Posted on 08/07/2012 7:52:46 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
A just released Gallup poll survey of voters who voted in 2008 presidential election and indicate they will vote again in November holds some bad news for Barack Obama.
Among the questions asked of its respondents Gallup asked if the person being surveyed was planning to switch his/her Party vote to now support either Republican Mitt Romney or Democrat Barack Obama.
Of those who had voted for John McCain in 2008 5% now supported Barack Obama. Of those original Obama supporters 9% reported their intention to vote for Republican Romney.
When this 9% switch is applied to Obama’s raw popular vote total, the 5% switch is factored against John McCain’s raw vote and both are compared the difference becomes a dead heat with an insignificant 17,000 vote lead for Obama.
The telling data in this report is the 4% undecided – which breaks against the incumbent to a high degree and the 11% that refused to say for whom they voted in 2008. This adds credence to the possibility that a substantial number of 2008 Obama supporters have strong felling of “buyer’s remorse.”
It is, after all very much easier to find someone who says “I voted for Obama but I’m sorry and I won’t do that again,” than to locate a 2008 voter who says “You know, I voted for McCain but I’m sorry. I wish I had voted for Obama.”
Gallup also tells us a high percentage of independents (18%) have switched as have Easterners those with a high school diploma and unmarried men all reporting a 15% switch.
“Independents went to Obama 52/ 44 in 2008 every indication ..these voters who likely make up about 33% of the total turnout have soured on him, this is significant bad news for Barack Obama.
(Excerpt) Read more at coachisright.com ...
“But instead they got Malcolm X.”
Ain’t that the truth! (clap, clap, clap)
“Under this scenario, Romney can easily win. The difference between simply winning, and a 48 state blowout is enthusiasm, and a very large part of that depends on who he picks for VP, and if he does an aggressive campaign after the convention.”
I respectfully disagree. The enthusiasm on our side is for defeating Obama. Most conservatives see Romney as merely the vehicle for getting there. His VP pick is therefore a win/break even situation. Romney CAN pick up SOME points with a particular VP pick, but short of picking McCain as his VP he really has a free throw here. The enthusiasm will continue to grow on our side as the list of impressive and important Ted Cruz-like primary wins pile up.
Romney is stuck at dead center. This might move the talk needle: I think that Romney should SEAL his Federal and State Tax Records when he announces who his Veep will be.
That would give The Media a double surprise.
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