Posted on 11/07/2016 7:10:22 AM PST by GilGil
Mitchell also said following just now via twitter:
ABC: "Trump receives 51 percent to 41 percent for Clinton in Colorado, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Ohio." This is for election day voting!
https://twitter.com/mitchellvii/status/795639452647518208
Bill who?
Can we see the LINK to ABC Poll ?
Thailand?
I like Bill, but he is a Trump shill every bit as flagrant as some of the Cankles shills. I trust Speedy and Ravi’s numbers on FL more, which means you could have 230,000 to possibly 400,000 margin (i.e., 4-5%).
What NO ONE is talking about . . . yet!-—is the massive white vote that is coming. I think that’s where this poll of FL Trump +16 of people who haven’t voted yet in the CBS poll yesterday are coming from. Basically, it would take about a 40% increase in Hispanic vote to offset a 1% increase in white vote in FL.
BTW, Trump spokesman on Fox this morning said “We’re ahead in MI.”
This is funny beyond belief. ABC has Trump winning CO, FL, NV (I think) OH-—but losing the national election by 4 points.
Sumptin’ ain’t right.
Yeah, ED=Election Day. There was one poll recently showing Trump was favored by election day voters by 16% in FL and 10% in Ohio. I’m wondering if there is a second poll showing ED voters in FL favoring Trump by 10% or if he’s gotten the Ohio poll results mixed up with FL.
I am voting in Alabama. I will be an election day voter. I usually vote early.
For some reason, I didn’t get the notifications I used to get for early voting. I am wondering if it was because the Trump team didn’t have all the know-how or if it was because the republican party didn’t use it’s resources to help Trump. Either way, I am +1 for Trump tomorrow.
If Fl, MI, and Ohio go Trump....I just don’t see a chance for Hillary.
I just did a likely vote on Realclearpolitcs and I came up with Trump winning with 274 electoral votes to Hillarys 259, but that’s IF he wins Florida. If she wins Florida she will win the election so I hope this is true. On the other hand, we really don’t know what people will do tomorrow. It could be another Reagan/Carter, they were running neck and neck all the way up to the election and Reagan won by one of the biggest landslides in history OR what could happen is that our government is so corrupt now they will have Trump losing through massive voter fraud.
It’s gonna bu yuuuuuugggge....
Mitchell is a good guy but a Trump shill-—I think he does get select info from Team Trump, but not all info. (Neither do I, but I do speak/text with Steve Bannon DAILY if not hourly). And no, I don’t think Team Trump tells me everything either.
Personally, for a month I haven’t gotten anything from Team Trump on PA, no matter how hard I press. I take that as either 1) they are way behind and don’t want to talk about it, or 2) they are slightly ahead and don’t want Cankles putting any more resources in there. They are sandbagging. My evidence for 2 is that Trump’s guy said on TV this morning (and I had already heard) they are up in MI. We know they are up in OH. Seriously doubtful they can lead these two states and not be in VERY good shape in PA.
It’s from the ABC Poll
Kellyann Conway, who I trust the most regarding DJT’s chances: 54% chance of a presidential win.
That simple, like getting dealt a low pocket pair in poker, heads up.
Important: this is about ELECTION DAY votes. It’s good news, because Florida’s early election vote is only slightly tipping Democrat. But it’s not toooo big, because most voters voted early.
I think you mean Japanese not Germans.
https://twitter.com/mitchellvii/status/795643635115130880
The ABC Poll states Hillary has a 13 point lead in deep blue states while Trump has a 7 point lead in deep red. This skews the topline.
Mitchell is pointing out the problem with a nationwide popular vote poll: it's skewed toward Hillary, due to her margins in deep blue states.
If Trump wins the EC vote and loses the popular vote, we'll see the usual complaints about the electoral college, and calls to abolish it.
But, this is exactly what the EC was designed to prevent: the more populous states can't overwhelm the votes in less populous states. A Presidential candidate has to build a coalition of states, rather than concentrating on the large populations.
Because Twitter is even more truthy than the Internet......
Nobody, he doesn’t, you shouldn’t.
But even if he is right, it’s a prediction (not reality) of election day only (not total) voting.
We saw this in 2008 and 2012 too, long lines of dedicated election day voters with the overall edge going to McCain and then to Romney among THOSE voters.
But there’s this thing called early voting, and one called absentee voting and a really big one called voter fraud.
It takes a lot to overcome that and we *should* do better overall than the two prior elections, but it’s like Assange said (the puppetmasters won’t let Trump win, not Assange’s exact words of course but that’s what he meant).
We have to vote in such large numbers that they can’t steal it. Will all the fraud already in the books via early/absentee voting, is that possible — that is the big question.
I don’t trust ANYONE in the media now. Act like we are 10 points behind and keep charging!!!!
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