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2022 House Forecast: Republicans are Favored to win the House
538 ^ | 06/30/22 | 538

Posted on 06/30/2022 1:24:33 PM PDT by TexasGurl24

Things do not look good for Democrats in our forecast. Our Forecast currently designates only 13 seats as tossups, but even if the Democrats were to win all 13, AND keep all of the seats that they currently hold, they would still wind up with only 208 seats - 10 short of the number that they need for a majority. The national environment just isn't favorable for Democrats, so they are expected to lose control of the chamber.


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: 2022; congress; house; whoops
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Far-left Nate Silver out with his forecast.
1 posted on 06/30/2022 1:24:33 PM PDT by TexasGurl24
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To: TexasGurl24

It all depends on what Dominion decides.


2 posted on 06/30/2022 1:28:00 PM PDT by moovova
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To: TexasGurl24

Does Dear Ol’ Nate get to write off all of his trips to Monte Carlo on his taxes as a business expense


3 posted on 06/30/2022 1:29:22 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: moovova

Waste of time. It’s the senate. Not just a one or 2 seat pickup. If we don’t take the house we got no business being in business.


4 posted on 06/30/2022 1:29:23 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: TexasGurl24

Does Dear Ol’ Nate get to write off all of his trips to Monte Carlo on his taxes as a business expense?


5 posted on 06/30/2022 1:29:44 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: moovova

I knew that some clown would immediately chime in with the Dominion trash.

Never mind that Trump won massive margins on Dominion machines.

That in every election since 2020 the Republicans have won the machine count by massive margins.

AND the data shows that the machine talking point pushed by hucksters, qtards and grifters can’t possibly be real.

But hey, you do you.

Facts don’t matter to people who use memes as their NPC programming.


6 posted on 06/30/2022 1:29:46 PM PDT by TexasGurl24
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To: TexasGurl24

Uh oh. Even Nate Silver losing faith. They are going to have to execute order 66. Again.


7 posted on 06/30/2022 1:29:58 PM PDT by cdcdawg (Hoes mad! LOL! )
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To: moovova

The issue isn’t dominion. They can only go so far and they know they’ll be scrutinized like crazy.

The issue is governor and senate elections. All those mail in and drop in ballots will be made from scratch in a blue city in a red state unless more caution is taken.


8 posted on 06/30/2022 1:32:26 PM PDT by struggle
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To: TexasGurl24

Mr. Accuracy, Nate Silver is in for a surprise. Democrats are getting a democracy suppository in November.


9 posted on 06/30/2022 1:34:08 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA (Scratch a leftist and you'll find a fascist )
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To: TexasGurl24

Did they poll actual voters? Or Dominion and poll workers?


10 posted on 06/30/2022 1:34:35 PM PDT by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: TexasGurl24

Natie hasn’t been right since 2008. He is a Democrat/communist cheerleader so if he is glum the rodents are in big trouble.


11 posted on 06/30/2022 1:35:29 PM PDT by jmaroneps37
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To: TexasGurl24
"Republicans are Favored to win the House..."

And turn that victory into defeat, as they always do. Why expect anything different? Rinse and repeat.

12 posted on 06/30/2022 1:36:33 PM PDT by mass55th ("Courage is being scared to death, but saddling up anyway." ~~ John Wayne )
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To: TexasGurl24

Did you see the full report on the Arizona audit?

Most of the fraud was done by counting ballots multiple times and “mail-in ballots”

But, the democrats were aware of the count before it was published and knew what they needed to add. At least that is my takeaway.


13 posted on 06/30/2022 1:37:23 PM PDT by Fai Mao
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To: TexasGurl24
The same RINOs who turned a blind eye to the 2020 Steal in the state legislatures are still there. Even if they are defeated in a primary in 2022, they won't be gone until January 2023.

You can bet that the Uniparty will work together to stop MAGA candidates from winning. Especially in the governor races in PA and AZ. Mastriano and Lake are MAGA. The RINOs control the state legislatures and can't stand them. I really hope that there is a grassroots movement of people who become poll watchers and an army of election lawyers on standby to get to a judge if cheating is witnessed on election night.

14 posted on 06/30/2022 1:37:52 PM PDT by HandBasketHell
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To: TexasGurl24

Dear Ol’ Nate’s Senate read puts Ditch safely in a position to maintain his Assistant ‘Rat status.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/


15 posted on 06/30/2022 1:40:23 PM PDT by Paladin2
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To: jmaroneps37

2008 was an easy call. There was no way Yosemite Sam was going to win the presidency.


16 posted on 06/30/2022 1:41:49 PM PDT by packagingguy
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To: TexasGurl24

Only in a few states. The rest will be stolen again or handed to a controlled opposition RINO.


17 posted on 06/30/2022 1:43:33 PM PDT by Wilderness Conservative (Nature is the ultimate conservative)
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To: ConservativeInPA

“Mr. Accuracy, Nate Silver is in for a surprise”

I hope not. He’s forecasting that the Democrats are going to lose control of the House in November.


18 posted on 06/30/2022 1:47:16 PM PDT by Roadrunner383 (;)
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To: ConservativeInPA

....wellllll .....I hope and pray you are right, but....the republicans have a long history of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory....I’ll believe it when I see it...the house, maybe....the senate....????

Remember, this is how the republicans almost always campaign:

“Vote for us...! we’re not as bad as they say we are....!!”

P.S. - they don’t call the democrat party “the evil party” and the republican party “the stupid party” for nothing.....


19 posted on 06/30/2022 1:48:37 PM PDT by TokarevM57
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To: TexasGurl24

If true, who do we want for Speaker? MTG? PDJT?


20 posted on 06/30/2022 1:49:14 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam (Joe Biden has been protected by assault weapons his entire adult life. )
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