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TRUMP SURGING IN PA DOWN ONLY 3 with 2 weeks to go (MOE 2.19%)
Real Clear Politics ^ | 10/22/2016 | Staff

Posted on 10/25/2016 2:57:43 PM PDT by GilGil

The candidates in the General Election for President of the United States are the Republican Donald Trump, the Democrat Hillary Clinton and the Libertarian Gary Johnson or someone else. If the election were held today, for whom would you vote? (ROTATE) Donald Trump: 42% Hillary Clinton: 45% Gary Johnson: 5% Someone else: 1% Undecided: 7%

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2016; clinton; election; paping; trump; trump2016; trumppa
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To: GilGil
By race:

Black: 29% Trump!!!
Hispanic: 30% Trump!!!

41 posted on 10/25/2016 3:28:53 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (She calls me Mr. Deplorable.)
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To: HamiltonJay
>Trump is 10 points below Romney in Philly, but with 8% undecided there, I expect he’ll likely be close to even to Romney in that area on election day.. maybe a few points down, but not 20.

Obama won Philly 85.2% to 14%. 588,806 votes to 96,467. How much worse than Romney? Obama won by almost half a million votes.

Obama won Allegheny County (Pittsburgh) 56.5% to 42% and won by 90,000 votes. The almost 600,000 votes from Philly and Pittsburgh were enough to offset the rest of the state and win by 300,000.

42 posted on 10/25/2016 3:30:17 PM PDT by kabar
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To: GilGil

Just like the employment rate holding steady @5% or obamas positives at 55%, both numbers, if true, guarantee a win at the ballot box.


43 posted on 10/25/2016 3:32:18 PM PDT by InvisibleChurch (https://thepurginglutheran.wordpress.com)
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To: GilGil; flaglady47

Pennsylvania is Philadelphia and Pittsburgh with America in between.
My sense is Donald Trump will win the state, including the Pittsburgh area.

44 posted on 10/25/2016 3:32:54 PM PDT by Blue Jays ( Rock hard ~ Ride free)
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To: Blue Jays

I am getting a sense the mojo has shifted to Trump again and just in the nick of time. Two good trending up weeks and he wins !!!


45 posted on 10/25/2016 3:33:59 PM PDT by IVAXMAN
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To: Inyo-Mono

Hard for me to understand how anyone could be undecided at this point.


You can thank the never Trumpers who just had another tantrum a couple weeks ago. Every time they do that it pushes some milquetoast types to the sidelines.


46 posted on 10/25/2016 3:35:57 PM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: my small voice

Trump is gaining steam - good news. Peaking at the right time.


47 posted on 10/25/2016 3:37:35 PM PDT by VAClone
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To: Parley Baer

I thought Philly was rich in voter fraud.


48 posted on 10/25/2016 3:38:39 PM PDT by Cobra64 (Common sense isn't common any more.)
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To: UMCRevMom@aol.com

Hard to believe that Trump is down 2 with IND.
Also this poll had +8% female to male sample.


49 posted on 10/25/2016 3:45:38 PM PDT by SteveO87
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To: IVAXMAN

Absolutely concur, IVAXMAN.
Donald Trump is on fire at the rallies!

50 posted on 10/25/2016 3:46:22 PM PDT by Blue Jays ( Rock hard ~ Ride free)
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To: RoseofTexas
What about AZ?

Just let them know that obama care is going up an average of 63.04% in AZ next year.

51 posted on 10/25/2016 3:47:11 PM PDT by Irish Eyes
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To: UMCRevMom@aol.com

Hard to believe that Trump is down 2 with IND.
Also this poll had +8% female to male sample.


52 posted on 10/25/2016 3:56:24 PM PDT by SteveO87
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To: GilGil
OMG...the Trump Train is acceleration out of the plateau.....heading up to the shining city at the top of the mountain

....meanwhile the Cankles Caboose has slipped back and is descending into the fjord that it was always pining for.

53 posted on 10/25/2016 4:02:00 PM PDT by spokeshave (In the Thatch Weave,..Trump's Wing Man is Truth.)
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To: kabar

Actually he got exactly 56% out of the county that holds philly. This is exactly where she’s at in this poll. She is down significantly everywhere else relative to Obama. Outright losing erie county and harrisburg area. And only up 2 in Pitt... She’s toast.


54 posted on 10/25/2016 4:03:59 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: GilGil

This question has probably been posed before: how does an “undecided voter” qualify as a “likely voter.”

Pollster asks “do you plan on voting in the upcoming presidential election?
Pollee responds “yes.”
Pollster asks “who do you plan on voting for?”
Pollee responds “I don’t know.”

Is that how it works?


55 posted on 10/25/2016 4:10:02 PM PDT by HotKat (Politicians are like diapers; they need to be changed often and for the same reason. Mark Twain)
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To: Inyo-Mono

Are they undecided or just not willing to let pollsters know how they will vote? I think in many cases it’s the latter. With the bullying and surveillance on individuals that’s going on I wouldn’t want to reveal that personal and private a decision to a stranger.


56 posted on 10/25/2016 4:29:37 PM PDT by EDINVA
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To: Ken H

““I am concerned he is peaking too early...”
Peaking too early, lol. There are only 2 weeks left!

“It was a joke.”

Oops,didn’t catch that. Actually, 2 weeks from now can’t come soon enough. Yikes, my nerves!


57 posted on 10/25/2016 4:52:21 PM PDT by flaglady47 (TRUMP Rock!)
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To: kabar

PA native here.
This is the problem with statewide PA elections. Philly/Pitt/Scranton areas. Throw in Reading,Harrisburg, Erie,State College and its an uphill climb. It’s doable, and has been done, but it is not easy.
I must admit the Reading-Lancaster-Hershey triangle is almost solid Trump. I have never seen anything like it. Trump signs/bumper stickers have to be 40 or 50 to 1. Almost no one that I know has said they are going Hildebeast. I only know of 1 person who will go for Clinton—1. And this includes folks from the NE Scranton area. I pray it holds-—Trump just could pull off PA if he gets a fraction of the black/hispanic vote, and Philly fails to get out the dead. Philly is the problem!!!!
Would love to all the lib talking heads EXPLODE if he snipes PA. WOULD BE GREAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


58 posted on 10/25/2016 5:26:16 PM PDT by bantam
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To: HamiltonJay
Actually he got exactly 56% out of the county that holds philly.

Obama got 85% in Philadelphia County.

59 posted on 10/25/2016 5:36:43 PM PDT by kabar
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To: bantam
Went to HS in Port Jervis, NY across from Matamoras. We used to play Scranton in baseball and football.

If Trump can cut into the black vote in PA or there is low turnout in Philly, he has a real shot. Of course there is voter fraud in Philly where they manufacture the votes needed to win. Hard to see Hillary running stronger than Obama in PA and Trump will do better than Romney getting the blue collar white vote.

60 posted on 10/25/2016 5:43:15 PM PDT by kabar
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