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IOWA Poll Stun Dems — Trump Now +7 — GOP Ernst Now in Lead for Senate Seat — GOP Poised to Flip House Seat
TG ^ | 11/1/2020 | Evan

Posted on 11/01/2020 5:40:10 AM PST by wrrock

Iowa is a bellwether indicator. The state often reflects how the rest of nation feels. In fact, they are the first state to run presidential primaries.

The trends coming out of the latest Iowa poll thrust many Democrats into panic.

See the numbers....

(Excerpt) Read more at toptradeguru.com ...


TOPICS: Local News
KEYWORDS: elections2020; ia; iowa; joniernst; polls
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LOL - Nate Silver is trying his best to calm a panicked Democratic base.
1 posted on 11/01/2020 5:40:10 AM PST by wrrock
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To: wrrock

Well that would be awesome. Hopefully the folks in AZ will toss margabby to the curb and keep McSally. What a disgrace that assclown kelly is to the Navy and the ass-tro-naught corps.


2 posted on 11/01/2020 5:42:35 AM PST by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: wrrock

Great news!!!

Still...

Vote like we’re 20 points behind.


3 posted on 11/01/2020 5:45:08 AM PST by bayliving (Hidin' Joe Biden visits the WORLD from his basement in Delaware...)
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To: wrrock

https://youtu.be/ekZxUfOM3Ac


4 posted on 11/01/2020 5:46:01 AM PST by V_TWIN (Where's Hunter???)
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To: rktman

If Trump is ahead seven in Iowa in a really reliable poll, he ain’t behind nationally by 7-10 points.


5 posted on 11/01/2020 5:48:24 AM PST by laconic
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To: wrrock

Nate would have made a great captain of the Titanic!


6 posted on 11/01/2020 5:48:40 AM PST by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: wrrock

Good news...


7 posted on 11/01/2020 5:49:58 AM PST by Eric in the Ozarks (Baseball players, gangsters and musicians are remembered. But journalists are forgotten.)
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To: bayliving

Great news!!!

Still...

Vote like we’re 20 points behind.

And don’t forget obiden’z voter fraud brag.

Vote and keep an eye on the democrats


8 posted on 11/01/2020 5:51:34 AM PST by Recompennation
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To: wrrock

MAGA2020! GET OUT AND VOTE!!!!!


9 posted on 11/01/2020 5:52:33 AM PST by LoveMyFreedom
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To: wrrock

The poll shows Trump leading 64 to 28 on those who plan to vote n Election Day.
But up 48-41 overall.


10 posted on 11/01/2020 5:52:40 AM PST by HereInTheHeartland (Leave me alone, I have no incriminating evidence on the Clintons)
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To: wrrock

Yeah, yeah, yeah.

The key here folks is that this poll was WRONG in 2016:
it was Trump by 10, not 7.

I don’t put much stock in any polls, but this one is consistent, if consistently low.

Trump 320-340 EVs, pop vote, hold the Senate 52-48, good shot at the House. Need about 5 surprises.


11 posted on 11/01/2020 5:55:55 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: wrrock

YAY! Haveta say I never believed the early Iowa polls favoring Biden. They appear to have been conducted at the U of I campus in Ames


12 posted on 11/01/2020 5:56:28 AM PST by faithhopecharity (Politicians are not born, they are excreted. Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: wrrock

But, but, but...


13 posted on 11/01/2020 6:03:15 AM PST by bray (Pray for President Trump)
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To: wrrock

Anyone have any concern with North Carolina


14 posted on 11/01/2020 6:05:24 AM PST by MagillaX
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To: MagillaX

Gopher ran for the house in 84’ Reagans’ reelection. Gopher-the cruise show.


15 posted on 11/01/2020 6:13:09 AM PST by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: wrrock

Remember how in 2016 the Des Moines Register had refused to publish their final poll?

This time they are throwing in the towel.


16 posted on 11/01/2020 6:15:10 AM PST by Gideon7
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To: wrrock

69
192
1.5K

Nate Silver
“@NateSilver538
·
1h
What I’m getting at here is ... things look pretty locked in. Not the election outcome itself! That ain’t locked in at all! But our final averages may not change much. Especially after adding these polls because they have huge sample sizes and so get a lot of weight in our model.”

Isn’t he totally contradicting himself?


17 posted on 11/01/2020 6:18:36 AM PST by CassieL (Mostly a lurker here since the Blue Dress)
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To: CassieL

Yup. He didn’t paint himself into a corner he built all four walls over head high!


18 posted on 11/01/2020 6:25:01 AM PST by mad_as_he$$ (Why can't we just get into the running car?)
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To: faithhopecharity

U of Iowa = Iowa City

Iowa State = Ames

Some GOP insiders have been saying all along Ernst and Trump likely win by 10.


19 posted on 11/01/2020 6:29:43 AM PST by jjotto (Blessed are You LORD, who crushes enemies and subdues the wicked.)
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To: wrrock

I knew it.

MAGA/KAGA


20 posted on 11/01/2020 6:37:31 AM PST by simpson96
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