Posted on 10/22/2020 4:58:36 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
Because real, actual voting data is better than polling data. – Our good friend and frequent contributor Larry Schweikart has a terrific piece over at UncoverDC.com this morning, covering a multitude of early voting data. Here’s an excerpt:
In yesterday’s [Florida] Vote By Mail, the Democrats continued to add ballots—at a rate of about 3% per day. A poster to www.freerepublic.com, “SpeedyinTexas,” has been working off assumptions based on 81% Democrat turnout and 2016 numbers that put the Democrats’ target for VBMs at a lead of 653,000. That would overcome the 2016 Trump advantage and the anticipated Republican lead in “In-Person Early Voting” (i.e., walk-ins or IPEV) of 359,000. That number would constitute 55% of the Democratic lead and would make the final lead for the Democrats by election day of 294,000. This number, Speedy argues, Republicans can overcome on election day with a 2016 level turnout.
What happens if they “keep comin’?” If they continue to hold a pace of 3% per day, the Democrats would hit the turnout rate of 84%. Such a turnout would be hard for Republicans to overcome. Moreover, the VBM ballots provided, but not yet voted, are 1.2m for Democrats and 926,000 for Republicans, so in ballots still outstanding the Democrats can extend their lead. And, if current trends continue, Republicans would fall just short of their 359,000 goal by about 10-15,000. Analyst Nate Silver, however, has argued that the Democrats need to reach a 70/30 split by election day to have a chance: right now it’s 54-49 returned ballots. That is well short.
Probably a more realistic final turnout will be 82% R and 79% D, which would be an R advantage of 70,000 votes. Again, none of this accounts for Democrats voting for Trump, or Republicans voting for Biden. But I think the weight is on the side of the former. Consider Miami-Dade County which is heavily Hispanic. The D/R Hispanic split yesterday was a mere 1,000 votes (and again, many of these Florida Hispanics will be voting for Trump). Today Miami has a 28% R turnout—unheard of.
[End]
Go read the whole thing. You’ll glad – and better educated – for doing so.
Masks for thee but not for me. It’s the liberal way. – Chris “Fredo” Cuomo, who has become one of the media’s most detestable mask scolds during the China Virus pandemic, was once again revealed to be a raging hypocrite on Wednesday. Hey, what else is new?
Turns out Fredo is a serial violator of his Manhattan apartment building’s mask policy, and Tucker Carlson got ahold of a letter he had recently received from his landlord threatening a $500 fine if he continues his scofflaw ways. Here is part of what that letter says:
“You have been observed entering and exiting the building and riding the elevator without the required face coverings,” reads part of the August 6 letter.
“Even though staff members have asked you to comply with this requirement, you have refused to do so. This is a violation of the Executive Order, building policy, and places other residents and our staff at risk. There are no exceptions to this rule, and you are required to comply.”
[End]
Fredo, of course, has been repeatedly captured maskless on video while out in public, both during and since his infamous – and probably faked – personal bout with the viral gift from China. He is indeed one of America’s most raging hypocrites and fakes, but hey, he works for CNN, so that’s just part of the gig.
More bad news for the Bidens. – One of Hunter Biden’s “business partners,” Lt. Tony Bobulinski, has grown weary of covering for the Bidens’ bullshit. Mr. Bobulinski has become fairly famous over the past week, as his name apparently can be found all over Hunter’s infamous laptop, and he doesn’t want said fame.
Thus, he released a statement on Wednesday, which Fox’s John Roberts tweeted out in full last night:
Courtesy of the still-banned-by-Twitter New York Post, here is the full text of that letter:
My name is Tony Bobulinski. The facts set forth below are true and accurate; they are not any form of domestic or foreign disinformation. Any suggestion to the contrary is false and offensive. I am the recipient of the email published seven days ago by the New York Post which showed a copy to Hunter Biden and Rob Walker. That email is genuine.
This afternoon I received a request from the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Government Affairs and the Senate Committee on Finance requesting all documents relating to my business affairs with the Biden family as well as various foreign entities and individuals. I have extensive relevant records and communications and I intend to produce those items to both Committees in the immediate future.
I am the grandson of a 37 year Army Intelligence officer, the son of a 20+ year career Naval Officer and the brother of a 28 year career Naval Flight Officer. I myself served our country for 4 years and left the Navy as LT Bobulinski. I held a high level security clearance and was an instructor and then CTO for Naval Nuclear Power Training Command. I take great pride in the time my family and I served this country. I am also not a political person. What few campaign contributions I have made in my life were to Democrats.
Enlarge ImageTony Bobulinski Tony Bobulinski If the media and Big Tech companies had done their jobs over the past several weeks I would be irrelevant in this story. Given my long standing service and devotion to this great country, I could no longer allow my family’s name to be associated or tied to Russian disinformation or implied lies and false narratives dominating the media right now.
After leaving the military I became an institutional investor investing extensively around the world and on every continent. I have traveled to over 50 countries. I believe, hands down, we live in the greatest country in the world.
What I am outlining is fact. I know it is fact because I lived it. I am the CEO of Sinohawk Holdings which was a partnership between the Chinese operating through CEFC/Chairman Ye and the Biden family. I was brought into the company to be the CEO by James Gilliar and Hunter Biden. The reference to “the Big Guy” in the much publicized May 13, 2017 email is in fact a reference to Joe Biden. The other “JB” referenced in that email is Jim Biden, Joe’s brother.
Hunter Biden called his dad ‘the Big Guy’ or ‘my Chairman,’ and frequently referenced asking him for his sign-off or advice on various potential deals that we were discussing. I’ve seen Vice President Biden saying he never talked to Hunter about his business. I’ve seen firsthand that that’s not true, because it wasn’t just Hunter’s business, they said they were putting the Biden family name and its legacy on the line.
SEE ALSO
Time for Joe Biden to stop dodging questions on Hunter I realized the Chinese were not really focused on a healthy financial ROI. They were looking at this as a political or influence investment. Once I realized that Hunter wanted to use the company as his personal piggy bank by just taking money out of it as soon as it came from the Chinese, I took steps to prevent that from happening.
The Johnson Report connected some dots in a way that shocked me — it made me realize the Bidens had gone behind my back and gotten paid millions of dollars by the Chinese, even though they told me they hadn’t and wouldn’t do that to their partners.
I would ask the Biden family to address the American people and outline the facts so I can go back to being irrelevant — and so I am not put in a position to have to answer those questions for them.
I don’t have a political ax to grind; I just saw behind the Biden curtain and I grew concerned with what I saw. The Biden family aggressively leveraged the Biden family name to make millions of dollars from foreign entities even though some were from communist controlled China.
God bless America.
[End]
Oh. Well, then.
God Bless America, indeed.
As Creepy Sleepy China Joe McNastyFinger likes to say, “look, here’s the deal”: A vote for Joe Biden is a vote for the subjugation of the United States of America to the Communist Chinese overlords. It is a vote for full surrender, because China Joe’s nickname is not a joke: It’s for real, folks. It is who he is. He is hopelessly compromised. There is no question about this.
Get your butts out there and vote to save this country. Get out and vote for Donald J. Trump. At this point, that is your patriotic duty to your country.
That is all.
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REFERENCE--The British Virgin Islands, right next door to the USVI, are a well known money hiding haven......
There was unusual activity at the Divi Carina Hotel, St Croix.
Bartender said Farrakhan was in the secure part of the property, “The Bungalows”
and Joe Biden comes down every year with S/S detail and
satellite communication trucks and takes over the Bungalows for a couple of weeks.
NOTE Secret Service records recently released to Congress show that countries and territories
visited by Hunter Biden, between June 2009 and May 2014, included the Virgin Islands
Hmmmmmm.....is Obama wondering if the Bidens lied to him, as well ......
lying about the foreign take......giving him less so that they could keep more?
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