They have 3 reported cases in India. I would not be surprised if they actually have several hundred or several thousand. Their public health is lacking so there are probably a lot of unreported cases. The virus started with one case in China at the beginning of Dec. By the end of January they had 75,000. I do think it’s an epidemic. We can slow it down and reduce the number of victims by taking action but I question whether it can be stopped. There really isn’t anything to stop it. The media has been saying that chinas dictatorship is a weak way to stop it because of how they quashed the reporting. However one advantage they have is that they can quarantine a whole city or province with an order from Xi. Trump can’t do that I don’t think. At least not without declaring martial law.
Interesting data points you provide in your response, truly
The numbers I have seen in my research vary widely even outside of China. Certainly social considerations and conditions in each country vary as well as the net result of recovery or fatality.
Identifying and minimizing risk factors is the right way to go. The potential root cause of the virus in China has varied over time from a fish market to eating bats or other possibilities.
Transmission is a key issue, and initial isolation of patients to prevent unknown methods until it is isolated is sound. Unless and until it is better identified and isolated as it seems to be underway now it certainly does not seem to have the fertile ground that it came from as in China.
To your point on numbers, China has been shall we say secretive in releasing numbers but the side effects will change the nature of business forever. The location or epicenter seems to be near if not dead on in a major manufacturing area and that will change supply chain models around the world.
Many labs are hot on the trail to test vaccinations to prevent it and that is a good thing. And last it may be spreading widely in China but they have as you say the ability to isolate cities and lockdown things that would never fly here in the US
Watching closely, more going on than we know but it is serious business and people are recovering steadily now and recovering so it is not a death sentence