Posted on 12/26/2015 1:31:59 AM PST by GonzoII
Wishful thinking anyone?
Ted Cruz is at his highest level ever in the RCP average and still rising. Chap can’t read graphs and he needs to stop clinging to the silly Reuters rolling polls which is so far out of whack with other polls, its not even included in the RCP average.
Ted Cruz has consistently done better than Trump against Hilary Clinton. Trump consistently does worse than other top GOP contenders against Hilary Clinton. Your assertions are not backed by anything.
Heck more than one seems to spread a little money around to other campaigns. Granted it is a Cruz pac
but they did assist Carly by some $500,000.
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/why-did-ted-cruzs-pac-give-half-a-million-to-carly-fiorinas/
Trumpies have made a living here attacking good polls for Cruz as outliers. We need some votes cast.
And frankly, I don’t care what the polls say. Trump won’t get my vote because northeastern liberal Republicans don’t get my vote.
Really just that simple.
Wow, this is astoundingly bad. Not the results, the reporting.
Look at the RCP polls, and notice that only the top two polls in the table are included, leaving out the other six polls included in that time frame, from which we could show by picking two that Cruz rose, fell, or stayed the same.
Of course, comparing two polls and trying to draw a trend is just dumb. Interestingly, if we compare the results of each individual poll to the previous data (for example CNN/ORC 11/27 - 12/1 vs CNN/ORC 12/17 - 12/21), all of them show Cruz going up.
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There you go again....looking at and analyzing the raw data instead of accepting the author’s “interpretation” of the data. What are you trying to do? If all FReepers would keep such a sceptical mind, much of the bickering on these boards would disappear. Party pooper!! /sarc
Big Trump supporter here. Has he a chance in Iowa or is the evangelical support for Cruz too much to overcome? Thanks.
Trump zealots make fun of polls unless they are totally favorable to Trump.
I think Cruz is growing in popularity not declining ... and don’t show me those stupid colored lines.
Just curious ... what the heck did you mean by the Rob Lowe post?
Really just that simple.
A Trump Democrat will cancel you out. I get you wanting to be pure.
"Big Trump supporter here. Has he a chance in Iowa or is the evangelical support for Cruz too much to overcome? Thanks."Right now it's too close to call, Evangelicals seem to favor Cruz right now in Iowa which could swing the vote for him.
This past week attack adds against Ted Cruz ( As Negative Ads Pile Up In Iowa, Ted Cruz Plots A Bigger Footprint) from Mike Huckabee and Rubio supporters and others have come out. Huckabee in particular tried to paint Cruz as weak on "gay marriage" last week, if it sticks it may cost Cruz some points.. In the next Iowa polls we should be able to see if any of this had any effect.
National Polls are worthless for primaries because elections are not at the same time. As for Iowa - Caucus electorates are different than primary electorates. Actual Republicans are the main voters. It takes certain pollsters that know Iowa well to measure it (Des Moines Register for example). They have Cruz up by 10. Loras College in Iowa has Cruz up by 7 - both outside the margin for error.
As for the rest, we are 35 days out from Iowa. I don't know when New Hampshire absentees are sent out, that election is 43 days out. South Carolina 54 days out, with Nevada caucuses 3 days after that before we get to the SEC primary.
Around 35 days out in 2012 (Early December/Late November 2011), the "frontrunner" according to polls was Newt Gingrich or Herman Cain. Romney also led most Iowa polls (Santorum - favored by Evangelicals - won it).
Yeah, you progressives love to throw around that “purity” meme in order to justify voting for your pet liberal of the day. You’ve worn it out, yet you still fail to understand it doesn’t work.
Purity sits at the right hand of God. It doesn’t exist here on earth. But there is a apectrum, and I’ll stick to the conservative end of it. I will never vote for a liberal like Trump.
It works if it prompts you to take notice of it. Don't care about your pet globalist impostor.
Take notice of it? You mean read your post?
I would take notice of dog crap on the bottom of my shoe, but I would clean it off and give it zero importance, just as I do your little progressive meme.
Now go worship your liberal gasbag hero.
You are genuinely funny. Thanks.
And then they project onto conservatives by claiming that not supporting their RINO means we’re really supporting liberalism.
Which they’ve been doing from the beginning. Well said, Catherine.
LOL, exactly
Don’t you get it?
Bush is the favorite.
His 3% standing is a solid platform off of which he will rise a 1000%.
It’s in the bag for Bush. all the other candidates have peaked.
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