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Headed for a Photo Finish in Iowa (PPP Poll: Paul-20, Mitt-19, Santorum-18, Newt-14, Perry-10)
PPP ^ | 1/1/2012 | PPP

Posted on 01/01/2012 9:31:16 PM PST by TBBT

Raleigh, N.C. – The Republican caucus in Iowa is headed for a photo finish, with the three leading contenders all within two points of each other. Ron Paul is at 20%, Mitt Romney at 19%, and Rick Santorum at 18%. Rounding out the field are Newt Gingrich at 14%, Rick Perry at 10%, Michele Bachmann at 8%, Jon Huntsman at 4%, and Buddy Roemer at 2%.

(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: ia2012; perry2012; poll; ppp
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To: JediJones
Wow. I just read the internals of that DMR poll:

Of all the candidates, Newt placed #1 in the following measures:

41% said Newt was the most knowledgeable
41% said Newt was the most ego-driven
36% said Newt was the least consistent
26% said Newt (& Mitt) were worst at relating to Iowans
21% said Newt was least able to bring about real change
32% said Newt was least dedicated to limiting the influence of government

A damning indictment and fairly accurate, though Mitt was arguably shortchanged in some of those categories.

41 posted on 01/01/2012 10:17:36 PM PST by Crichton
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To: JediJones

More seniors are at home all day, soaking up all the crap that the Romney people are airing in their TV commercials.


42 posted on 01/01/2012 10:17:54 PM PST by untwist
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To: CainConservative

The funny thing is not only was Bachmann never on Romney’s radar to be VP; at this point, he probably doesn’t even want her endorsement. Doesn’t want that “creepy” vibe to rub off on him. So Bachmann is out there campaigning for no reason anyone can discern.


43 posted on 01/01/2012 10:18:08 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: JediJones
The bottom line is that if Newt dropped out tomorrow, the election would be over and Romney would have it.

CORRECT.

44 posted on 01/01/2012 10:19:20 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: CainConservative
Is there an new DMR poll coming out tomorrow? That would be nice.

Nope. Just about time for voting. Maybe Rasmussen will do it again.

45 posted on 01/01/2012 10:19:27 PM PST by Crichton
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To: CainConservative
If it’s Santorum, Paul, Newt, and Willard all alive going into SC & FL... I’ll love NEWT’S chances over Liberal Willard in the South

If Gingrich is 4th in Iowa and 4th in NH, he will not fare well in SC or FL.

46 posted on 01/01/2012 10:19:35 PM PST by Prokopton
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To: Prokopton

I remember, too.

Hmmm….

Gingrich-led Republicans….the result:

* Four consecutive balanced budgets
* Over $400 billion of debt paid off
* Bipartisan welfare reform
* 11 million new jobs
* Unemployment falling to under 4%.


47 posted on 01/01/2012 10:20:04 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Bolton, Santorum, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: Crichton

Criston, give me a few million to run negative ads, and I can make Iowans think you’re the devil incarnate (even though I’m sure you’re a nice guy.) Romney’s folks target the weak of mind, sending mailers to assisted living centers, etc.


48 posted on 01/01/2012 10:21:47 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: TBBT

Translation: Nobody knows what is going to happen.

Pray for America


49 posted on 01/01/2012 10:23:07 PM PST by bray (Romney is the Establishment)
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To: Prokopton

We’ll see. I think Liberal Willard and Racist Paul are dead in the South. They just don’t know it yet! : )

‘08 South Carolina:

McCain 33%
Huck 30%
Willard 14% !!
Paul 4% !!!


50 posted on 01/01/2012 10:23:27 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Bolton, Santorum, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: CainConservative

If Perry were to drop out and endorse Gingrich, it would be in large measure to get back at the Bush’s. Bush 41 is the classic establishment republican who endorsed Romney, verbally downplayed Perry, and did not hide his dislike for Newt. W and his administration were not always kind to Perry, either. It would be a good smackdown from Rick back to the Bush’s and could put him into consideration for the VP slot as the anti-establishment, anti-Bush VP with extensive executive experience.


51 posted on 01/01/2012 10:24:33 PM PST by untwist
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To: DennisR
If Paul wins

That seems unlikely to me. Santorum seems likely to break 20%, question is how much higher, and most polls have Romney around 24% and Paul fading somewhat.

Right now I would guess:

Santorum 26
Romney 25
Paul 18
Perry 13
Newt 12
Bachmann 5
Huntsman 1

52 posted on 01/01/2012 10:25:08 PM PST by Crichton
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To: CainConservative
I remember, too.

Maybe you remember more "selectively" than others do.

53 posted on 01/01/2012 10:25:31 PM PST by Prokopton
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To: JediJones
" If you consider millions of dollars of lies distributed in advertising to gullible Iowans who don’t do their own research a “good look.”

If your relying on Newt's tanking in the polls because of millions of dollars of advertising and think that Newt can beat Obama in the general election where the MSM will make minch meat out of Newt, ... Good Luck with that one.... look who's gullible now.
Newt has to many negatives and will be vulnerable in the general election.
54 posted on 01/01/2012 10:26:44 PM PST by American Constitutionalist (The fool has said in his heart, " there is no GOD " ..)
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To: Crichton

Well, everybody here knows, no matter who you support, that Romney should indisputably be #1 on least-consistent. The only explanation for why he isn’t is that he is spending millions of dollars on ads to spread lies and the opposition isn’t attacking him enough.

The idea that Newt is least able to bring about real change is also utterly ludicrous if people knew his record. As Cheney has said, Newt was almost a lone wolf as the driving force getting the Republicans to take back Congress in 1994. However at 21% that was a low first place.

I’m not sure that any one of these candidates are more ego-driven than the other. If you get up there to say you deserve to have the top job in the country, how can you not have an ego? Of course, I don’t see what’s bad about having an ego. That’s a driver for success in life.

Newt is proposing far bigger than tax cuts than Romney, so that alone means government’s influence over our lives is lowered. Not to mention Romney is dedicated to absolutely nothing and will flip-flop on a dime when it’s convenient.

It is hard for someone like Newt to relate to the average person because he is so much more intelligent and on a different level than the average person. When you’re the smartest kid in your class, you don’t relate to the average students as well as, say, an average student would.


55 posted on 01/01/2012 10:28:06 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Obama in 2012!)
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To: CainConservative
* Four consecutive balanced budgets * Over $400 billion of debt paid off * Bipartisan welfare reform * 11 million new jobs * Unemployment falling to under 4%.

The 90's had a great boom. Too bad a lot of those gains were illusory.

56 posted on 01/01/2012 10:28:56 PM PST by Crichton
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To: untwist
If Perry were to drop out and endorse Gingrich, it would be in large measure to get back at the Bush’s. Bush 41 is the classic establishment republican who endorsed Romney, verbally downplayed Perry, and did not hide his dislike for Newt. W and his administration were not always kind to Perry, either. It would be a good smackdown from Rick back to the Bush’s and could put him into consideration for the VP slot as the anti-establishment, anti-Bush VP with extensive executive experience.

Excellent point. Let's get Perry on board asap. His fans are full of a lot of energy, too.

57 posted on 01/01/2012 10:31:07 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Bolton, Santorum, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: Crichton

I (along tons of folks I know) made big $$$ in the 90’s as well as the 80’s. Btw, how old are you?


58 posted on 01/01/2012 10:33:47 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Rubio 2012 with Cain, Bolton, Santorum, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: Prokopton

Huckabee didn’t do well after Iowa last time. Santorum is this year’s Huckabee, the choice of religious conservatives, particularly those ones who don’t think for themselves and just do what their preacher tells them to, and no one else. And this year religious conservatives will be driving the primary even less than they did last time. Romney will defeat Santorum in the vast majority of states on perceived competence alone.


59 posted on 01/01/2012 10:34:17 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Obama in 2012!)
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To: CainConservative

Also, the Bushes hate Perry and they hate Newt. That puts the two into the enemy of my enemy is my friend camp. However, there’s just as must of a chance Perry endorses Romney, since they are the two biggest liberals of the bunch.


60 posted on 01/01/2012 10:35:41 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Obama in 2012!)
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