to this section of the front. There are just screening troops on both sides - nothing else. This is also an excellent place for a ZSU attack, as it would have an immediate effect on the Orc troops around Izyum, encircling them and collapsing the front in that whole area, plus Orc major supply lines to the rest of the frontline would be vulnerable or cut.
Unfortunately, the ZSU is not skilled nor trained, does not have equipment, knowledge, proper command, good communication to execute large offensives. The best it can do at this point is a static defense which is a very primitive form of warfare. They best thing in this situation would be an active defense - moving, attacking, withdrawing.
What they are doing now - the static defense of holding ground no matter what, only moving under threat of encirclement - is the least efficient way of warfare. But that is the level of skill in the ZSU now.
••WiU Commenter 1:
... Russian industry, the real economy - it goes for military industrial complex too. They suffer the exact same problems. It has already been noted on the channels that barrels wear down and need to be changed. In fact the Russian barrels wear down a lot faster than specifications (due to lack of high grade steel since 2014).
Apparently, Russia lacks ability to replace them fast enough - adding the logistical problems of getting them to and from frontline. Anecdotally, one separatist officer frequent in Telegram claimed that eventually only half of the guns in his unit were able to fire during Severodonetsk because of this (seeing as they had so many guns, this really didn’t matter much at the time).
Russian military industry is also overwhelmed with the need to refit legacy and storage equipment - encountering the same problems as the car industry. Three quarters of it needs some kind of effort to get operational - usually electronics (comms, sights and such - deteriorated or stolen) or hydraulics.
Russia lacks the spare parts, skill and tech to refit these vehicles and certainly does not have the capacity to adapt to wartime needs - the UVZ (UralVagonZavod) doesn’t even have a conveyor belt anymore and as far as I know their entire capacity is booked until mid 2024 by export orders anyway. I still see as frequent reports about “sticky towers” and missing or failing autoloaders as I did back in March. So it looks grim, really.
And it is not only a critical lack of military manpower. They also suffer shortages of civilian manpower which is a problem as so much of the logistics is in the realm of - at least formally - private companies. The guys cleaning out human remains and repairing tanks are civilian workers, rail and much of the trucking is civilian and so on. I see ads trying to recruit these people as well as troops - wages sort of impressive, but as you put it so eloquently - Russians seem to prefer to stay on their side of the border anyway.
So all in all, things are not looking all that great for the Russians either. Arguably, every second fighting soldier in the theatre is now irregular. The vast majority of whom have little or no training, and only very few are motivated. We still see these WWII items in the hands of the poor collaborator units.
••WiU Commenter 2:
And Poland is talking about buying 500 HIMARS. Unconfirmed.
———————————————————————————————————————
Summary: No changes.
Russian troops are being resupplied with fresh reserves and regrouped.
Potentially one successful HIMARS MLRS rocket strike in terms of hitting ammunition depots near Nova Kahovka.
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead: no changes.
- Popasna/Lysychansk area: No changes.
- Svitlodarsk area: no changes.
- Donetsk West: no changes
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.
1. Kharkiv: No changes.
North of Kharkiv:
••Special operation near Sumy, mentioned yesterday, is MLRS attack on ZSU positions.
Continuing exchanges of artillery, mortar, rockets, but no firefights.
2. Izyum bridgehead. No changes.
3. Popasna/Lysychansk area: No changes.
••Small scale probing attacks all across the eastern front.
4. Svtilodarsk area: No changes.
••Small scale probing attacks
5. West of Donetsk: Avdiyivka and Maryinka. No changes.
••Small scale probing attacks
6. Vugledar: No changes.
••Small scale probing attacks
7. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. No changes.
8. Kherson bridgehead: No changes.
How many T-34 tanks has RuZZia lost now?
You’re a special kind of stupid when you post the same thing over and over despite being shown that you’re wrong.
One more time:
The article is “continuously updated”.
Great post! I won’t ask where you got it all but it’s spot on!
Here’s a dated resource from 2019 on IDing Russian tank versions. if you do not have it.
Here Is the Ultimate Way to Tell One Russian Tank from Another
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/here-ultimate-way-tell-one-russian-tank-another-66807
Indeed.
Also, this ‘update’ nonsense should have all the other things included, like Zogzinsky shutting down media, firing his upper echelon and such, n’est pas?
But SpZZdy doesn’t care. He just wants to hate Russia and call you a dirty RuZZian.....
Sure.
Until you can provide a better (more-comprehensive) information source on equipment losses...
Pipe down!
Regards,
voting No
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