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Trump or Clinton? Why CafePress' sales might be the most accurate presidential poll
The Louisville Business Journal ^ | September 2, 2016 | Baylee Pulliam

Posted on 09/02/2016 9:56:39 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Which presidential candidate is leading in the polls — Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?

That depends on what poll you're looking at, and some of them are likely more accurate than others. But while most rely on simply asking people which candidate they prefer, CafePress Inc. CEO Fred Durham says it might be better to look at people who vote with their dollar.

"That's the energized vote bank that's going to show up on Election Day," he said. "That's the most passionate part of the population."

The Louisville-based internet retailer sells loads of political gear on its website, and keeps track of which candidate's stuff is selling more. It's sort of like a poll, but Durham said the numbers are more accurate. Not everyone who responds to a traditional poll will actually vote on Election Day, but CafePress customers probably will.

"They're all going to the polls," he said. "You buy stuff, you're actually going to vote."

Plus, it takes a certain amount of passion to make someone willing to brand themselves with their political ideology — and those ideologies are well, let's just say bold. Go to the politics section of CafePress' online store, and you'll see everything from far left, to far right, to fed up with all of it.

Most of that is actually designed by users — another reason Durham said the retailer's polls are so accurate. And it's probably why the company's been able to predict the outcome of every presidential election since it was founded in 1999.

Some gear sold by CafePress is for candidates (" Hillary for President") and some are against (" Hillary for Prison"), which Durham said gives the company even more insight into what people will do at the polls.

For example, the company can tell if you're backing republican nominee Donald Trump because you genuinely like him, or just because you don't like Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton. And vice versa, of course.

"You get a sense of not only how people vote, but why," he said.

And since they have such a wide customer base, the sales figures are a pretty good cross-section of voters — "we are America," he said.

As for the outcome of this election, we'll find out for sure come November. But if we follow CafePress' sales so far this year, Trump is winning by a little more than 20 percent.

So far this year, Clinton-bashing merchandise sales have been a whopping 814.88 percent higher than that for anti-Trump merchandise.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Chit/Chat; Politics
KEYWORDS: 2016; cafepress; hillary; trump
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1 posted on 09/02/2016 9:56:39 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

How can anyone support this pathological lying demon incarnate name Hildabeast? How?


2 posted on 09/02/2016 9:59:51 PM PDT by Fungi (Mushrooms are fungi.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Come on, admit it, 2nd.

You LIKE the way Trump is beating up the Uniparty and its Media organ.

3 posted on 09/02/2016 10:00:17 PM PDT by kiryandil (Hillary Clinton is not sophisticated enough to understand the Bill of Rights, either.)
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What is their track record for past Elections?


4 posted on 09/02/2016 10:06:35 PM PDT by KavMan
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To: Fungi
The best fungus-based movie is...

The best fungus-inspired band...

Grandpa's Become a Fungus

5 posted on 09/02/2016 10:23:20 PM PDT by who_would_fardels_bear
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
But if we follow CafePress' sales so far this year, Trump is winning by a little more than 20 percent.

So far this year, Clinton-bashing merchandise sales have been a whopping 814.88 percent higher than that for anti-Trump merchandise.

So which is it - 20%, or 814.88%?

That's a fairly large difference...

6 posted on 09/02/2016 10:23:26 PM PDT by Talisker (One who commands, must obey.)
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To: KavMan
What is their track record for past Elections?

From the article: And it's probably why the company's been able to predict the outcome of every presidential election since it was founded in 1999.

So they are 4 for 4.

Now watch for Hillary to buy $10 million worth of anti-Trump and pro-Hillary mugs and shirts to skew this "poll".

7 posted on 09/02/2016 10:25:38 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (If Muammar Gaddafi had donated to the Clinton Foundation he would still be alive and in power today.)
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To: Talisker

Overall, pro Trump AND anti Hillary, Trump leads by 20%.

In terms of just anti Hillary vs. anti Trump, Hillary is up (bad) 8:1.


8 posted on 09/02/2016 10:28:08 PM PDT by Shanghai Dan (I ride a GS scooter with my hair cut neat...)
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To: Talisker
So which is it - 20%, or 814.88%?

I think the first number compares the totals of pro-Hillary plus anti-Trump against pro-Trump plus anti-Hillary. The second only compares the antis.

9 posted on 09/02/2016 10:29:34 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (If Muammar Gaddafi had donated to the Clinton Foundation he would still be alive and in power today.)
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To: KavMan

Hasn’t missed since 1999.


10 posted on 09/02/2016 10:44:03 PM PDT by TexasCruzin (Trump is the man. #TrumpPence16)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

” predict the outcome of every presidential election since it was founded in 1999.”

All FOUR of them? Two of which were incumbents running for a 2nd term? I think I’ll stick with Scholastic Magazine.


11 posted on 09/02/2016 10:47:38 PM PDT by EDINVA
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To: who_would_fardels_bear

Probably started with his toenails.


12 posted on 09/02/2016 10:52:51 PM PDT by TexasCruzin (Trump is the man. #TrumpPence16)
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To: Talisker

Only if you math.....


13 posted on 09/02/2016 11:25:39 PM PDT by 22202NOVA (Misinformed or misunderstood, but NEVER wrong.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I don’t think this really means much. Hillary Clinton is boring, and her own supporters don’t even like her that much. But boring candidates can win (Mitt Romney, 2012 primaries).


14 posted on 09/02/2016 11:46:29 PM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: Fungi

Because Hillary hands out gov’t freebies like candy going out of style. And she welcomes any and all unskilled immigrants who will depend on those freebies.


15 posted on 09/02/2016 11:48:04 PM PDT by entropy12 (Majority of Politicians are either Globalists pushing cheap labor express or are Neocons.)
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To: Fungi

I ask this question every day. I can accept that some people think differently from me about the world. I can accept that there are liberals, through a selfish view of the world, through a do-gooder or brainwashed view, whatever. I have liberal friends. I can accept that some people like leftist politics. I can accept that some people want a Bernie Sanders for President.

BUT HOW COULD ANYONE EVER VOTE FOR HILLARY? She is clearly owned by evil masters, she is criminal to the core, she is murderous and hates the American people. She is no great female hero; everything she’s gotten has been off the coattails of a man. There is nothing competent or heroic or even mildly good about her,


16 posted on 09/02/2016 11:57:07 PM PDT by Yaelle (Liberals, you're not tolerant unless you are comfortable with diversity of opinion.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

From the article:”As for the outcome of this election, we’ll find out for sure come November. But if we follow CafePress’ sales so far this year, Trump is winning by a little more than 20 percent.”

Wow, just wow. If Trump, in reality; is up by 20% this is gonna be a fun election


17 posted on 09/03/2016 12:18:00 AM PDT by Fai Mao
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To: Yaelle

“BUT HOW COULD ANYONE EVER VOTE FOR HILLARY?”

1.Because 65% to 75% of Caucasian women under the age of about 45 are fools. They vote with their lady parts. This is particularly true of the unmarried ones.

2. Because a large percentage of minorities are addicted to government handouts.

3. Because if you are a true believer on the left character does not matter only that you tow the party line.


18 posted on 09/03/2016 12:25:47 AM PDT by Fai Mao
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To: EDINVA

Incumbents have been beaten - GHWB and Jimmy Carter come to mind. For some reason, I do remember CafePress being accurate in the outcomes with their sales. We shall see.


19 posted on 09/03/2016 12:40:46 AM PDT by Catsrus (Don't let Hillary, the crook, off the hook.)
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To: KavMan
They have predicted 100% since 1999, per the article.

What it renders down to is that everyone hates the Bitch. 818% more than they like Trump. As in Eight HUNDRED percent.

Vastly amusing. Some of the other leftist places I wade through are getting hysterical. Any sense of reason is vanishing. All they can do is repeat Two Minute Hates of Trump, and never question the absolute deity of the Ms. Bruised Brain.

20 posted on 09/03/2016 12:42:30 AM PDT by jonascord (First rule of the Dunning-Kruger Club is that you do not know you are in the Dunning-Kruger club.)
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