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The year ahead in automotive trends
Plastics Today ^ | December 27, 2016 | Stephen Moore

Posted on 12/27/2016 4:38:07 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

The four mega-trends shaping the global auto industry over the next 15-odd years are undoubtedly vehicles with lower emissions, new powertrain technologies, autonomous automobiles and vehicle digitalization. Reflecting these mega-trends, one can anticipate more developments in lightweighting, drivetrain optimization, car computerization, infotainment and driverless transportation in 2017. Here PlasticsToday gives its take on some of the key developments expected in 2017.

Staying connected, and entertained

Rather than being interested in the size of the engine and the shape of the car, consumers are now more interested in “infotainment” systems, being connected, autonomous driving and diverse mobility, notes consultant McKinsey. Traditionally, most value has resided in the hardware of vehicles and in the automakers’ brands. However, future innovations will probably focus on disruptive technology trends, so customer perceptions of value will shift, increasingly putting incumbents in danger. “Infotainment innovations, together with novel traffic services and new business models and services, will increase as cars get connected to each other, to the wider infrastructure and to people,” notes McKinsey.

3D printing expands its role

3D printing is a common tool for prototyping parts in a variety of industries including automotive. It’s also common to employ the technology to fabricate fixtures and jigs to simplify manual assembly operations. Moving forward, material developments such as the availability of 3D-printing materials with reinforcing fibers will likely see 3D printing used as a tool to fabricate structural parts for low-volume cars and trucks. 3D printing is also being applied to form high-strength magnets with implications for electric vehicle propulsion. Expect more developments in high-speed printing, 3D-printed sacrificial tooling and additive manufacturing in 2017.

Lower cost carbon fiber

The high cost of carbon fiber has traditionally limited its application to luxury vehicles, but help is on the horizon with the impending availability of lower cost sources. LeMond Composites, for example, will offer on a commercial basis carbon fiber that is 50% cheaper. R&D to reduce processing costs also will be critical to make carbon-fiber adoption more widespread, but it’s a step in the right direction

Changes to CAFE standards

With the mid-term review of the 2025 the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards scheduled through 2017, 52% of respondents to a recent survey—pre-presidential election, it must be added—said they expected the standards for fuel economy and emissions to become more stringent, while 35% expected them to remain the same. The current test regime is easy to manipulate (cue the use of duct tape) and does not reflect real-world driving conditions. In any case, many experts view the 2025 targets as unrealistic and riddled with loopholes. Are changes afoot once Donald Trump takes office? Based on Trump’s cabinet appointments, it would be no surprise if the answer is yes.

Startups start delivering

Startup automaker Rivian has been around since 2009. Leaving aside whether it still qualifies as a startup eight years on, the company is in talks to buy the former Mitsubishi plant in Noral, IL, with plans to manufacture fuel-efficient vehicles. Furthermore, Lucid, a 330-person Silicon Valley company founded in 2007, plans to start delivering an all-electric, all-wheel-drive sedan with a 300-mile range in early 2019. And while Faraday Future’s production plans appear to be on hold because of funding issues, 2017 could be the year when competition to Tesla appears on the horizon.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Science; Travel
KEYWORDS: 3dprinters; 3dprinting; automobiles; automotive; carbonfiber; manufacturing; plastics; trump
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1 posted on 12/27/2016 4:38:07 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Cars/Light Trucks depreciate fast enough without including thousand$ of dollar$ worth of electronics that depreciate even faster.

Give me the mechanicals (even with microprossessor controls) and let me put my own electronics in (if ever required).

2 posted on 12/27/2016 4:43:31 PM PST by Paladin2 (No spellcheck. It's too much work to undo the auto wrong word substitution on mobile devices.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I think the CAFE standards will be repealed long before 2025.


3 posted on 12/27/2016 4:48:36 PM PST by SoCal Pubbie
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I want a vehicle that will go off-road, have a big V8, and hold a lot of people and gear. My ‘75 Jeep has 500 horsepower, but doesn’t hold many people or much gear, but is sure fun.


4 posted on 12/27/2016 4:55:15 PM PST by umgud (ban all infidelaphobics)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

More craptastic stuff. Last light vehicle I bought was a 1984 (carburetor) a year ago. I’ll never buy another new vehicle. Detroit, etc. can GFT.


5 posted on 12/27/2016 4:55:24 PM PST by meatloaf
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To: Paladin2

My old Jeeps and Blazer only have the module for the electronic ignition. Other than a radio, I don’t need any more fancy gadgets that will fry.

The Willys had points when I got it, going to electronic on it made a big difference.

My 16 Tacoma is rather light on the bells and whistles and I wanted it that way.


6 posted on 12/27/2016 4:56:11 PM PST by wally_bert (I didn't get where I am today by selling ice cream tasting of bookends, pumice stone & West Germany)
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To: Paladin2

I’m leaning towards a Nissan 370Z in the new year.

Dont want it to drive itself. Dont want speed controls. I can still move my arms and legs so I’ll K park myself.

Just want to have fun and enjoy my car.


7 posted on 12/27/2016 4:57:02 PM PST by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What exactly is driving emissions standards these days? Is it air quality or are we doing it just to do it? The auto makers have drastically cut emissions over the years. I wonder if we might be getting to the point of diminishing returns. It might make sense to evaluate whether resources would be better put into other areas like safety or fuel economy or performance. Hopefully someone’s keeping an eye on that sort of thing.


8 posted on 12/27/2016 4:58:46 PM PST by Yardstick
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To: wally_bert
Fuel injection is a vast improvement over a carb, so that and a microprocessor controlled turbo to provide sea level performance in the mountains would be my ideal limit.

Who wants a GPS that will get you stuck on the North Rim of the Grand Canyon in Winter?

9 posted on 12/27/2016 5:01:00 PM PST by Paladin2 (No spellcheck. It's too much work to undo the auto wrong word substitution on mobile devices.)
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To: Yardstick

Yeah, the EPA wants you to walk and even better, die off.....


10 posted on 12/27/2016 5:03:05 PM PST by Paladin2 (No spellcheck. It's too much work to undo the auto wrong word substitution on mobile devices.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Infotainment innovations, together with novel traffic services and new business models and services...

New navigation system: "In two miles, make a turn... details of the turn in 30 seconds after a brief ad from our sponsors..."

-PJ

11 posted on 12/27/2016 5:03:05 PM PST by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
hummphhh!...

Still no flying car.


12 posted on 12/27/2016 5:06:49 PM PST by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: Paladin2

I don’t see fuel injection for an F-134. However after going through a couple of aftermarket 1 barrels, I broke down and got a Weber 32/36.

It took some extra plumbing including a regulator and an inline gauge. It’s maybe 90% right and it runs really well unless it’s near freezing.

I’ll spin it over on a really cold night. It takes a good few minutes of coaxing and feathering the choke and throttle the first time. After that, it runs fine.

My CJ7 project has a blown engine which is why I got it for the price I did. Anyway I looked at it as an opportunity to relearn things I forgot and try to make it better.

It’s a 2 barrel 6/258. I’ve read about fuel injector kits for that model and hopefully later next year, I can have the pennies saved up for that transplant. In the meantime I do small things to it and stockpile parts when I find them on sale. Amazon is really great for that.

The Willys gets a windshield frame next month. Christmas blew that plan. My 65’s was rusted and didn’t support electric motors.

After that, buy a lift kit and parts to redo the brakes and get the steering box rebuilt. Those are on a laundry list of things I’m looking to get done in March if budget holds.

I’m just one guy in a carport with some knee and other problems so some jobs are out for me.


13 posted on 12/27/2016 5:09:39 PM PST by wally_bert (I didn't get where I am today by selling ice cream tasting of bookends, pumice stone & West Germany)
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To: Paladin2

I’m driving a 57 Bel Air. Spartan, yes. But also repairable, and can be updated wherever I want to state of the art. Paid for. Appreciating in value. It will be on the road 100 years from now


14 posted on 12/27/2016 5:09:45 PM PST by DaxtonBrown
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To: Paladin2

Not going to happen. Electronics are all the rage - to meet cafe and consumer desire to stay ‘connected’. What the article didn’t cover is who will fix them. Few mechanics or techs are good at the electrical/electronics part. The future belongs to the tech who can. Most of those training with me don’t get it. I see a future with few good techs and greatly increased repair costs. It remains to be seen whether wages will keep pace tho. The day of the wrench turner is over.


15 posted on 12/27/2016 5:12:07 PM PST by 556x45
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To: umgud

16 posted on 12/27/2016 5:15:10 PM PST by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: wally_bert

In-line 6’s have the worst cylinder to cylinder fuel distribution (especially during transients) and are the most likely to benefit from port injection. Electronic FI compensates for so much (temperatures, altitude, transient operation) that it’s a good deal AFAIAC.


17 posted on 12/27/2016 5:15:46 PM PST by Paladin2 (No spellcheck. It's too much work to undo the auto wrong word substitution on mobile devices.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Great. So the idiot @$$holes in front of me who can barely drive as it is will now have even more distractions to make them even worse drivers. I can hardly wait.


18 posted on 12/27/2016 5:16:17 PM PST by Hardastarboard (Freedom Trumps Fascism)
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To: dp0622
"I’m leaning towards a Nissan 370Z in the new year."

Beautiful lines, but they've always struck me as a bit small.

19 posted on 12/27/2016 5:19:29 PM PST by PLMerite (Lord, let me die fighting lions. Amen.)
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To: Paladin2

The kit I saw a while back was $1400 or so but supposedly everything to convert one like mine over.

Carbs are such a pain.

My old 79 Blazer has a 4 barrel that I need to replace. When it came to me and rebuilding carbs, it never really worked out well.

All my oldies get nothing but ethanol free.


20 posted on 12/27/2016 5:19:36 PM PST by wally_bert (I didn't get where I am today by selling ice cream tasting of bookends, pumice stone & West Germany)
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