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Forecasters Raise Number Of Expected Storms For Hurricane Season To 20
Zubu Brothers ^ | 7-12-2021 | Erwin Seba, David Gregorio

Posted on 07/12/2021 9:16:56 AM PDT by blam

Researchers from Colorado State University boosted their prediction for named tropical storms in the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season in a revised forecast issued last Thursday.

Colorado State meteorologists predicted 20 named storms, up from 17 in their forecast issued in April.

The forecasters also increased the number of expected hurricanes to nine from eight.

Colorado State continues to expect four major hurricanes.

The total number of forecast named storms includes the five named storms so far in 2021. The season’s first hurricane, Elsa came ashore on the west coast of Florida on Wednesday.

“Elsa’s development and intensification into a hurricane in the tropical Atlantic also typically portends an active season,” the report said. “We anticipate an above-normal probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean.”

This year is forecast to be the sixth straight above-average U.S. Atlantic hurricane season. The record 2020 season had 30 named storms.

The revised Colorado State forecast is in line with the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) outlook issued in late May.

NOAA forecasters called for between three and five major hurricanes with sustained winds of at least 111 miles per hour (178 kph) in 2021.

NOAA also forecasts between six and 10 hurricanes with winds of at least 74 mph (119 kph) to form out of between 13 and 20 named tropical storms with winds of at least 39 mph (63 kph).

An average hurricane season in the Atlantic between 1991 and 2020 saw three major hurricanes, seven hurricanes and 14 tropical storms.

The hurricane season began on June 1 and ends on Nov. 30.

The Colorado State forecast also said there is a 68% chance at least one major hurricane will strike the U.S. coast. The average for the 20th century is 52%.


TOPICS: Weather
KEYWORDS: booboosisters; hurricanes; nhc; storms
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1 posted on 07/12/2021 9:16:56 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Need to see what the Irish Bookies are taking bets on. More accurate.


2 posted on 07/12/2021 9:18:57 AM PDT by BBQToadRibs2
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To: blam

Ho hum.


3 posted on 07/12/2021 9:20:40 AM PDT by ThePatriotsFlag (For accuracy, always replace “Biden” with “Biden’s Handlers”)
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To: blam

Chickens. Make it a hundred. That’s what we should expect with all the glow bull warming and stuff.


4 posted on 07/12/2021 9:20:52 AM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this?)
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To: blam

I don’t trust science from any institution that openly admits it can’t tell the difference between men and women. LOL


5 posted on 07/12/2021 9:23:21 AM PDT by Tell It Right (1st Thessalonians 5:21 -- Put everything to the test, hold fast to that which is true.)
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To: blam

Will they get fired if they are wrong?
Of course not.


6 posted on 07/12/2021 9:24:52 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: blam
Based on their batting average, I predict only:

3 major hurricanes,

12 total hurricanes,

16 named storms.

7 posted on 07/12/2021 9:28:52 AM PDT by G Larry (Force the Universities to use their TAX FREE ENDOWMENTS to pay off Student loan debt!!!)
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To: blam

Because they think the La Nina is coming back in the pacific and the loss of wind shear will help the storms develop more.


8 posted on 07/12/2021 9:43:18 AM PDT by TexasM1A
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To: blam

“Researchers”

Are “researchers” just like those scientist and experts we keep hearing from?


9 posted on 07/12/2021 9:46:59 AM PDT by VastRWCon (Fake News")
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To: blam

Drop back and punt.

eventually, they’ll adjust it so they can say they accurately predicted the hurricane season.

So what if it was mostly after the fact.


10 posted on 07/12/2021 9:50:00 AM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith……)
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To: blam
An average hurricane season in the Atlantic between 1991 and 2020 saw three major hurricanes, seven hurricanes and 14 tropical storms.

Wonder why they chose that 30 year period.

11 posted on 07/12/2021 10:00:42 AM PDT by kabar
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To: blam

Could happen....could not happen. And who cares. It’s that time of year. Batten down the hatches.


12 posted on 07/12/2021 10:04:10 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: blam
One after the other, I guess...
13 posted on 07/12/2021 11:16:47 AM PDT by moovova (Yo GOP....we won't forget.)
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To: blam

So after the season is over, will any of these prognosticators look back and correct their predictions?
It has yet to happen.....


14 posted on 07/12/2021 11:30:46 AM PDT by Fungi
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To: blam

Just don’t watch the weather guy on CBS This Morning. Everything that goes on with the weather is attributed to Climate change, and I man everything. The guy is Chicken Little the weather man.


15 posted on 07/12/2021 11:33:53 AM PDT by 1Old Pro (Let's make crime illegal again!)
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To: blam

If they keep naming thunderstorms maybe they’ll get there. I’m in a thunderstorm right now that’s worse than the named storm (Claudette) we had a couple of weeks ago.


16 posted on 07/12/2021 12:27:00 PM PDT by suthener ( )
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To: BBQToadRibs2

Well perhaps they should raise the count to 99 ?

It seems that they are naming every sneeze in the Ocean.

They are already up to the letter E, and not one of them a memorable storm.


17 posted on 07/12/2021 12:30:45 PM PDT by Pikachu_Dad ("the media are selling you a line of soap)
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To: blam
Does plagiarizing the work of others bother you?

Just asking.

18 posted on 07/12/2021 2:56:34 PM PDT by Jacquerie (ArticleVBlog.com)
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To: Tell It Right

CSU’s meteorology department is pretty solid. They’re not a big proponent of globull warming.


19 posted on 07/12/2021 4:38:57 PM PDT by ealgeone
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To: ealgeone

Haven’t checked lately, but, in the past, their accuracy was about 50%. You could just flip a coin and be just as accruate as they are


20 posted on 07/12/2021 5:28:11 PM PDT by Conan the Librarian (Conan the Sailing Librarian)
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