Posted on 10/24/2020 2:51:28 PM PDT by wrrock
With 6,209,849 ballots cast, the GOP dominates the early vote. 53% GOP to 37% DEM. About 44% of all registered voters have voted. Youth vote as a percentage collapses to 11% of total votes from 19% in 2016. Recent polls have suggested DJT and Biden are tied. These are not accurate given the over 6,000,000 sample of actual voter data. https://www.toptradeguru.com/news/elections-2020/results/texas-early-ballot-returns-shows-polls-are-wrong/
(Excerpt) Read more at toptradeguru.com ...
Exactly.
If Trump wins reelection, history had proven that Democrats will pivot back to the center. Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton were perfect examples of how Democrats got themselves elected to the White House after getting annihilated in the presidential elections previously with far left candidates.
Bookmarked.
“I keep wondering how big the bribe was that got Cong James E. Clyburn (D-SC) to resurrect the dying primary Biden.”
I think Joe promised seven different people Secretary of State.
Its based on the 2018 Cruz/Beto race and it multiplies county early vote totals X Cruz/Beto percentage.
The model is Super conservative to Trump. Trump has many paths to victory if the Model shows he's losing. If the Model shows Biden he's losing, Biden is Toast.
Currently, Biden is Losing by 150K votes.
If I use 2016 as a Model, Biden is losing by 540K votes.
“But in 2024, when we’re facing Newsom, we will have our hands full.”
Nope. Too conservative, too white, too male.
Heh......figures.
Yea, his record in Calif is great! He won’t even win the Democrat nomination.
He is in a deep Blue State! Nothing slick about it.
“Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton”
JC: Watergate, Vietnam
BC: Ross Perot, Chicago
Joe is probably the most conservative of the dems. They can not go anymore center.
Biden is neither a Texan nor a fake hispanic. Add 10 points.
“I not only hope Trump wins but wins BIG ! I want the left to regret scaring their followers!”
Win first! Then the mandate!!
As of Yesterday (10/23), Early Voting is 82% of 2018 and 80% of 2016, with a week still to go.
Zero voter suppression in Texas.
Dewitt County currently has the highest at 66% of Registered Voters showing voted on votetexas.gov
Dewitt County went 82% Trump in 2016.
Yes. I think turnout higher this year so maybe 75-80% in.
I love Ted! But honestly, he struggled across the line against Beto. The President helped him across. I know he was heavily outspent but I think Ted is going to be a great pillar in the Senate for conservatism. Maybe eventually the Supremes, since he is still a young man! Trump is going to do much better that Ted’s statewide count.
Glad to be part of it, Door Knocking. Have met some great patriots including Latinos for Trump. Blisters on my feet to prove it.
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Troops on the ground. Excellent!
“But in 2024, when we’re facing Newsom, we will have our hands full.”
You’ve got to be kidding. In 2024 we are going to have an embarrassment of riches when it comes to our candidates.
I graphed “enthusiasm” by the number of early votes.
Turnout in Counties outside of the Major cites, but where Beto won, is pathetic
In the 23 lowest turn out counties (28% or Less of RV’s), Beto beat Cruz 64% / 36%. Those are RV’s Joe needs, but isn’t getting.
Competitive house races in the Big cites are also going to crush Biden. Biden only gained ground on Trump in my model over the weekend, because 165 Red county polls were closed Sat & Sunday.
If Biden isn’t ahead in my model by Monday, Stick a fork in him.
the logistics are they cannot produce more than about twenty or thirty thousand fake votes (about 1% of the vote).
If their candidate is further behind than that, they cannot save them.
Voter fraud is real, but the logistics are real is well, and I do not see how voter fraud can even big to deal with the landslide that is facing Biden in all the former “swing states”.
This election is not going to be close enough for voter fraud to matter.
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Bears repeating for those terrified of the progs’ threats to cheat their way into tyrannical control over America.
As for next time, we have 4 years to clean up the process. We have a midterm to get even more real patriots into office at every level.
We have Governor elections next year and in 2022.
Various levels of Judicial elections are staggered.
School Board elections matter. City and County elections matter.
America Matters. Hopefully, we’ve come so close to losing it, we will not become complacent.
I think we’ll have 9.5M voting, so i would say we are at 72%, if I had to guess.
Election day polling places will be empty if we don’t have at least 9M total voters, since we’ll be over 7M on Monday.
Weekday in person voting was still over 450K on Friday, with an average over 500K.
If its only 400K / Day Monday - Friday + Nov 3 = 9.5M.
Maybe snow in the panhandle might knock it down a little.
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