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Can Lindsey Graham survive the Tea Party's wrath?
theweek.com ^ | 8/26/13 | Keith Wagstaff

Posted on 08/26/2013 12:37:41 PM PDT by cotton1706

The senior senator from South Carolina may be the Bob Bennett of 2014

The angry rhetoric directed at Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) by Tea Party conservatives is cranking up in volume heading into what could be a very contentious Republican primary in 2014.

Graham has long been a staple of South Carolina politics, serving four terms in the House before winning the Senate seat vacated by Strom Thurmond in 2002. But now — just as happened when conservative Sen. Bob Bennett (R-Utah) was mercilessly ousted by the Tea Party in 2010 for not being conservative enough — a number of grassroots groups have grown tired of Graham, and are gunning for him in the June 2014 primary. Here's what you should know:

What do South Carolina conservatives have against Lindsey Graham? They charge that he's an establishment moderate more interested in the national spotlight than meeting the needs of his very conservative home state. In that vein, a group called Carolina Conservatives United released an ad picturing Graham on the side of a milk carton.

(Source: Carolina Conservatives United)

Graham, like Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), is also catching flak from the right for advocating for immigration reform as part of the Senate's bipartisan Gang of Eight.

Some conservatives also charge that Graham, one of the Senate's most vocal foreign policy hawks, is too cozy with President Obama. In 2010, Graham was was the only Republican on the Senate Judiciary Committee to endorse Elena Kagan, Obama's nominee to the Supreme Court. He was praised by moderates and progressives for his speech defending his decision, in which he said, despite opposing Obama's election in 2008, it was the Senate's "obligation to honor elections, respect elections, and to protect the court."

That message did not go over well in Tea Party circles, and things have not gotten better since. Earlier this month, Graham and Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) went to Egypt, prompting one of Graham's GOP challengers to call him a "community organizer for the Muslim Brotherhood."

Graham's office has been quick to defend his conservative bona fides, issuing a statement after the Egypt incident claiming that he "has a proven track record of protecting our conservative values" and touting high rankings by conservative groups over his tax, abortion, and gun control policies.

Who is looking to replace Graham? Graham has three primary challengers so far. One of his most vocal critics is South Carolina state Sen. Lee Bright, who has already released an attack ad linking Graham and Obama:

The other two candidates are Richard Cash, a socially conservative attorney who narrowly lost a congressional race to Rep. Jeff Duncan (R-S.C.) in 2010, and Nancy Mace, the first woman to graduate from the Citadel, South Carolina's vaunted military college.

What are the chances that Graham will be defeated? Political races often come down to money and, in that area, Graham has his opponents beat, at least for now. He boasts a war chest of $6.3 million.

His opponents have nowhere near as much. Bright leads the pack with $250,000 — although $200,000 of that came out of his own pocket. Mace has $100,000, while Cash hasn't filed any campaign finance papers, according to The New York Times.

Some conservatives are also concerned that the three challengers might end up splitting the anti-Graham vote, allowing the incumbent to cruise to victory. "It's got to boil down to one. We've got to find out which one of these three … we've got to make a decision which one of these three is going to be the horse," Tony Piscatella, a South Carolina GOP committeeman, told The Daily Beast.

Still, South Carolina boasts more Tea Party politicians than any other state in the country, signifying that, if unified, a Graham challenger could rally significant support. Conservatives point to the election of Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) as evidence that you can ride a wave of Tea Party support all the way to the Senate.

"South Carolina is a funny state," Paul Anderko, president of the GPS Conservatives for Action PAC, told the Times. "Sometimes incumbents do go down in flames."

And while the Bob Bennett example can be instructive — he was widely viewed as one of the Senate's most reliable conservatives until he was ousted by conservatives in 2010 — it is hardly the rule. After all, just two years later in Utah, the supposedly similarly endangered conservative Sen. Orrin Hatch won in a landslide.


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: 113th; 2014midterms; elections; graham; sc2014; teaparty
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1 posted on 08/26/2013 12:37:41 PM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Orrin Hatch voted in lockstep with Mike Lee to save himself. Graham is going for broke, being Richard Lugar, being as liberal as possible to thumb his nose at his constituents.


2 posted on 08/26/2013 12:39:10 PM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Can Lindsey survive? I sure as hell hope not.


3 posted on 08/26/2013 12:42:33 PM PDT by House Atreides ( D)
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To: cotton1706

Hope he is out of there!


4 posted on 08/26/2013 12:43:23 PM PDT by bizdoc (Oh yeah?)
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To: cotton1706

If enough can be examples of what happens when they defy their constituents, then there is a slim possibility that the remnants left of this once great nation can be saved.


5 posted on 08/26/2013 12:44:45 PM PDT by Parmy
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To: cotton1706
Does anybody know South Carolina election law? I wouldn't put it past Graham if he loses in the Republican primary to pull a Murkowski and run as an independent....
6 posted on 08/26/2013 12:45:53 PM PDT by apillar
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To: cotton1706

I tell you the way the midterms are shaping up,

I will be donating more to oust people, than to keep people in.


7 posted on 08/26/2013 12:46:08 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: cotton1706
Some conservatives are also concerned that the three challengers might end up splitting the anti-Graham vote, allowing the incumbent to cruise to victory. "It's got to boil down to one.

Idiots.

The more the merrier at the beginning of the primary. As long as Graham doesn't get 50%+, he'll wind up in a run-off with ONE challenger. Just like Cruz beat Dewhurst.

I smell establishment GOP fear in the form of a concern troll.

/johnny

8 posted on 08/26/2013 12:47:18 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: cotton1706

I believe Lindsey will come out and say he’s gay. If it looks like he’s in real danger. He’ll tie it into his military service and try to get donations from gays, liberals who like how he votes, and moderates who are liberal but not libtard-nutterbutter liberal.


9 posted on 08/26/2013 12:47:47 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: apillar
SC has a 'sore-loser' law. He can't run as independent.

/johnny

10 posted on 08/26/2013 12:50:50 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: cotton1706

It’s over RINO’S. Got that? Mark Levin And his paul and paulette reveres are awake.


11 posted on 08/26/2013 12:54:36 PM PDT by longfellow (Bill Maher, the 21st hijacker.)
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To: JRandomFreeper

“I smell establishment GOP fear in the form of a concern troll.”

Right, that’s why I post any stories I can find on this stuff, so we can make sense of the rumblings, and of course to keep his treachery in mind, to fan the flames for his ouster.


12 posted on 08/26/2013 12:55:41 PM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706
I appreciate you posting those stories. I read almost everything you post. We've got to keep the liberal(R) crowd on the run.

/johnny

13 posted on 08/26/2013 12:59:57 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: JRandomFreeper

Johnny is absolutely right!

It’s also an opportunity for AS MANY AS POSSIBLE to beat down on Graham without him being able to single out ONE to focus on in return. I’d be fine with 5 or 10 more... lol


14 posted on 08/26/2013 1:01:40 PM PDT by bfh333 ("Hope"... "Change"... You better HOPE you have some CHANGE after the next 4 years!)
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To: cotton1706

According to:
www.heritageactionscorecard.com/members

Lindsey Grahamnesty got a 48% conservative voting score.


15 posted on 08/26/2013 1:04:58 PM PDT by Tucker39
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To: cotton1706
Can Lindsey Graham survive the Tea Party's wrath?

I pray not, but even if he loses he'll take the $millions he has skimmed while in DC, and probably add to it by opening an influence peddling organization.

16 posted on 08/26/2013 1:15:28 PM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (For congress, it's not the principle of the thing, it's the money.)
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To: cotton1706

Fearless prediction..before it’s all over, Bill Clinton will endorse Graham..


17 posted on 08/26/2013 1:16:53 PM PDT by ken5050 (2014 Tea Party Trifecta! Retire Mitch, Lamar, and Lindsey)
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To: Tucker39

I’ve compiled every republican senator’s voting score. Here is Graham’s average and the scoring agency’s numbers. Club for Growth and ACU try to shore up Graham so he ends up with a higher average. His real average is probably around the low 60’s or upper 50’s, which is far too low for a “conservative” senator. Even 70% is far too low. But his proponents will always use his ACU figure to make him look conservative.

Graham (SC) 2014 70% (Average) 50% (Heritage) 86% (CFG) 92% (ACU) 50% (FreedomWorks)


18 posted on 08/26/2013 1:22:23 PM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

Hopefully Lindsay is going bye bye.


19 posted on 08/26/2013 1:25:23 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Secret Agent Man
TAKE NOTE!
20 posted on 08/26/2013 1:32:23 PM PDT by Baynative (Lord, keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.)
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