Posted on 10/26/2020 10:37:16 AM PDT by Helicondelta
A poll conducted by InsiderAdvantage for the Center for American Greatness of 400 likely voters in Pennsylvania shows Donald Trump now leading in the state. The poll was conducted the evening of October 25 by both IVR and live cell phone interviews. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent and is weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation.
The same poll had Biden in the lead less than two weeks ago. Why? InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery explained why things have moved in Trump’s favor:
“These results indicate a stark shift in the contest. Our last survey of Pennsylvania showed Joe Biden leading Trump by three points. But that survey was before the last debate. Since the debate Trump has picked up support from younger voters, who based on our prior survey strongly oppose future lockdowns over Covid-19 spikes. Trump has also bolstered his lead among male voters by some twelve points. Biden continues to hold a seven point advantage over Trump among female voters. It would be nothing more than mere conjecture to attempt to correlate Biden’s statements on energy and fracking in the last debate contest with the shift towards Trump in this survey. However, Trump saw gains even among senior voters which have not been his strong suit this election cycle. That suggest that some issue or set of events has caused a late shift in the contest.”
(Excerpt) Read more at amgreatness.com ...
Trump’s internals says he’s up. Biden’s internals says he’s up. Someone is wrong. Point being, every side is going to give rose-tinted glasses versions of their campaigns.
Let me give the latest polling results from my internal expert pollster which means me.
I was not surprised when Donald Trump won in 2016, because many polls showed him close or even had showed him leading within a few weeks of the election.
Always thought he will have a tough time being reelected, because democrats will return to the polls after 4 years of a Republican president.
Until about 2 weeks ago, I resigned myself to the fact that most polling results show us losing this election.
However, I can now announce from our preelection decision desk, the election has moved into territory where a number of polls are showing us winning every needed state. Other polls show us losing those states.
We are now officially in “will not be surprised if we win” territory.
We have always been in “we better win” territory. God help us.
Actually this is a very credible outfit. Read this..www.answers.com/Q/Who_or_what_is_insider_advantage_political_pollster
This is actually very good news!
Hence, the large margin of error of 4.9%. The 4-point swing could be nothing but statistical noise. Personally, I think that the poll is catching the beginnings of the wave in Trump direction but I'm still cautious.
And Biden's son selling Joe's influence to the highest foreign bidder and being a kinky male slut, was the icing on the cake.
I’m getting whiplash from these polls.
Garbage poll. MOE 4.9%
I could do a better job blindfolded in front of a dartboard
That's a big statement.
Yet you commented anyway....
I sure hope you’re right, but there have been a bunch of polls showing Trump down -20 or more with women..if anything, I actually expect he won’t do as well with women as he did last time - but will do better with blacks and hispanics. Whether that nets out or not, guess we’ll find out soon enough.
Since the debate Trump has picked up support from younger voters, who based on our prior survey strongly oppose future lockdowns over Covid-19 spikes.
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You can’t scream “emergency, emergency, emergency” for 8 months without people becoming fatigued. The prospect of *more* lockdowns by Biden is horrific.
This is significant. There weren’t any polls showing Trump winning Pennsylvania in the last election cycle.
The fracking part is a big deal but I think something few are mentioning which is also a really big deal are the lockdowns. Trump is against them and the vast majority are sick to death of lockdowns. That’s especially so for 20-somethings who want to get out and go to bars and mingle, etc. Meanwhile Biden is raising the specter of more lockdowns, doom and gloom, etc.
They are going to drag the corpse out of the casket this afternoon for a speech at the Wilmington Cemetery because the people can not leave and they are "socially distanced", and no one can boo when joe screws his lines up.
The dems will claim that thousands attended.
I see what you did there.
“InsiderAdvantage has been around for years. Not very friendly to Trump in the past.”
That is true. So this is good news for President Trump. In actuality with the cheating President Trump is probably even in Pa.
That poll has a 10% undecided. I think most of them will break for President Trump.
The Bolshies need to know how many votes to manufacture.
Very good news. But hey, we need to get some observers in. POTUS said a judge has ruled against their campaign observing the counting...but that they would appeal the ruling.
POTUS also mentioned how Romney didn’t fight against the obvious fraud in Philadelphia precincts back in 2012...he said his team would fight back.
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