Posted on 02/29/2020 12:03:48 PM PST by Impala64ssa
They have 3 reported cases in India. I would not be surprised if they actually have several hundred or several thousand. Their public health is lacking so there are probably a lot of unreported cases. The virus started with one case in China at the beginning of Dec. By the end of January they had 75,000. I do think its an epidemic. We can slow it down and reduce the number of victims by taking action but I question whether it can be stopped. There really isnt anything to stop it. The media has been saying that chinas dictatorship is a weak way to stop it because of how they quashed the reporting. However one advantage they have is that they can quarantine a whole city or province with an order from Xi. Trump cant do that I dont think. At least not without declaring martial law.
Interesting data points you provide in your response, truly
The numbers I have seen in my research vary widely even outside of China. Certainly social considerations and conditions in each country vary as well as the net result of recovery or fatality.
Identifying and minimizing risk factors is the right way to go. The potential root cause of the virus in China has varied over time from a fish market to eating bats or other possibilities.
Transmission is a key issue, and initial isolation of patients to prevent unknown methods until it is isolated is sound. Unless and until it is better identified and isolated as it seems to be underway now it certainly does not seem to have the fertile ground that it came from as in China.
To your point on numbers, China has been shall we say secretive in releasing numbers but the side effects will change the nature of business forever. The location or epicenter seems to be near if not dead on in a major manufacturing area and that will change supply chain models around the world.
Many labs are hot on the trail to test vaccinations to prevent it and that is a good thing. And last it may be spreading widely in China but they have as you say the ability to isolate cities and lockdown things that would never fly here in the US
Watching closely, more going on than we know but it is serious business and people are recovering steadily now and recovering so it is not a death sentence
The Dems better consider the homeless and sanctuary cities. Perfect breathing grounds for disease. They own them and have encouraged their existence. Be careful what you wish for morons.
I do find it interesting that so few reported in India...If numbers stay low (they have some in in observation and self-quarantine), maybe other countries can learn from their best practices...
But there do seem to be patterns emerging...And this is merely my own casual observation....Seems a Country gets a few cases-and that goes on for a few weeks...maybe couple months..., then there is an uptick, and sadly for some countries like S. Korea or Iran, it’s a parabolic “off to the races’ rise if not enough attention was paid/or tough enough screen procedures etc. were put in at the first sign when there were relatively few cases.
I have a somewhat different perspective than some...I have a family member living in San Jose which he “fondly” refers to as the “hot zone.” And he is fortunate in that he can choose to work from home and has been way ahead of the curve on pushing for this with his work group, etc. Now it is being recommended...And my spouse flew home last Sunday from a job related trip to Sacramento...stayed in Davis and San Jose...We are all keeping a safe distance and trying our best to exercise sound infectious disease protocols just in case...He flew in to Sacramento same day 60-80 newly released quarantinees were bused there to catch outgoing flights...So this is a little more real for me, and I truly want information—I can read and sift thru what is likely valid and what is over the top, but I appreciate the threads regardless of terms being used.
I certainly hope this thing blows over with minimal medical, economic and political consequences. However, my motto is hope for the best/prepare for the worse.
Be safe and healthy, Friend.
I have read that the death rate from flu is about .05%. The Chinese said that the death rate from Coronavirus is 2.3%. That seems to correspond about with what we have here with just one death. Of course its hard to get a good read with such a small number of cases and only one death. But if you divide 2.3 by .05 you see that the death rate for Coronavirus is about 46 times that for flu.
If it becomes widespread then a lot of life insurance companies and health insurance companies will go bust.
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