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Our Way-Too-Early 2024 Republican Presidential Primary Draft
Five Thirty Eight ^ | Mar 10, 2021 | Five Thirty Eight Editors

Posted on 04/09/2021 4:10:40 PM PDT by Vlad0

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited.

sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): We’re still more than three years away from November 2024, which means we have no idea who is actually running in 2024 — although we are already busy watching what potential candidates do — but it’s not too early for us to make some terrible (and not so terrible) picks as to who will win the 2024 GOP nomination in our first waaaayyy too early 2024 draft.

It’s been a while, so the rules are as follows: Four rounds, so between the five of us, 20 potential 2024 Republican nominees, and we’ll be doing a snake-style draft. And remember, the goal is to pick the actual nominee.

The order is:

And I used random.org to determine the order (so it’s clearly not rigged).

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2024; 538; potus
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So, we all know that Nate SIlver, leader of 538 is a Lefty and his site is owned by Disney/ABC. He's had some great days forecasting, and he's had some bad misses, notably 2016 when he gave Hillary a high probability of winning.

Here's the 538 crews draft list (to save you clicking or having to wade through it if you are in a hurry or are boycotting Disney)

  1. President Trump
  2. Ted Cruz
  3. Ron DeSantis
  4. Nikki Haley
  5. Mike Pence
  6. Donald Trump Jr.
  7. Kristi Noem
  8. Josh Hawley
  9. Tim Scott (Sen. S.C.)
  10. Tucker Carlson
  11. Mike Pompeo
  12. Gregg Abbott
  13. Tom Cotton
  14. Ivanka Trump
  15. Marco Rubio
  16. Marjorie Taylor Greene
  17. Doug Ducey (Gov. AZ)
  18. Elise Stefanik (Rep. NY)
  19. Rick Scott (FL Gov and Sen)
  20. Candice Owens

Obviously these guys are all political junkies and they are having a bit of fun. I enjoyed the banter in during the draft conference.

Looking at this list made me happy. Ever person listed would be a big improvement on Sleepy Joe, that's for sure.

1 posted on 04/09/2021 4:10:40 PM PDT by Vlad0
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To: Vlad0

Seems like the lefties are trying to convince us it might be legit next time.


2 posted on 04/09/2021 4:14:52 PM PDT by Luke21 (Elections you say? We get them next election? )
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To: Vlad0

Rand Paul should be at least #12 if not higher.


3 posted on 04/09/2021 4:22:01 PM PDT by aynrandfreak (Being a Democrat means never having to say you're sorry)
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To: Vlad0

Number 5 shouldn’t even be on the list.


4 posted on 04/09/2021 4:24:03 PM PDT by EvilCapitalist (I voted for prosperity, and I got poverty.)
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To: Luke21
<1>Seems like the lefties are trying to convince us it might be legit next time.

I wish I thought of that.

5 posted on 04/09/2021 4:44:49 PM PDT by Vlad0
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To: Vlad0

Can you imagine an administration with all these people running the country? In my dreams.


6 posted on 04/09/2021 4:57:02 PM PDT by zeebee ( )
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To: Vlad0

Ducey?! He couldn’t even win Arizona!


7 posted on 04/09/2021 5:03:15 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: Vlad0

Trump is the presumptive nominee if he chooses to run.
But he’s got to spend the next 3 years fixing election integrity or why bother.
I think he’s the only guy with enough horsepower to get it done.


8 posted on 04/09/2021 5:03:19 PM PDT by nascarnation (ro)
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To: Vlad0

Might as well get rid of Haley for her words on Trump - won’t go over well with the base. Same for Noem - she took herself out by defending cross-dressers in girls’ sports.


9 posted on 04/09/2021 5:13:32 PM PDT by BobL (TheDonald.win is now Patriots.win)
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To: Vlad0

Trump or DeSantis.


10 posted on 04/09/2021 5:14:28 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Vlad0

Definite “Noes”: Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Kristi Noem, Tim Scott, Gregg Abbott, Marco Rubio, Marjorie Taylor Greene (like her, but way too early to be talking about the highest office in the land), Doug Ducey, Elise Stefanik, Rick Scott, Candice Owens, and Ivanka Trump.

Definite “Yesses”: President Trump, Ted Cruz, Ron DeSantis, and Josh Hawley.

Maybes: Donald Trump Jr., Tucker Carlson, Mike Pompeo, and Tom Cotton.


11 posted on 04/09/2021 5:43:23 PM PDT by SharpRightTurn (Election Fraud Deniers--Won't follow the science, won't follow the law.)
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To: Vlad0

There are ONLY TWO prospects for 2024.

It’s Trump’s nomination if he runs.

If he does not run, it is DeSantis’ to lose.

NOBODY else will cage-fight for Americans and save the Republic.


12 posted on 04/09/2021 7:57:46 PM PDT by Sapwolf (Talkers are usually more articulate than doers, since talk is their specialty. -Sowell)
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To: Vlad0

Who will be the Democrat nominee?


13 posted on 04/09/2021 8:12:46 PM PDT by LimitedPowers (Citizenship is not a Hate Crime!)
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To: Vlad0

1. Ron Desantis

2. Ted Cruz

3. Kristi Noem

4. Tom Cotton

5. Marco Rubio

6. Pierre Delecto

7. Tim Scott


14 posted on 04/09/2021 8:24:50 PM PDT by miserare ( Respect for life--life of all kinds-- is the first principle of civilization.~~A. Schweitzer.)
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To: miserare

Might we consider Bobby Jindal. The guy’s a staunch conservative, walking univac, got as much attitude as Trump, and he gets things done. Give him a look.

wy69


15 posted on 04/09/2021 8:45:44 PM PDT by whitney69
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To: miserare

DeSantis or Trump that are the ONLY options PERIOD!!


16 posted on 04/09/2021 8:53:48 PM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

Agree !


17 posted on 04/09/2021 8:54:26 PM PDT by Reily
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

that = those OOPS


18 posted on 04/09/2021 8:54:50 PM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: whitney69

Where is Bobby these days?

He is so out of the loop, many voters don’t even know who he is.

I always liked him, but thought he was too mild-mannered to take on the Deep State.


19 posted on 04/09/2021 10:20:07 PM PDT by miserare ( Respect for life--life of all kinds-- is the first principle of civilization.~~A. Schweitzer.)
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To: miserare

“...thought he was too mild-mannered to take on the Deep State.”

Oh, he can be feisty if need be.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/01/20/bobby-jindal-wont-back-down-on-no-go-zones-why/

wy69.


20 posted on 04/10/2021 3:32:23 AM PDT by whitney69
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