Posted on 03/02/2020 9:21:50 AM PST by EyesOfTX
Guest piece from Americas History Teacher, Larry Schweikart I know. I get outright laughter when I say this (which I first did in 2018 on Brandon Voghts radio show in New Mexico when asked who would be the GOP nominee in 2024 assuming Trump wins in 2020. (First, there is no doubt in my mind that Trump not only will win in 2020, but will do so even far more convincingly than in 2016perhaps between 320 and 340 electoral votes and win the popular vote. But it could be even better for Trump depending on who the Democrat nominee is).
Anyway, back to Kanye. This is ridiculous. A rapper in the White House? No, he likely would not have the electoral expertise of a Ronald Reagan, who had eight years as California governor to keep him from being just an actor. Nor does he have Trumps decades of experience in physical construction, though he began his career as a music producer for Roc-a-Fella Records by producing stars such as Jay-Z, Ludacris, and Alicia Keys. But he also has been a fashion designer with his Yeezy collaboration with Adidas, founded the creative content company DONDA, founded the record label (in 2004) called GOOD Music (Getting Out Our Dreams).
In some ways, West has surpassed Reagans second life achievements. As an actor, Reagan never achieved greatnessin large part because he never really wanted to. As I showed in my recent biography, Reagan: The American President, he never put in the time of method actors, or immersed himself in a role to the extent that it changed his body (the way Matthew McConaughey or Christian Bale have), not to mention changing his mental stability as Heath Ledger did with the Joker role. Reagan said of himself, You know that guy that grabs the phone and says, Hold on! Have I got a story for you? Thats me! He would not play a villain, finally agreeing to in his very last film, The Killers.
While Trumps achievements dot the skyline, Wests dot the annals of pop culture. He has sold over 100 million records, won 21 Grammy Awards, and had three albums make the Rolling Stone top 500 albums of all time list. Twice Time magazine has called him one of the 500 most influential people in the world.
Probably most people know about West more through his controversies than through his music. In 2016 he was convinced to admit himself into UCLA Medical Center for depression, paranoia, and other undiagnosed issues. Many think he is bipolar, which he confirmed on David Lettermans show in 2019. One thing is certain: anyone looking at photos of Kanye prior to his conversion to Christianity and since can only notice the change from angry and isolated to a man happy and full of life.
Daniel Boorstein, over 50 years ago, predicted that the future of American politics would be celebrity. In a study of the modern age, Olivia Laing noted that Andy Warhol perhaps embodied the shift from sexual desire as the most animating force to the desire for attention. Keeping up With the Kardashians was merely the inevitable outcome of that movement.
In politics, name recognition is no small thing. Take the 2018 Senate elections in Ohio or Michigan, for example: both Republican challengers (Jim Renaicci and John James) spent the vast bulk of their campaign trying to raise name awareness. Yesterday, Tom Steyer dropped out of the Democrat primary campaign because, despite spending over $200 million (!) in ads, the first word most people uttered when they watched a Steyer ad was Who? The collapse of political awareness (or historical knowledge for that matter) among modern young people exacerbates this. Any Jesse Watters man-on-the-street video in which he questions college students shows that the vast majority of them cant name a single Supreme Court Justice, say what job Nancy Pelosi holds, or identify Mike Pence. But you can get they know Kanye. Does anyone seriously wish to argue that this situation will improve in the next 4.5 years? By 2024, celebrity will be a requirement for public office if only because it is the only way to get uneducated/ill-informed voters to the polls.
Reagan found that his celebrity Hollywood status still worked against him in 1980, making it hard for some people to take an actor seriously. But in the Greta Thunberg age, where children are viewed as deep-thinking saviors of the world, Reagans concern no longer exists. Quite the contrary, it is now a requirement.
Barack Obama dabbled at being the first celebrity president, leveraging a single national speech into the presidency (along with the trademarked first African-American president). But he never quite pulled it off. Obama did not dare put himself in the midst of too many celebrities who were bigger than he was, otherwise he would vanish. But Trump?
Trump thrives on celebrity. Its his oxygen. Who needs press conferences when Trump can do his own? Need a photo-op? Just bring up the most beautiful first lady in history. If Trump needs to get his message out, its only a Tweet away. And if its a bigger message than Twitter can handle, he schedules an American pride celebration on the Mall complete with tanks and the Blue Angels. He is the celebrity president.
This will be the norm from now on, and explains in part why existing Democrat candidates are having difficulty getting traction against him (besides the fact that their policies are flat-out insane). Anyone who thinks Mike Pence, as good as he is, can capture this lightning in a bottle is sorely mistaken.
Oh, and did I mention Kanye said he would be president? He told the British tabloid the Sun he would be president, and later said when I am president. West has shown he can accomplish incredible things. His rehab and conversion to Christianity is a major step, as suddenly he has gone from the object of evangelicals ire to a redemption story like none other.
His ascent as a major GOP candidate (which seems his likely party of choice, given his friendship with President Trump) means that the only Democrat who could possibly defeat him would have to similarly be a celebrity. Dwayne The Rock Johnson hasnt announced his political leanings, but he is one of the few who could match Kanyes omnipresence in culture. As strange as it may sound in 2020, the phrase President West may not seem nearly as odd in four years.
Larry Schweikart is the author of Reagan: The American President and the co-author of the New York Times #1 bestseller, A Patriots History of the United States. He currently runs the Wild World of History (www.wildworldofhistory.com) history curriculum business.
Im saying that
- He won national office - VP - a long time after he attained statewide office as senator from Delaware. A shooting star he aint - and winning presidential candidate most always are shooting stars.
- VP is a great office from which to obtain a presidential nomination - but much worse as a credential for winning the general election.
- The only real credential for winning the general election is being, or having been, a governor - which Biden never was.
In short, Im saying that in a race for an open presidency Senator/VP Biden would be expected to lose to a governor - let alone to a sitting POTUS. He would even be likely to lose to a freshman or sophomore senator (who was dynamic enough to win the Republican nomination).
I meant about the importance of the plugs on his pate.
Part of that might just be the notorious weirdness of the vice presidency - which isnt an executive position but merely political heir of a term-limited president who presumably will not die in office.At best [Pence] might squeak in on Trumps coattails for one term, but hed never make it on his own (putting him in the Poppy Bush bucket).
There would be something to be said for just winning in 24.Depending on the makeup of the Senate, by 1929 there likely would not be a whole lot of Democrat-nominated SCOTUS justices.
Not that we need to be counting our November 2020 eggs in March . . .
. . . and I suppose that goes double for me.
Its gonna be that Race Bannon dude, man.
My woman is NOT a HOBBIT!
Pence projected that vibe before Trump was in politics. (Back when Pence was best pals with Jeff Flake and Paul Ryan.)
And you’re right, no counting even our 2020 chickens yet.
Theres one cultural factor which - long shot - could be changed for the better.IMHO the reason the media has gone rogue with its fake news is the fact that Republican politicians are intimidated into not suing for libel. And that is down to the unanimous 1964 New York Times Co. v. Sullivan decision which claimed that
". . . libel can claim no talismanic immunity from constitutional limitations. It must be measured by standards that satisfy the First AmendmentAntonin Scalia pointed out that from an original intent POV that is nonsense.The Federalists were desperate to suppress controversy over the effect of the Constitution on peoples rights, and the last thing they were thinking about when they promoted and ratified the Bill of Rights was trying to change anyones rights. As the Ninth Amendment practically says in so many words. The enumerated rights in the first 8 amendments were only those rights which tyrants had suppressed historically; all others were too numerous to mention and were nowhere codified all in one place. But the First Eight Amendments were crafted not to disturb the unenumerated rights.
Thus, no one has ever thought that 2As preservation of the RTKBA impinged at all on anyones right not to be subjected to armed assault. The idea is absurd. And yet the claim that 1A restricts libel actions is a claim that a politicians reputation can legally be subjected to assault with a (reputationally deadly) press. Its humbug, and Republicans must file libel suits - and antitrust suits - for injunctive relief which will make journalists as loathe to libel Republicans as they already are to libel Democrats.
Now that would be a restorative cultural change.
Donald Trump Jr. will be Trump’s successor in 2024.
Funny you should mention this. Trump just sued the WaCompost for its libelous reporting of his comments on the hoax.
Its been my hobby horse for some time. Im not a lawyer, but Ive been looking hard at the issue ever since it sank in to me that there was bias in the media back in the Carter era.Trump just sued the WaCompost for its libelous reporting of his comments on the hoax.
Hooray!But IMHO the right lawsuit would name the wire services and the members of the AP. Because the wire services are continuous virtual meetings of major journalism. Thats significant because
People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public, or in some contrivance to raise prices. - Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations (1776)powerfully suggests that the wire services and their members/subscribers, collectively, are a cartel. And as such, vulnerable to civil suits for triple damages.I would have SCOTUS fudge a little, letting Sullivan stand except for the journalism cartel delineated above. But let down the hammer on the wire services. If you think about it, if the wire services did not already exist, the idea of creating them now would seem ridiculous from the antitrust POV. Because their virtue is conserving scarce expensive bandwidth - and at this late date telegraphy bandwidth costs are de minimus. I imagine that FR uses more bandwidth now than the AP did in 1945 when it was found to be in violation of Sherman.
Fingering the wire services would cut thru the blame shifting which any individual newspaper would be likely to engage in.
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