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HAS PUTIN BOTCHED THE WAR?
Powerline ^ | February 24,2022 | STEVEN HAYWARD

Posted on 02/26/2022 3:39:46 PM PST by Hojczyk

Here’s an interesting Twitter thread from someone named Riho Terras, a member of the European Parliament, posted a few hours ago. Obviously we’re not in any position to vouch for the accuracy of this thread (and some of it seems dubious), but pass it along in the interest of broad coverage:

THREAD 1/7 Intel from a Ukrainian officer about a meeting in Putin’s lair in Urals. Oligarchs convened there so no one would flee. Putin is furious, he thought that the whole war would be easy and everything would be done in 1-4 days.

Russians didn’t have a tactical plan. The war costs about $20 bln/day. There are rockets for 3-4 days at most, they use them sparingly. They lack weapons, the Tula and 2 Rotenberg plants can’t physically fulfil the orders for weapons. Rifles and ammo are the most they can do.

The next Russian weapons can be produced in 3-4 months – if even that. They have no raw materials. What was previously supplied mainly from Slovenia, Finland and Germany is now cut off.

If Ukraine manages to hold the Russians off for 10 days, then the Russians will have to enter negotiations. Because they have no money, weapons, or resources. Nevertheless, they are indifferent about the sanctions.

Alpha Spec Ops have been near Kyiv since the 18th February. The goal was to take Kyiv and instal a puppet regime. They are preparing provocations against innocent civilians – women and children – to sow panic. This is their trump card.

Russia’s whole plan relies on panic – that the civilians and armed forces surrender and Zelensky flees. They expect Kharkiv to surrender first so the other cities would follow suit to avoid bloodshed. The Russians are in shock of the fierce resistance they have encountered.

(Excerpt) Read more at powerlineblog.com ...


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KEYWORDS: 202202; 20220218; bloggers; powerlineblog
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

“feel the brunt of the trauma is going to be dealt to all the families of Russian war dead :( -”
Indeed. And those Russian families don’t want to attack their fellow eastern Slavs, fellow Orthodox.

Russians would have no problem attacking Poles or Americans, but not Ukrainians


161 posted on 02/26/2022 8:10:15 PM PST by Cronos ( One cannot desire freedom from the Cross, especially when one is especially chosen for the cross)
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To: oblomov

Putin’s goal now is to a page in the history books, not a paragraph


162 posted on 02/26/2022 8:11:53 PM PST by Cronos ( One cannot desire freedom from the Cross, especially when one is especially chosen for the cross)
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

The Russian military can theoretically defeat Ukraine easily.

However it would be like getting the us military to fight Canada. And fight in Canadian cities against Canadian civilians. American military morale would plummet


163 posted on 02/26/2022 8:15:58 PM PST by Cronos ( One cannot desire freedom from the Cross, especially when one is especially chosen for the cross)
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To: Data Miner

Why are our interests stronger in Taiwan?


164 posted on 02/26/2022 8:17:30 PM PST by Cronos ( One cannot desire freedom from the Cross, especially when one is especially chosen for the cross)
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To: lodi90

Plus add in the lack of motivation from Russians to fight fellow eastern Slavs.


165 posted on 02/26/2022 8:20:53 PM PST by Cronos ( One cannot desire freedom from the Cross, especially when one is especially chosen for the cross)
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To: Ikemeister

In the 1700s to 1800s they were very successful fighting Tatas, Turks, Iranians and central Asians and Qing Chinese


166 posted on 02/26/2022 8:23:00 PM PST by Cronos ( One cannot desire freedom from the Cross, especially when one is especially chosen for the cross)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Putin is cracking now. He desperately wants to get a long page in the history books.

But when he goes, there will be civil war in Russia. He has no groomed successor


167 posted on 02/26/2022 8:25:04 PM PST by Cronos ( One cannot desire freedom from the Cross, especially when one is especially chosen for the cross)
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To: Cronos
However it would be like getting the us military to fight Canada. And fight in Canadian cities against Canadian civilians. American military morale would plummet

Yep. We would probably be okay with conquering Mexico if it came to that. But we would feel guilty attacking Canadian cities with Tim Horton's in them.

168 posted on 02/26/2022 8:26:52 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: Cronos

ndeed. And those Russian families don’t want to attack their fellow eastern Slavs, fellow Orthodox.

Russians would have no problem attacking Poles or Americans, but not Ukrainians


It’s not just about ethnicity. It’s that family units are mixed. Father from Ukraine. Mother from Russia. Etc. That’s deeply personal. Putin is in a way labeling these people as Nazis and its being rejected. Putin got bad intel and went a bridge too far. Now its time to clean up the mess.


169 posted on 02/26/2022 8:33:49 PM PST by lodi90
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To: Cronos

Our economy depends on a lot of what they produce. In particular computer chips that are indispensable to everything from your phone to your car to the weapon systems our military uses to defend us.

Stupidly we outsourced a lot of that to Asia. It will take years if not decades to rebuild that capacity in our own country.


170 posted on 02/26/2022 9:01:53 PM PST by Data Miner
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To: pepsi_junkie

I could see him f’ing it up like that. I have zero confidence in him not creating a disaster out of victory.


171 posted on 02/26/2022 9:07:11 PM PST by Data Miner
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To: Hojczyk
Alpha Spec Ops have been near Kyiv since the 18th February. The goal was to take Kyiv and instal a puppet regime. They are preparing provocations against innocent civilians – women and children – to sow panic. This is their trump card.

Everything I have seen about Ukrainian women lends itself to me believing that they are prone to anything BUT panic.

Trust me, you do not want to p off a Ukrainian woman.

172 posted on 02/26/2022 10:47:25 PM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith….)
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To: dfwgator

That is an interesting prediction.


173 posted on 02/26/2022 10:47:48 PM PST by Arcadian Empire (The Baric-Daszak-Fauci spike protein, by itself, is deadly.)
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To: UMCRevMom@aol.com

Wow….


174 posted on 02/26/2022 10:51:22 PM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith….)
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To: Renfrew
With that comes the “mud season.” The month long period where Ukrainian soils turn to mud that has caused just as many problems for invading armies as the Russian winter.

We have mud season here in NH.

Unpaved roads are all but impassible.

175 posted on 02/26/2022 10:53:37 PM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith….)
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To: Meet the New Boss

A relative works with some Russians and days before this war started, they told him that other countries were already supplying the Ukraine with equipment to defend themselves with.


176 posted on 02/26/2022 11:00:28 PM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith….)
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To: Data Miner
Even if the Ukrainians can beat the Russians I can’t help but expect the dotard in the Whitehouse to screw things up.

Absolutely. that is SOP for this administration.

177 posted on 02/26/2022 11:02:01 PM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith….)
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To: Cronos
Putin is cracking now. He desperately wants to get a long page in the history books. But when he goes, there will be civil war in Russia. He has no groomed successor

But I’ll bet Klaus Schawb does.

178 posted on 02/26/2022 11:04:35 PM PST by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith….)
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To: Manly Warrior

Thanks, and thank you for your service.

It seems like an earlier generation of leaders, not just in the US but in Europe, understood the enormity of the work in front of them, and did their best to match it. Our present “leaders”, on the other hand...


179 posted on 02/26/2022 11:10:10 PM PST by oblomov
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To: metmom

What happens in the WEF is secondary.

This is Rossiya. When Putin goes - and he will soon — there will be chaos. Just like after the death of Iwan Grozny


180 posted on 02/27/2022 12:32:18 AM PST by Cronos ( One cannot desire freedom from the Cross, especially when one is especially chosen for the cross)
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