Posted on 10/13/2020 9:13:18 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Trump is going to win. If there are any swing states, Biden would have to win them all. This of each swing state as a coin flip. Biden would have to win ten coin flips in a row. That almost mathematically impossible.
Poll ping.
Great analysis.
None of these analyses take into account the massive voting FRAUD that’s about to happen — and is already occurring in some states. Don’t misunderstand me — I pray these analyses are correct. But there is serious reason for concern.
I’d depend on metrics as much as I would polls. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst, it’s out of our hands.
I agree with you that fraud is the wildcard, but I don’t think you can pick up more than several points through fraud. But also put it in the mix. But also put in the mix that low information voters have it in their thick skills that Biden has it in the bag. I think a considerable number, maybe a point or 2 or 3 points are lazy and stupid anyway, can’t fill out their mail ballot, and won’t show up to vote in person
It’s why the poll numbers are heavily in Joe’s favor . . . the need to lend credibility to the fraudulent votes so the population looks at the results and says, “look, the polls were right. Concede already Mr. Trump,”
It’s not out of our hands entirely. For my part, I will vote for PDJT and will get everyone I can to vote for him too.
That’s all anyone can do.
Fraud? The courts are ruling mostly in our favor regarding deadlines, etc, plus acts of harvesting and cemetery voting we are onto and will thwart, with 2nd amendment if necessary
Assuming the fraud attempt will fail due to Trump's overwhelming advantage, dems' reaction will be something along the line of, "but of course Trump won; everyone knew he would. What's the big deal? This is not a great victory." Ignore it. If Trump wins the whole thing by one vote, he should claim a historic mandate.
Trump will win in a LANDLIDE,......if we all get out and vote, and bring everyone else to the polls. It is too important, therefore we cannot take ANYTHING for granted.
I still think Trump is going to obliterate Biden. Biden can maybe string together 3 or 4 days of hopefulness in terms of his electability. But there is nobody who does not know that the secret candidate is Harris, and she is really darn unlikable.
Metrics? We ain’t got no metrics. We don’t need no metrics. I don’t have to show you any stinking metrics!
Before 2008, I’d said nobody has been elected U.S. president without a WASP-ish name. Barack Hussein Obama ended that trend.
There was a supposed Indian curse put on the presidency where the one elected in a year that ends with zero will die in office. Indeed:
* William Henry Harrison, 1840 (died in 1841 from pneumonia)
* Abraham Lincoln, 1860 (assassinated, 1865)
* James A. Garfield, 1880 (assassinated, 1881)
* William McKinley, 1900 (assassinated, 1901)
* Warren G. Harding, 1920 (died 1923, disputed causes)
* Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 (died 1945, brain seizure)
* John F. Kennedy, 1960 (assassinated, 1963).
The curse was so well known that some wives forbid their husbands from running in zero years.
Then you had 1980 and Ronald Reagan’s election. He was shot in an assassination attempt during his first term but survived. That seemed to break the curse.
George W. Bush was elected in 2000 but did not die in office. Now comes 2020.
Keeping the Senate is also a worry. But I console myself by thinking that anyone voting for Trump surely wouldn't vote for a Dem senator who would vote to impeach Trump.
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