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Could CDC Data Prove COVID-19 Infections in November 2019?
UncoverDC ^ | April 5, 2020 | Tracy Beanz

Posted on 04/07/2020 3:28:01 PM PDT by CheshireTheCat

1) Data shows a dramatic spike in “Influenza Like Illness” in certain states as early as November of 2019; 2) A number of states appear to have already experienced an ILI and made it through to a more stable ILI footing for this time of year; 3) The US Military participated in the 2019 Military World Games in Wuhan, China between October 18 and October 27 of 2019. Their chartered flights arrive and depart from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport; 4) Washington is one of the earliest states to show a spike in ILI, corresponding with the incubation period should the virus have been introduced as the military traveled through Washington to other destinations.

(Excerpt) Read more at uncoverdc.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: ismellbs; texas
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To: Ouderkirk
 
 
That's what I'm focused on. What did those aholes know and when did they know it. I've seen the various officials worried about and bracing for the "Second Wave" of the corona, but as far as I'm concerned the initial infection wave already came & went and we are currently on the back side of the 2nd Wave. Everybody is gearing up for something that's on the decline. The first wave hit us like a thief in the night already, months ago.
 
 

21 posted on 04/07/2020 4:19:49 PM PDT by lapsus calami (What's that stink? Code Pink ! ! And their buddy Murtha, too!)
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To: AndyJackson
The problem with any such theory is that we did not see exponential grown in COVID-19 cases until +/_ Feb 21

Might that be because we weren’t testing prior and have seen growth as test availability grows? Just wondering. I want the antibody test. Until last December I never had a respiratory illness that I thought might kill me. Then I got one. Thought I was going to drown. The fluid was there in the lungs and wouldn’t come up. Any deep breaths resulted in a choking fit. Fever of 104. I usually tough it out, but I went to an Express Care and begged for an inhaler.

Probably not Corona, but it scared the heck out of me.
22 posted on 04/07/2020 4:27:38 PM PDT by mmichaels1970
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To: CheshireTheCat
Could CDC Data Prove COVID-19 Infections in November 2019?

Absolutely! Simply test for antibodies in everyone who complained of a cold or more severe symptoms from October on........

23 posted on 04/07/2020 4:31:29 PM PDT by Hot Tabasco (How did I survive the Swine flu and the killer flu of 2017-18 without govt. help?)
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To: CheshireTheCat

The antibody tests will tell the tale! ... except can’t pinpoint exactly when someone had it, but I think statistically self reporting by those with a fluey commie feeling thing once in the past 3 - 4 months is likely to have been the time.


24 posted on 04/07/2020 4:31:44 PM PDT by tinyowl
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To: Steely Tom

“Wouldn’t they just think that an “influenze-like illness” was just this year’s mutation of influenza?”

That depends. If doctors or hospitals send for a lab test, the lab tests are normally looking for all the different virus families familiar to medicine as causing “seasonal flu” cases. The annual mutations do not detract from the analysis, because enough of what is common to a virus, through all its mutations, remains.

As the report said, the mystery cases reported to the CDC had lab tests that did not identify any of the usual suspects, in spite of the symptoms being common to ILI.

The spikes in Texas and Washington in late 2019 in particular suggests a spike in ILI (influenza linked illness) with a high proportion of those cases NOT identifiable to the usual seasonal flu bugs. THAT only would suggest quite a number of cases were related to “somthine else” and if not Covid-19 then what?

The questions deserve official investigation.


25 posted on 04/07/2020 4:35:55 PM PDT by Wuli
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To: Hot Tabasco
Absolutely! Simply test for antibodies in everyone who complained of a cold or more severe symptoms from October on........

They did a test like this in Russia a couple of days ago -- random people not supposed to be exposed to the virus at all. 5% had antibodies. What this means is not clear, but perhaps that the virus was all over the world for months, but did not go exponential for whatever reasons.

Russian sample was small (~300 tests), and of course errors are possible... but most likely not.

We do know that the virus was around Washington state for at least two months.. but there is no exponential growth of cases there still. And it did not go exponential in Japan... which is generally a very crowded place. Why?

26 posted on 04/07/2020 4:36:07 PM PDT by mvonfr
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To: umgud

My family members in California had cases like they had not seen before, scattered from late December into late February. Now they’d really like a Covid-19 antibody test.


27 posted on 04/07/2020 4:37:56 PM PDT by Wuli
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

I thought before hand U.S. participation was stupid and a mistake. I know it was.


28 posted on 04/07/2020 4:39:42 PM PDT by Wuli
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To: mvonfr
We do know that the virus was around Washington state for at least two months..

Go back to October and see how many people had merely a cold or more severely, pneumonia that will most likely be the Covid 19............

29 posted on 04/07/2020 4:40:54 PM PDT by Hot Tabasco (How did I survive the Swine flu and the killer flu of 2017-18 without govt. help?)
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To: AndyJackson
"Given that it exponentiated by 10 fold increases week after week after that, we could not have missed the introduction of widespread cases by more than a week.,"

Thank you for pointing out what should be obvious to the MSM and the rest of the Trump haters. All these stories are being generated to allow the Trump Failed to Act Narrative to grow exponentially.

30 posted on 04/07/2020 4:42:44 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you finally endorsed.)
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To: Wuli
That depends. If doctors or hospitals send for a lab test, the lab tests are normally looking for all the different virus families familiar to medicine as causing “seasonal flu” cases. The annual mutations do not detract from the analysis, because enough of what is common to a virus, through all its mutations, remains.

Thanks, I was going to ask that exact question.

My friend had something in late December. He got the flu test and it was negative. All they could tell him was that he had a flu-like illness, but they didn't know what it was.

31 posted on 04/07/2020 4:45:53 PM PDT by Fresh Wind ("We're not going to make America great again. It was never that great." Andrew Cuomo)
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To: Hot Tabasco
Go back to October and see how many people had merely a cold or more severely, pneumonia that will most likely be the Covid 19............

Reports like this come from everywhere and some people report symptoms very similar to Covid.

Not a proof of anything until they are tested for antibodies.--but yes, a hint that the virus was around much longer than we think.

32 posted on 04/07/2020 4:48:26 PM PDT by mvonfr
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To: mvonfr
 
 
We need data. Now. Not "models", tea leaf reading or speculation. Focus on confirmed & tangible hot spots, loosen things up everywhere else and let us get on with our lives. Where I'm at we're on the decline side of it, yet every few days some official tightens the screws, convinced that's somehow gonna make things better - enough already.
 
 

33 posted on 04/07/2020 4:53:35 PM PDT by lapsus calami (What's that stink? Code Pink ! ! And their buddy Murtha, too!)
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To: lapsus calami
Absolutely on data.

And no, we are not on the decline side of it, not for another 10-12 days in New York, and even longer elsewhere.

34 posted on 04/07/2020 4:58:39 PM PDT by mvonfr
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To: mmichaels1970
No. Because while mild cases could be confused for flu, the severe cases have a rather unique progession and by the point everyone was looking for it. At the time because of a lack of tests there were a lot of "presumptive" cases which probably weren't CV in fact, given that about 90% of tests on those with symptoms that merit further look came back negative. That is a very important factor here that tells you that it was a lot less widespread at the time than people hypothesized.

The real trick, the real reason for needing massive testing after we have got hump day in the rear-view mirror is that you need thorough and accurate detection, track and trace once you restart the economy. The potential for reemergence of exponential growth and explosion to 2M or 20M cases is still there. The solution is to track it down every time it happens and prevent it from going anywhere, much less sending it around the world on passenger jets like the CHICOMS did.

35 posted on 04/07/2020 5:00:03 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: CheshireTheCat

I posted elsewhere that I am almost sure I had it. Symptoms checked off almost the whole list. After reviewing text messages, mine began on 16 November.


36 posted on 04/07/2020 5:00:42 PM PDT by Clay Moore (Mega prayers, Rush)
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To: lapsus calami
Focus on confirmed & tangible hot spots, loosen things up everywhere else and let us get on with our lives.

You can only do that without creating a disaster if you have accurate widespread testing coupled with track and trace capabilities.

37 posted on 04/07/2020 5:04:27 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: CheshireTheCat

I have heard that some health care professionals in Anchorage are speculating that a particularly nasty flu that swept through there in November/December may have been the Wuhan Flu.


38 posted on 04/07/2020 5:10:39 PM PDT by Chuckster (Friends don't let friends eat farmed fish)
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To: CheshireTheCat

Pretty sure I had it in early January... I knew it was different than the typical flu and for some odd reason decided to take the Zicam I had on the shelf for when I feel that first tinge of a cold... It only lasted about 3 or 4 days and luckily, I slept in the spare room and did not infect my wife who has COPD. I will be taking an antibody test when it is developed to check and see.

My son and his family were sick in December and they all got tested for the Flu. His wife and daughter were both positive for Influenza but his test came back negative, he wants the test to see if he had it too.

Also, my niece is a respiratory therapist and travels the world speaking about her field. In early November she was so sick for 2 solid weeks that she thought she was going to die after just returning from speaking in China. She too described it at the time as “like a bad case of the flu but different”. We never were in contact with her though, so we did not get it from her.


39 posted on 04/07/2020 5:12:09 PM PDT by AzNASCARfan
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To: mvonfr
 
 
Read me again - where I'm at, yeah, it's a sputter. We got hammered and it went down long before all this emergency stuff even got engaged.
 
 

40 posted on 04/07/2020 5:12:45 PM PDT by lapsus calami (What's that stink? Code Pink ! ! And their buddy Murtha, too!)
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