Posted on 11/02/2012 9:02:56 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
lol
or rather always disappointed in advance
Inevitable. The only question is when.
So is a post - United States America.
The only questions are when, and why.
LOL, but it was you who specifically said, “no one much likes Romney”....right?
All I did was point out how very wrong you are. Perhaps you meant YOU don’t like Romney?
I'm afraid that might be true no matter who wins.
True. But didn’t Rothenberg, Cook and Silver early in 2010 that the GOP has little chance to win the House? At the very least I’ll give credit to Morris for catching the wave first.
People liked Carter in 1980 too. Didn’t help him much.
RE: Incorrect. Morris predicted as many as 100 seats and virtually guaranteed we win the Senate. Neither of those things happened. I’d link some of his quotes but they go back to lefty sites lampooning Morris and I don’t want to give them any traffic.
______________________
I still INSIST that I am correct because I HEARD HIM SAY IT ON THE HANNITY SHOW ON DRIVE TIME RADIO. I remember it VERY CLEARLY. The figure was 64 to 66 seats.
And YES AGAIN, I HEARD HIM SAY IT. It has been SEARED IN ME. And the interview was a mere 5 days before November 2, 2010. It was the LAST FRIDAY OF OCTOBER (10/29/2012) that the interview was held.
“LOL, but it was you who specifically said, “no one much likes Romney”....right?”
No. That is not what I said. I said “....and while few actually like Romney”, as quoted from your very own post at 14 quoting mine at 8. Unimpressive trolling.
Morris says a lot of stuff. He could have thrown the numbers you remember out too. There is no doubt that Morris was talking about upwards of a 100 seat gain for the GOP in the midterms. He also all but guaranteed the Republicans would win the Senate in 2010. You can easily search Google to see just how bad his predictions are.
Morris owes O’Reilly a pile of steak dinners because of all the predictions he makes that are wrong.
“Perhaps you meant YOU don’t like Romney?”
Oh, just to clarify this point, no, I don’t like him. I detest him in fact. Since first becoming aware of him in the 2008 campaign I have only come to detest him more and have never said otherwise. I detest his opponent too, and that too only increases as time goes by.
So?
I heard Morris predict 100. That doesn’t mean he didn’t make other, less grandiose predictions, but he definitely said 100 was possible. I remember thinking at the time that he’d gone off the deep end...but he did it.
I can only vouch for his prediction on the Lower House and again, HE SAID 64 to 66 SEATS on the Hannity interview at October 29,2010. I VOUCH FOR THAT BECAUSE *I HEARD IT* and I *REMEMBER IT*.
Unless he changed his mind and then said 100 seats a few days later (highly unlikely), I believe that was HIS LAST AND FINAL PREDICTION for the House in 2010.
I am not saying he is going to be right this time. I am just saying that he is NOT ALWAYS WRONG EITHER.
I agree with your analysis. Further to your point here:
“I cannot see him getting ALL of the college/youth vote. They are pissed off.”
I think the Democrats will have -permanently- alienated many of these young people. They are not the credulous Baby-boomer generation. They are critical thinkers almost to a fault, and the Democrats will have lost most of the smart and ambitious ones.
When did he say 100? Was it after October 29,2010?
I PERSONALLY REMEMBER HIS INTERVIEW WITH HANNITY ON OCTOBER 28,2010 ON 770 WABC saying it was going to be 64 to 66 seats.
If he said 100 earlier, and then switched to 64 to 66 just a few days before November 2, then he is no better than Intrade, which predicted that there was over 80% chance that the SCOTUS would overturn Obamacare only to suddenly switch at the very last hour.
I enjoy Morris a lot, but he has one glaring Achilles heel - he extrapolates a given trend into the future without any eventual countervailing force. Increasing opposition, fatigue, friction, exhaustion of an existing pool or what have you. “If I throw this ball in air at x miles per hour, it will escape the solar system in y years.”
He is perceptive at spotting turning points and snap shot positions, but he goes kind of wild with projections from those points.
Again, I heard Morris give the figure 64 to 66 seats On Hannity’s radio program between 3 to 4 PM on October 29,2010 on WABC 770 AM dial during drive time in NY.
Unless he went nuts and then changed his mind and then suddenly said 100 a few days later before Nov. 2, I don’t think he was that far off, and that was his FINAL prediction.
Hogwash, the mainstream media a month before the election was still predicting the Dems would hold the house while Morris was saying 65-80 seats. I predicted 100 seats a year before the election and was laughed at. Morris and I were much closer than the mediots and poll dancers.
You better get going, there is another optimist on another thread you need to straighten out.
Pray for America
My neice, who just graduated law school and passed the MA and NY bar exams (Yeah for her) is working for $20 an hour as an over qualified para legal.
She was such a classic “College Student for Obama” clone last time around that it drove me nuts.
Four years later, she is volunteering for Scott Brown and joins me in hating Obama. Of course, she is still all “social justice” focused. So the transformation is not complete.
Based on that alone, I suggest that Obama will loose a significant percentage of college kids—to 26 year olds. They feel as if they were screwed.
A common phrase to her over the last six months: Welcome to my world!
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