Posted on 03/20/2020 10:09:34 AM PDT by daniel1212
111,638 tests given; 12,397 positive; 194 deaths... With the help of The COVID Tracking Project a volunteer-run accounting of every coronavirus test conducted in America were monitoring how many Americans have been tested in all 50 states. We will update our numbers as new results come in.
The data isnt perfect. Since the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention hasnt yet begun publicly releasing the number of people who have been tested, The COVID Tracking Project is pulling data from state health departments, which can vary in the way they report tests and infections...
New York
22,284 tests | +19,084 since last week 4,152positive 12deaths
Washington
17,105 tests | +12,298 since last week 1,187 positive 66 deaths
California
9,711 tests | +8,593 since last week 924 positive 18 deaths
New Jersey
1,026 tests | +799 since last week 742 positive 9 death
Illinois
3,151 tests | +2,733 since last week 426 positive 4 deaths
Florida
2,942 tests | +2,193 since last week 390 positive 8 deaths
Louisiana
805 tests | +732 since last week 347 positive 8 deaths
Michigan
2,449 tests | +2,274 since last week 336 positive 3 death
Massachusetts
3,132 tests | +2,917 since last week 328 positive 0 deaths
I like the plotting by county of the NYT.
The state by state graphs in the OP are very good though. A good addition to my “dashboard”.
How many deaths from ordinary flu? This is insane. We are burning down our economy over something that will ultimately have less impact than the annual flu. Criminal.
The flu is still out and about.
Unless the rate of infections is much above the rate of testing then increased case numbers do not mean more are getting it. The more police use radar then the more speeding cars are known, but that does not mean there are more speeding cars.
As was the case in almost all those in Italy, yet that is how the flu and HIV work as well.
Leads to a set of links to each State’s web report.
Some States provide a great set of data and others not so much.
Some have a county map of the state. See Colorado as a good example.
Take a look at this tracker. Go to the far right hand column and look at the number of total cases per million population. Raw numbers mean nothing by themselves. What matters are the ratios.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
Live tracker?
Their numbers are from yesterday, so they are WAY behind.
Ahhh - so someone punked Trump into agreeing with Cuomo and Newsome on the measures they have taken (commending them today even in the conference) - and punked him enough to go along with everything the CDC has said and all the experts have said.
Wow. And here I was thinking he was so smart - but whoever got to him to all of this and make him look stupid and destroy his own presidency is GENIUS level smart. What a master plan. If only he had some advisors as smart as all the FReepers on this site to have steered him clear of destroying the US economy - and his own presidency. I kinda regret voting for him now - considering he has been so easily duped and manipulated by evil geniuses within his inner circle like Pence.
But as with others I have seen, they is deficient in that it they do not show how many tests were run in each state or the increase.
Unless the rate of infections is much above the rate of testing then increased case numbers do not mean more are getting it. The more police use radar then the more speeding cars are known, but that does not mean there are more speeding cars.
What is needed is a table that shows the number of cases in correspondence with the number of testing, and deaths as a percentage of cases in categories, with one excluding cruise ships and one nursing home outliers.
Yet we are told an est. 80% of the infected do not know they are.
Has anyone seen a national map that breaks the infection stats down by county?
The WA DOH has some of that information:
https://www.doh.wa.gov/Emergencies/NovelCoronavirusOutbreak2020
Only 7% of those tested have Covid-19.
Other states probably do also.
At this point, the Case Fatality Ratio (CFR) is not valid, because the ultimate outcome (recovery or death) is not known. Even the CFR does not tell the whole story, because it is believed that 80% of cases are mild (assumed to mean no doctor or hospital visit). So if the CFR is 4%, then you have to divide that by 5 in order to get the whole (estimated) picture.
Not true. The WA DOH shows the following:
https://www.doh.wa.gov/Emergencies/NovelCoronavirusOutbreak2020
Over 20,000 tested - probably not all celebrities.
Percentages can be deceptive, because they do not tell the whole picture. Seven percent of 100 is 7; of 1000 is 70. Those are actual people, not just numbers. So in WA, 7% of about 20,700 tested is 1,376. So 93% - 19,336 people - tested negative. I assume these people had some symptoms???
Testing is usually done in those with symptoms consistent with COVID-19. As testing has become more available, known contacts may also be tested. Still, the WA percentage numbers have remained stable or declined.
Here in CA, it is very hard to get testing even on symptomatic outpatients - basketball players excluded.
I don’t know that this means the prevalence is lower than feared but it does suggest the vast majority of individuals with respiratory symptoms have something else (such as influenza, etc)
I find this interesting given the current climate which at times seems to be bordering on hysteria.
i’m kind of hoping that at some point, we find out a lot of people had it and never knew.
THe current test results don’t tell us one way or another.
States seem to be testing people with possible symptoms, and people who interact with people who tested positive.
In Virginia, our ‘positive’ hit rate is 4.9%. That means that for every 100 people who have symptoms, or interacted with someone who was known positive, 5 of them have it. If that was a real number, it would be encouraging, because it would suggest that the chance of picking up the virus by randomly running into someone with it is low.
I’d love to see separate numbers for “people who have symptoms”, and “everybody we test who ran into someone who tested positive”. The second number would hint at casual spread. If that number stays at 5% for a couple of weeks, I would think we could lift most of the isolation, since it would tell us that running into other people with the virus only has a 5% chance of infecting us, not the 20% they seem to be expecting.
Although another number useful would be, for each person, how many of the tests of those they ran into are positive. If THAT number was more than 2, that would signal a robust spread.
The bottom line is people in hospitals.
3 states that let ANYONE into their states!!!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.