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To: HamiltonJay
>Trump is 10 points below Romney in Philly, but with 8% undecided there, I expect he’ll likely be close to even to Romney in that area on election day.. maybe a few points down, but not 20.

Obama won Philly 85.2% to 14%. 588,806 votes to 96,467. How much worse than Romney? Obama won by almost half a million votes.

Obama won Allegheny County (Pittsburgh) 56.5% to 42% and won by 90,000 votes. The almost 600,000 votes from Philly and Pittsburgh were enough to offset the rest of the state and win by 300,000.

42 posted on 10/25/2016 3:30:17 PM PDT by kabar
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To: kabar

Actually he got exactly 56% out of the county that holds philly. This is exactly where she’s at in this poll. She is down significantly everywhere else relative to Obama. Outright losing erie county and harrisburg area. And only up 2 in Pitt... She’s toast.


54 posted on 10/25/2016 4:03:59 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: kabar

PA native here.
This is the problem with statewide PA elections. Philly/Pitt/Scranton areas. Throw in Reading,Harrisburg, Erie,State College and its an uphill climb. It’s doable, and has been done, but it is not easy.
I must admit the Reading-Lancaster-Hershey triangle is almost solid Trump. I have never seen anything like it. Trump signs/bumper stickers have to be 40 or 50 to 1. Almost no one that I know has said they are going Hildebeast. I only know of 1 person who will go for Clinton—1. And this includes folks from the NE Scranton area. I pray it holds-—Trump just could pull off PA if he gets a fraction of the black/hispanic vote, and Philly fails to get out the dead. Philly is the problem!!!!
Would love to all the lib talking heads EXPLODE if he snipes PA. WOULD BE GREAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


58 posted on 10/25/2016 5:26:16 PM PDT by bantam
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